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What Is the Right Price for Carbon?
Scientific American ^ | 4/2/2010 | Evan Lehmann and Climatewire

Posted on 04/05/2010 6:35:19 PM PDT by EBH

Carbon prices will be applied to car exhaust for the first time under the Obama administration's new tailpipe rule, launched yesterday. But while environmentalists were celebrating, some economists were quietly concerned that U.S. EPA's carbon calculation is too low.

The agency incorporated a preliminary price of $21 for every ton of carbon dioxide expelled from vehicles to help reach its new standard of 35.5 miles per gallon in 2016. That amounts to about 20 cents per gallon or, as two economists claim, a level that's "far too small a price incentive to prompt substantive mitigation measures."

"If widely adopted, this low estimate of the [social cost of carbon] could result in ineffectual regulations that would barely reduce U.S. emissions, if at all," Frank Ackerman and Elizabeth Stanton of the Stockholm Environment Institute say in a new white paper.

The "social cost of carbon" is not a direct tax on gasoline. It is, rather, a calculation that applies a price to each ton of CO2 that's released into the atmosphere, now and decades in the future, based on its potential damage to humans. More damage could occur from rising seas, for example, but less might happen if fewer people die from cold winters. A slew of factors could be plugged in to come up with different prices.

Hazy, but important concept It's a hazy mathematical concept, and government officials have been working to pin down the right price. That's important, because the price will influence a menu of future policies ranging from energy efficiency to engine efficiency.

"The social cost of carbon may be the most important number you've never heard of," the white paper says.

It is an analysis that weighs the costs of addressing carbon damages against the benefits. The paper provides this analogy: If each ton of emissions would incur $5 in damages, then people would be willing to pay less than that to avoid the impact. It's similar to sinking $4 into a parking meter to avoid a $5 ticket.

But what if the parking ticket costs less than the meter? People will accept the damage. That's what the authors believe is happening with carbon.

"The policy choices the government makes would be very different if it estimates climate damages not at $5 but at, say, $500 per ton of carbon (in the same way that a $500 parking fine would make you pay much more attention to putting money in the meter)," the paper says.

Therefore, it might be a good idea to scrap the social cost of carbon methodology and replace it with a different calculation that assumes the worst will happen from climate change, the authors suggest. They assert that the government's analysis largely omits the potential for catastrophic damage.

"The urgent priority is to protect ourselves against those worst cases, not to fine-tune expenditures to the most likely level of damages," the paper says. "The risk of spending 'too much' on clean energy alternatives pales in comparison with the risk of spending too little and irreversibly destabilizing the earth's climate."

Estimates range from $5 to $65 a ton Viewpoints vary widely about the social cost of carbon. There's a government working group with experts from across agencies tackling the issue. It has established wide-ranging prices for carbon because of the uncertainty. Costs per ton range from $5 to $65, but agencies are using $21, which was established as a middle range in a report last month by the working group.

"The government report is, in my view, very well done," Robert Stavins, director of the Harvard Environmental Economics Program, said in an e-mail. "Some of the best economists in the White House, CEA, Treasury, EPA, [Office of Management and Budget], and elsewhere in the Administration worked on it, drawing broadly upon the best available methodologies and literature."


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Chit/Chat; Miscellaneous; Science
KEYWORDS: democrats; envirofascism; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; liberalfascism; obama; unamerican; unscientific
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Social justice, social this, social that...

Social cost of carbon?

Phhhttt!

1 posted on 04/05/2010 6:35:19 PM PDT by EBH
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To: EBH

The “right” price for carbon is $0. LOL.


2 posted on 04/05/2010 6:36:42 PM PDT by ConjunctionJunction (LOLcat sez: "ObamaCare: Do Not Want!")
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To: EBH; Amagi; Fiddlstix; Tunehead54; Clive; FrPR; tubebender; marvlus; TenthAmendmentChampion; ...
 




Beam me to Planet Gore !

3 posted on 04/05/2010 6:37:10 PM PDT by steelyourfaith (Warmists as "traffic light" apocalyptics: "Greens too yellow to admit they're really Reds."-Monckton)
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To: EBH

Let my carbon be free!


4 posted on 04/05/2010 6:40:39 PM PDT by 43north (BHO: 50% white, 50% black, 100% red)
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To: EBH
A slew of factors could be plugged in to come up with different prices.

Another biased, corrupt computer model, just like the climate "science" one.

Garbage in, garbage out.

5 posted on 04/05/2010 6:41:22 PM PDT by LibFreeOrDie (Obama promised a gold mine, but will give us the shaft.)
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To: EBH

I had to check twice to make sure this was not satire. Please people wake up.


6 posted on 04/05/2010 6:41:46 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: EBH
“Once you price CO2 and put a price on it, you find, as you would with any other product, it tends to be rationed. We as a people on this planet have lived under the false concept that air and water were free. And we’ve learned with a planet of 7 billion people, that we have to ration these precious goods. And the good old price system is the best way to do it.”

Richard Sandor, father of the carbon market.
7 posted on 04/05/2010 6:42:28 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
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To: EBH

What ever the scammer can impose I would guess - oops fair? that would be $0.00 I believe!


8 posted on 04/05/2010 6:42:46 PM PDT by J Edgar
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To: EBH

Someday, diamonds will be the cheapest form of carbon.


9 posted on 04/05/2010 6:43:01 PM PDT by Huskrrrr
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To: Parley Baer

I read several times myself in utter amazement. It ain’t satire.


10 posted on 04/05/2010 6:44:57 PM PDT by EBH (Our First Right...."it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it,")
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To: 43north

Coming soon - the tax on the carbon dioxide we expel.


11 posted on 04/05/2010 6:45:33 PM PDT by Jukeman
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To: EBH
Once carbon dioxide is accepted as a taxable pollutant, what is to stop the .GOV from assessing a breathing tax on each of us?

Each of us produces approximately 2.3 pounds of carbon dioxide per day, or ~840 pounds per year. That's 126 million tons of CO2 per year from the US population.

What does it matter if CO2 is produced by cars or by human respiration? The environment doesn't know or care where it comes from. Why tax cars and not breathing?

12 posted on 04/05/2010 6:46:31 PM PDT by Zeddicus
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To: EBH

I went to graduate school at the wrong time. I was taught that prices were determined by the interaction of willing buyers and sellers. I was taught the prices were the signals that allied supply and demand. I may have to be put in a reeducation camp because my thinking is outdated. We do not need markets any longer. We just need the wise government officials with the politically correct view points.


13 posted on 04/05/2010 6:47:41 PM PDT by businessprofessor
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To: EBH
When they get the all electric cars up to good mileage per charge currently it is around 100 miles. I will be buying the new car and avoid all the scams on gas taxes. Here in Kansas a few years ago the state senate raised state tax on gas by 3-5 cents it was for the roads. What happened? They began to use the gas tax for everything but fixing the roads.
14 posted on 04/05/2010 6:52:22 PM PDT by guitarplayer1953 (Rebellion to Tyrants is Obedience to GOD! Thomas Jefferson)
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To: EBH

the social cost of carbon is nothing. It has no impact whatsoever on the environment. All lies to the contrary are attempts to enslave free people.


15 posted on 04/05/2010 6:53:33 PM PDT by muir_redwoods (Obama: Chauncey Gardiner without the homburg)
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To: EBH
What Is the Right Price for Carbon?

Heck, I can make it myself. Just put some pine logs in an old drum and then heat it over a fire. After it cooks about a day or two, open it and the logs have turned to carbon.

16 posted on 04/05/2010 6:53:45 PM PDT by higgmeister ( In the Shadow of The Big Chicken!)
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To: EBH
Feel free to have my response pulled by I'm going to say it.

We're going to have to kill these people. It's the only way to save what little is left of the Republic. They're never going to stop with this crap until we do.

Now, do what you will.

L

17 posted on 04/05/2010 6:55:58 PM PDT by Lurker (The avalanche has begun. The pebbles no longer have a vote.)
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To: EBH

$0.00.

I win.


18 posted on 04/05/2010 6:57:22 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (A MAJORITY (51%) OF TEA PARTIERS ARE DEMOCRATS OR INDEPENDENTS - GALLUP)
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To: EBH

ZERO

PLUS A KNOCK ON THE HEAD WITH A FRYING PAN TO THE PERSON ASKING FOR THE CARBON CREDIT OR GIVING THE CARBON CREDIT.

What a bunch of loons!


19 posted on 04/05/2010 6:57:43 PM PDT by TheConservativeParty ( Lady NRA member. "ZERO is a DRIVE-BY (fake) PRESIDENT")
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To: muir_redwoods

You nailed it. It is about control, not about the environment. I swear, they are deliberately driving the populace to rebellion.


20 posted on 04/05/2010 6:57:49 PM PDT by rlmorel (We are traveling "The Road to Serfdom".)
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