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2020 Election Prediction: Using Demographics
Red Eagle Politics Youtube ^ | 2/9/2020 | Red Eagle Politics

Posted on 02/09/2020 6:03:51 PM PST by Forgiven_Sinner

I predict the 2020 Election, but instead of predicting exact states this time, I predict margins within demographics and let the system do the rest.

538 Swing-o-Matic: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2020election; demographics; prediction; predictions; trump
I've followed RedEagle politics for some time. He understands polls and elections, having predicted Trump's victory in 2016. Let's see how he does in 2020.
1 posted on 02/09/2020 6:03:51 PM PST by Forgiven_Sinner
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

2 posted on 02/09/2020 6:09:02 PM PST by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: Forgiven_Sinner

Bloomberg is the only one I wish would disappear. First of all, he’s spend so much money especially in house seats. And he’s actually gaining in the polls. I can’t stand him.


3 posted on 02/09/2020 6:12:45 PM PST by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: Forgiven_Sinner

I’ve just discovered Red Eagle.

Not only do I like how he handles the data, but he strikes me as a level-headed and mature young man. And I don’t say that very often about the young generation.


4 posted on 02/09/2020 6:17:45 PM PST by Nothingburger
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To: Forgiven_Sinner

The young guy who does RedEagle politics does a very good job, IMO. He’s sharp.


5 posted on 02/09/2020 6:18:49 PM PST by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: Forgiven_Sinner

Nancy Pelosi is insane...so is Schiff, Nadler, Schumer..period. As I have said and predicted so many times on this very site....the Democrat Party is imploding internally by the very hands of its leaders.

As for Democrat Party, 2020 POTUS candidates...Biden, dumbest politico alive, Bittigeig,...Dancing Pajama Boy, acts smart...but not too bright, Sanders...a full blown Socialist and Communist to boot, The rest all losers from A-Z!!!

New Hampshire Democrat voters, end this farce and mess immediately. Stay home...do not vote and if you decide to vote, write-in Donald J. Trump on your ballots.

Pelosi, Schiff, Nadler, Waters, Obama, Schumer, Perez, etc., etc., have failed you all!!! Put the entire Democrat Party out of its self-caused misery...kill it politically by not voting this coming Tuesday in the New Hampshire Primary for any of these twisted human beings!!!


6 posted on 02/09/2020 6:23:28 PM PST by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forev er!!!)
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To: Forgiven_Sinner

Future read


7 posted on 02/09/2020 6:27:31 PM PST by SES1066 (Happiness is a depressed Washington, DC housing market!)
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To: Forgiven_Sinner

I didn’t watch the entire video, but he seems to be saying that Trump has a good chance of winning both the popular and electoral vote.


8 posted on 02/09/2020 6:30:02 PM PST by Salvey
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To: Salvey

Popular= get rid of guess what?


9 posted on 02/09/2020 6:34:44 PM PST by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: Salvey
I didn’t watch the entire video,

?!?!?!? It’s only 5 mins long - and pretty good analysis

10 posted on 02/09/2020 7:10:45 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: napscoordinator

A lot of Democrats hate him. Iowa looks like they’re using the app to steal the primary, but you could just blame incompetence. Changing the debate stage rules late in the game to let a rich white male Democrat enter ... AFTER several other candidates ran and dropped out is obviously, patently unfair.


11 posted on 02/09/2020 7:31:30 PM PST by tbw2
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To: Salvey

I am rooting for bernie. If Bernie t wins at least 45 states


12 posted on 02/09/2020 7:44:24 PM PST by genghis
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To: genghis

Or there are riots in the streets as civil war breaks out.


13 posted on 02/09/2020 8:08:30 PM PST by MrChips ("To wisdom belongs the apprehension of eternal things." - St. Augustine)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Good post.


14 posted on 02/09/2020 8:31:39 PM PST by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: napscoordinator

He will be whoever’s VP...they need the money. Especially since the Trump administration is drying up illegal funneling of foreign money into their campaigns.


15 posted on 02/09/2020 8:50:39 PM PST by Lady Heron
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To: Forgiven_Sinner

Later


16 posted on 02/09/2020 8:51:36 PM PST by Dave W
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To: Forgiven_Sinner; All

Patriots need to elect a new Congress that will promise to fully support PDJT’s already excellent work for MAGA, now KAGA! (Keep America Great Always!)


17 posted on 02/09/2020 8:52:18 PM PST by Amendment10
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To: Forgiven_Sinner

yep, I like his approach and hope he is right and he may be under estimating Dems turnout but it will be an election that is based on turnout and demographics-IF Trump gets 13% of the black vote as RedEagle states-it’s all over for the Dems-the Black vote is 20-24% of the Dems vote-Trump going from 8 to 13% would be huge and reduce Dems vote total to under 49%-the Demographics are important-look for whoever gets the Presidential nomination to add a person/woman of color to boost vote-although the Hispanic vote is maybe more important as it is now larger.

Just look at the states won by Trump,he won 32 states but only 4 have a population of Hispanic voters over 13%. Clinton by contrast won 28 states and only 5 had a Hispanic population of under 13%.

In CA, the Hispanic Population is now about 40% (and yes fueled by illegal immigrants and higher birth rate )and African American 12%.

This demographic shift and resulting voting trend is what is going on in early stages in Nevada, Az, Fl and now Texas. Colorado is now over 20% Hispanic and now a dem state, Nevada over 29% and voting solidly blue. I believe this is why the dems are for illegal immigration-it gets them votes and power


18 posted on 02/10/2020 12:06:52 AM PST by TECTopcat (TopCat)
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