Regarding Connecticut&New Mexico Leaning Tossup.What Are The Explanations?

[muir_redwoods]

Connecticut has high taxes, increasing crime and a dwindling industrial base. The financial services industry is under assault, particularly the health insurance industry. If RINOs count, it’s turning purple.

[july4thfreedomfoundation]

Alot of people who live in Connecticut work in Manhattan’s financial district.

Or maybe I should say USED to work there. Many people have lost their jobs on Wall Street and in the banking industry in NYC. Others who still have jobs are worried about losing them in a tough economic climate, which they know will only get worse in a second Obama term. Most are probably fed up with Obama’s demonization of the “rich.”

[matt04]

I live in Northern CT. This time in on people couldn’t stop talking about how great Obama was. Now it’s like Obama doesn’t exist or outright hatred of him.

[SunkenCiv]

Thanks Ryan_Rubio_2016. And Illinois? Michigan? New York? The Obama Recession leads directly to the Obama Implosion — and Zero’s starting another shooting war (with Syria or Iran, or both) will wreck his prospects, even among the straight-party-ticket a-holes on the left. And if you hear one ranting and raving, remind them that they are PRO-WAR.

[Judge Kovitzky]

I was part of the Connecticut conservative movement in the 90’s. The state is full of conservative Roman Catholics who voted reliably Democrat. They were able to justify this behavior a number of ways but were never comfortable with the secular leftists in their party. When Obama took on the Catholic Church it was too much for many of them. If they have to choose between the Church and Obama, Obama will lose. New Mexico and Connecticut both have that Catholic connection.

[Judge Kovitzky]

I was part of the Connecticut conservative movement in the 90’s. The state is full of conservative Roman Catholics who voted reliably Democrat. They were able to justify this behavior a number of ways but were never comfortable with the secular leftists in their party. When Obama took on the Catholic Church it was too much for many of them. If they have to choose between the Church and Obama, Obama will lose. New Mexico and Connecticut both have that Catholic connection.

[SMGFan]

Where have these two states been called “Lean Obama” ?

[SaraJohnson]

I hope the Catholics and Christians get us out from under obama’s stinky boot.

[PhxTM06]

Keep in mind that around this same point in time, Carter was polling ahead of Reagan. With the Ryan addition to the campaign, they finally have some Romney........ignorant comments by Akin aside.............they are having success, the Obummer campaign is throwing the kitchen sink at them and saying basically ANYTHING at this point and they are still flailing, as Obama is the incumbent, things will only get worse for him from here on out.

[Judge Kovitzky]

Remember that Obama is pro regionalization. The people of Connecticut will go to war over that. It's been a sore spot in Connecticut for over 60 years. Regionalization is a battle Obama’s mentors lost. Liberal’s never give up.

[madameguinot]

My only other thought is that Conn and NM have been polled fewer times due being solid BHO states, hence a poor sampling overall.

[CedarDave]

Regarding New Mexico, where did that information come from?

[who_would_fardels_bear]

I don’t care where Nevada is in the polls, if Romney can get out close to 100% of the LDS vote, which he will, then he wins Nevada.

[PA Engineer]

Do you have some links for that polling?

[Road Glide]

I’ve been a Connecticut resident for 62 years.

Since the 80’s, the state has been tipping further and further left, to the point where it’s essentially “toppled over”. I don’t believe there currently is a single Republican representing the state in Congress (House/Senate).

Linda McMahon is making a second attempt for the Senate, but she lost last time despite spending millions, has spent millions again this time to fend off a couple of primary challengers, will spend millions more between now and November, and.... probably lose again. (Aside: one can’t help think that she’s trying to buy the office, a la John Corzine.)

Romney may get close here, but I doubt he’ll win. I’d say his chances here are about as good as they are in Massachusetts next door...

I’d enjoy being proven wrong this November...

[Ryan_Rubio_2016]

and lets keep in mind Pennsylvania, we all know Romney would win assuming no voter fraud. the GOP voters need to come out in full force to take the state. Now that would be the October Surprise. “Romney Leads Obama By 10 Points In Pennsylvania”!

[pistolpackinpapa]

giving Obama more states to worry about and less money and time to campaign in.
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BINGO! You nailed it. Obama and team blew their wad this summer and it has not hurt Romney in the polls. Now, Obama’s cash flow is tanking and Romney has about $40 Million more on hand for the final two months of the campaign than Obama has. PLUS....Romney’s Super Pacs have a gazillion dollars to spend. The Obama team miscalculated badly.

[pistolpackinpapa]

Tell us Matt: What do you think are the chances that Romney will carry CT? Realistically.

[peeps36]

There are a lot of democrats around here who won't be voting for obama this time around. I can't tell you how many people thought it was harmless to vote for the black guy they knew little about. They made my blood boil when they would tell me I'm overreacting. There are a lot of voters out here in North West CT who can't wait to fix the mistake they made four years ago.