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Cruz Has Now Beaten Trump in a Majority of States Outside the South
The Weekly Standard ^ | APR 06, 2016 | JEFFREY H. ANDERSON

Posted on 04/06/2016 11:01:54 AM PDT by TexasCajun

With his win in Tuesday’s open primary in the blue state of Wisconsin, Ted Cruz has now beaten Donald Trump in 11 of 21 states that have been contested to date outside of the South. Cruz has now beaten Trump in three Midwestern states (Wisconsin, Iowa, and Minnesota—with Cruz having finished second and Trump third in the latter), one Northeastern state (Maine), three Plains states (Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas), three Western Frontier states (Idaho, Utah, and Wyoming), and one state outside of the Lower 48 (Alaska).

The South is Trump country, and he is undefeated there, having posted 11 wins and 0 losses in states ranging from Arkansas and Louisiana to the west and Kentucky and Virginia to the north. Yet Trump has now posted a winning percentage of just .429 (with 9 wins and 12 losses) outside of the South. None of the remaining contests are in the South (unless one considers West Virginia to be part of the South, in which case Trump will likely soon be 12-0 in Southern states).

It is striking that Cruz won in Wisconsin despite John Kasich's continued presence in the race. While the Ohio governor is anything but a juggernaut, his presence helps divide the anti-Trump vote. Indeed, it is not clear what other purpose his candidacy is serving at this point.

Kasich's won-lost record is now 1-31. To put that into perspective, his winning percentage (.031) is exactly half of the historical winning percentage of #15 seeds versus #2 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. Outside of his home state of Ohio, Kasich is 0-31, matching the historical winning percentage for #16 seeds. No last-second shot is going to save Kasich.

(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2016gopprimary; brokenrecord; cruzerluzer; cruzerluzers; dixie; dumptrump; luzer; luzers; putdownthecrackpipe
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To: jennings2004

yea must be. Here in the south we have to must win states called swing states. Lose them we lose the election.
they are VA, FL where cruz never win a single county, and came third in both.

I’m in FL and trust me there is no enthusiasm for cruz here and it will go to Clinton.
Meaning we lose the election against Clinton. This state is not WI which will go Dem every time.


21 posted on 04/06/2016 11:18:13 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: manc

just answer the questions I posed here.

****************

What is your question you posed?

Now were are the remaining delegates going?

769 delegates remaining to be chosen
479 Trump needs to win
732 Cruz needs to win.


22 posted on 04/06/2016 11:18:36 AM PDT by deport
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To: manc
I asked if I was wrong, am I>?

LOL, no I don't think you are.

23 posted on 04/06/2016 11:19:02 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Mississippi! My vote is going to Cruz.)
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To: VanDeKoik

I wonder how well Cruz will hold up when the media starts giving him the Trump treatment. Never mind. They will completely bury him in about 2 weeks. Cruz may be conservative, but he has no chance in the general. Just wait until women find out more about him.


24 posted on 04/06/2016 11:19:30 AM PDT by No Socialist
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To: Night Hides Not

LOL Thanks


25 posted on 04/06/2016 11:19:31 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: TexasCajun

Bookmarking this to see what the statement will be after the April primary results are in...


26 posted on 04/06/2016 11:20:15 AM PDT by SueRae (An election like no other..)
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To: TexasCajun

It is WTA when its over 50 percent and thats expected


27 posted on 04/06/2016 11:20:32 AM PDT by Mechanicos (Attend a Trump Rally and get to "Punch a Commie for Mommy.")
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To: ifinnegan

Thanks for the info.


28 posted on 04/06/2016 11:21:41 AM PDT by Roman_War_Criminal
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To: No Socialist

Oh I’ve given it 21 days myself before he becomes Bob Dole II.

And they wont have to use much more than Buzzfeed, John Oliver, The Daily Show, Salon, and MSNBC for good measure.

They are covering for him today because he’s a tool for their ends. It blows my mind that his supporters think that there wont be a firestorm pointed at him.

I guess they think Levin, Beck, RedState and NRO will be their “secret weapon”?


29 posted on 04/06/2016 11:25:06 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: No Socialist
I wonder how well Cruz will hold up when the media starts giving him the Trump treatment.

He was hammered pretty good by everyone during the government "shutdown." Unlike the other candidates, he's shrugged off the vast majority of the body blows Trump's been trying to land.

"Lyin Ted" is almost worn out by now, for example. The infidelity story has about run its course. What else does Trump have left in his quiver?

30 posted on 04/06/2016 11:25:48 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Mississippi! My vote is going to Cruz.)
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To: TexasCajun
Compared to that Canadian, Trump is a son of the South.
31 posted on 04/06/2016 11:27:15 AM PDT by McGruff (The Republican elite would rather see Hillary Clinton president than Donald Trump.)
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To: TexasCajun

The Cruz pump up machine is on warp speed. Didn’t know Wisconsin was that important. Snicker, snort.


32 posted on 04/06/2016 11:27:44 AM PDT by teletech
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To: TexasCajun
Trump has won all but two states east of the Mississippi while Ted has precisely one state.

Sucks for Ted that the upcoming six primaries in April are east of the Mississippi.

33 posted on 04/06/2016 11:28:22 AM PDT by Kazan (Trump: Pit bull, Hillary: Pound of hamburger)
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To: TexasCajun

It’s a winner take most state, and Trump will win New York.

There are so many for winning the state, and then 3 for each congressional district won.

So, it’s quite likely that Trump will win all of those delegates.

There are 715 available delegates remaining. Trump needs 494 which is possible. Cruz needs 720 which is impossible.

Therefore, where are the places that Cruz can block Trump out of 226 delegates to keep him at least one below 1237?

Nebraska, Montana, Colorado might go to Cruz naturally, but that’s only a 100 delegates, and Colorado is a caucus and not winner take all.


34 posted on 04/06/2016 11:28:42 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: TexasCajun

Best election evah!

Pray America wakes


35 posted on 04/06/2016 11:29:07 AM PDT by bray (Trump/Pain 2016)
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To: Dr. Sivana

So in your opinion (that was a good write up by the way), can Cruz with the GE?


36 posted on 04/06/2016 11:29:41 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: JBW1949
Delegate count: Trump-743 Cruz—517

Which doesn't include the 12 delegates Trump will get for winning Missouri.

37 posted on 04/06/2016 11:29:53 AM PDT by Kazan (Trump: Pit bull, Hillary: Pound of hamburger)
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To: wattsgnu
IF you have over the ceiling level in NY (over 50%) you win all at-large delegates.

A candidate wins all delegates in a congressional district if he is over 50% in NY.

38 posted on 04/06/2016 11:31:04 AM PDT by Kazan (Trump: Pit bull, Hillary: Pound of hamburger)
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To: TexasCajun

Liberal math

Trump won 21 out of 31
Cruz won 11 out of 31

So... Cruz has won one more than one-half the number of states Trump has.

Or in other words Trump has not won TWICE AS MANY states any more, only a little less than TWICE AS MANY

So.... something.


39 posted on 04/06/2016 11:31:16 AM PDT by Mr. K (Trump/Nugent)
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To: TexasCajun

The South did not go for him..it was simply that this was an early phase and there were a lot of candidates, and some of these were winner take all states. So he “won” by default, simply because he had more votes individually with his 20-30% than those who represented the other 70-80%, who were divided.

Without the press loving him for his shock value, giving him free publicity and magnifying his marginal wins, Trump would never have made it this far.


40 posted on 04/06/2016 11:33:33 AM PDT by livius
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