Romney Now Beating Obama among Jewish Voters [Affiliation 39%D-30R!]

frontpagemag.com/the-point ^ | Daniel Greenfield

[expat1000]

That sizable percent of undecided Jewish voters who broke away from Obama appear to have made a decision.

Romney now leads Obama 44-40 among likely Jewish voters. This is a post-poll debate, so Obama’s loss there was likely a factor, but the large number of undecideds predating the debate suggest that it wasn’t so much Obama’s weak performance as it was Romney’s strong performance.

A few notes. This is a small sample size. Numbers like this may vanish just as quickly as they came, but other polls do suggest that there has been a shift. I wouldn’t bet on Romney winning the Jewish vote straight out, but he’ll probably win more of it than anyone would have expected two months ago. So I wouldn’t get too excited just yet.

Polls of likely voters often tilt Republican because the Democratic base tends to be semi-literate and can barely drag itself to the polling station without free beer and forty interpreters. This is not the case with the Jewish vote where the core of the lefty crowd is prosperous and educated. So if this is an accurate reading of the likely Jewish voter, then that’s big news.

And the defection of the Jewish vote means that Obama has lost every major religion in the country. The Protestant vote is heavily going against him and he’s hanging on to the Catholic vote by a few percent, meaningless within the margin of error. The only religion he’s decisively winning amongst is “No Religion”. I would also assume he’s romping home with the Muslim vote, but unlike Europe, that’s not too much of a factor here yet.

[xp38]

In the 2011 Canadian election the Conservative Party wooed and finally won over the small (smaller than the US) but influential Jewish vote. It resulted in the first majority Conservative government since the 1988 election. Consider that a foreshadowing perhaps of this years election if this news is accurate. Another foreshadowing might be the Republican victory of the house seat that Anthony Weiner vacated. It was dismissed by the usual suspects in the MSM at the time except for the comment by Bill Maher that the pubs had stolen the dims Jewish vote.

[expat1000]

Sorry, but this is a nonsensical poll with a MOE of probably >15% due to the small sample size. I don't think we should believe this kind of extreme nonsense.

From the article, in case you missed it.

A few notes. This is a small sample size. Numbers like this may vanish just as quickly as they came, but other polls do suggest that there has been a shift. I wouldn’t bet on Romney winning the Jewish vote straight out, but he’ll probably win more of it than anyone would have expected two months ago. So I wouldn’t get too excited just yet.

"Extreme nonsense?" Really?

[nwrep]

"Extreme nonsense?" Really?

Yes, it is like someone claiming that 0 will win the white NRA vote. It just won't happen.

However, 0 will lose a significant fraction of his 2008 share of the Jewish vote, and will lose Florida....

[arasina]

Thank you. I remember that. I was thinking more of the 2008 election campaign, when a prominent Frum businessman hosted a fundraiser for Hillary Clinton. Many in the community gave him a lot of grief for doing so. I think then-Governor Corzine attended that event.

It saddens me to say that I believe some support will still go to Obama if he promises a different pardon this time: Jonathan Pollard.

[justiceseeker93]

Much too small a sample of Jews for these numbers to mean anything. If there are only 812 voters sampled and Jews are, for the sake of argument, something like 3-4% of the national electorate, that makes the total number of Jews sampled around 30, much too low to make any statistically valid generalized assessment of the national Jewish vote.

The intuitive guess here is that the national Jewish vote will be approximately 60% for Obama, 40% for Romney.

This shift of Jewish voters toward the GOP - in comparison to 2004 - will help put Florida back in the Republican column. Not surprising that Romney now has a seven-point lead in that crucial state according to a (left-leaning) newspaper-sponsored poll released yesterday.

[andy58-in-nh]

The intuitive guess here is that the national Jewish vote will be approximately 60% for Obama, 40% for Romney.

That's probably closer to reality, although it might even be 55/45. I can only speak for own Jewish family members, every single one of whom, to my knowledge, is going to vote for Romney. I am rather sure that some of them have never before voted for a Republican.

But even a 60/40 result would represent a significant shift away from Obama and it will likely be accompanied by similar moves among Catholics and metropolitan area suburban voters.

In any event, it is very good news for Romney and bad news for Obama.

[justiceseeker93]

I can certainly believe this of the Orthodox Jewish community. I will never understand their past support for Hillary Clinton, though.

The Orthodox Jewish community will vote for Romney much more decisively than this 44-40, but they are only perhaps 10-15 percent of the American Jewish electorate.

As for the alleged Orthodox Jewish past support for Hillary Clinton, I think you are referring to an isolated incident where one Hasidic community in Rockland County, NY voted almost unanimously for "Her Royal Thighness" when she ran for US Senate. You have to realize that these insular Hasidic communities are small segments of the Orthodox Jewish community, and have a pattern and historic custom of acting in unison according to the wishes of their community rabbi who, amongst his other functions, mediates various interactions of his community with the outside world. In the Hillary Clinton case, IIRC, the near unanimous vote of the particular Hasidic community for her was a payback for a pardon she had assisted in obtaining for one of the community's members.

[justiceseeker93]

I see almost no Obama signs this year - including some yards where there are signs for other Dem candidates such as Casey but not Obama.

Any Romney signs?

[justiceseeker93]

We live in hope, but somehow I fear this poll is incorrect.

Please see my post # 25.

[justiceseeker93]

Dems cannot afford to have heavy political donors, influential citizens in many areas of our culture, and sure-to-vote folks decide to change or turn neutral.

Most especially in Florida, and perhaps in other battleground states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada.

[SunkenCiv]

Thanks justiceseeker93. Another reason for Lew Rockwell fans to oppose Romney.

[dirtboy]

I think I’ve seen one Romney sign, saw more McCain signs in 2008.