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Global population to soar to 11 billion by 2100 as African population quadruples
dm ^

Posted on 06/14/2013 10:46:17 AM PDT by traumer

The world’s population will reach almost eleven billion by the end of the century because of soaring birth rates in Africa, according to new research. The latest projection is about 800 million - eight percent - more than a previous UN forecast of 10.1 billion issued in 2011.

Researchers had expected fertility on the poorest continent where a woman will give birth to an average of 5.2 children in her lifetime, to fall more quickly than it has.

The current African population is about 1.1 billion and it is now expected to reach 4.2 billion, nearly a fourfold increase, by 2100.

Professor Adrian Raftery, of the University of Washington, said: 'The fertility decline in Africa has slowed down or stalled to a larger extent than we previously predicted, and as a result the African population will go up.'

A study last year found shifting population trends mean one in three children born by 2050 will be African.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Food; Society
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 06/14/2013 10:46:17 AM PDT by traumer
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To: traumer

Jeb Bush would say they were fertile.


2 posted on 06/14/2013 10:48:00 AM PDT by hadaclueonce (dont worry about Mexico, put the fence around kalifornia.)
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To: traumer

No, it won’t. There’s no way they can produce enough food to feed that many.


3 posted on 06/14/2013 10:49:46 AM PDT by Lurker (Violence is rarely the answer. But when it is it is the only answer.)
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To: traumer

The populations of most civilized nations are top heavy. Meaning there are significantly more older people then younger. The younger generation will not be able to support the economies necessary to care for the older generations.

By about 2040 the populations of most countries will see a significant decline as people die.


4 posted on 06/14/2013 10:50:09 AM PDT by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: Lurker

Little green crackers


5 posted on 06/14/2013 10:50:30 AM PDT by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: hadaclueonce

Paging Bill & Melinda Gates....


6 posted on 06/14/2013 10:51:26 AM PDT by traumer
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To: traumer

African population will rise then fall dramatically when the next killer STD comes along and wipes out 1/2 the population before a cure can be found.

There’s no changing the nature of some races and societies. Their propensities will be their demise.


7 posted on 06/14/2013 10:53:11 AM PDT by CarmichaelPatriot
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To: Lurker

I disagree. But I respect your thoughts and views. The majority of starvation in Africa is because of political neglect or parental neglect. The planet can produce food for double or triple the population.


8 posted on 06/14/2013 10:54:16 AM PDT by HChampagne
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To: traumer

Prosperity bring low birth rates.


9 posted on 06/14/2013 10:56:55 AM PDT by JimSEA
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To: HChampagne

Yes, but you assume they can pay for that food to be produced? I don’t care where one is, fuel and seeds aren’t free, much less transporting goods from field to market.

The planet can produce much more food. True. The global economy? Not so much.


10 posted on 06/14/2013 11:02:00 AM PDT by datura (Vote from the rooftops.)
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To: Lurker

My thought exactly. Of course, it will be up to us to feed the starving masses.


11 posted on 06/14/2013 11:02:32 AM PDT by tgusa (gun control: deep breath, sight alignment, squeeze the trigger .......)
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To: HChampagne

“The majority of starvation in Africa is because of political neglect or parental neglect”

And there is absolutely no reason to assume that will change. Africa will win again.


12 posted on 06/14/2013 11:06:31 AM PDT by Lurker (Violence is rarely the answer. But when it is it is the only answer.)
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To: traumer
This is interesting in light of the general consensus during the African AIDS epidemic that they were facing a Black Death level of de-population.
13 posted on 06/14/2013 11:09:44 AM PDT by D_Idaho ("For we wrestle not against flesh and blood...")
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To: traumer
The current African population is about 1.1 billion and it is now expected to reach 4.2 billion, nearly a fourfold increase, by 2100.

I have to assume they are using "normal" birth rates taken from "normal" countries. Africa can hardly be considered "normal" under the standards of a civilized society.

Tribal warfare, genocide and starvation rule that country and will certainly keep the population boom under control....

14 posted on 06/14/2013 11:12:00 AM PDT by Hot Tabasco (This space for rent)
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To: traumer

Nope , African has built in population controls ,called Leaders of Government


15 posted on 06/14/2013 11:16:32 AM PDT by molson209
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To: traumer

Well either they’re all going to starve to death, die of AIDS, be trampled under by climate change and annihilate each other in wars, or reproduce and multiply up to 11 billion. Which is it?


16 posted on 06/14/2013 11:25:50 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: CarmichaelPatriot
African population will rise then fall dramatically when the next killer STD comes along and wipes out 1/2 the population before a cure can be found. There’s no changing the nature of some races and societies. Their propensities will be their demise.

The African population would be half it's size (if not smaller) if Western nations did not prop up Africa with medicine and aid. But for that medicine diseases in Africa would have eliminated a larger percentage of the population as they had before the introduction of Western medicine; and but for Western aid and food more Africans would have died of starvation. People may think it's great that more Africans now survive, but that also means less resources per capita for Africans and far more Africans being born into dire poverty.

17 posted on 06/14/2013 11:44:28 AM PDT by NotYourAverageDhimmi
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To: HChampagne

Not without high inputs of petroleum derived fertilizers and insecticides, not to mention vast amounts of water.

There is some question whether there will be enough petroleum based products to use for this purpose. Also, is there is an upper limit to how far you can ‘augment’ the natural productivity of soil. Then there is the issue of water, which also requires vast amounts of energy to move around.

Then there is the question of capital to pay for all these things. Will the Chinese pay for it all? If so, at what price to Africans?


18 posted on 06/14/2013 11:50:06 AM PDT by Lorianne (fedgov, taxporkmoney)
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To: traumer

The Democrats will fix this.....one way or another.


19 posted on 06/14/2013 11:54:49 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: Lurker

There is no way WE can produce enough food to feed them.

The population of Africa has skyrocketed over the past 30 years because of all the money raised and sent to feed the starving.


20 posted on 06/14/2013 12:35:58 PM PDT by Cowboy Bob (Democrats: Robbing Peter to buy Paul's vote.)
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To: Lurker

I call BS on that too. The trend, even in traditionally high family regions such as India, the Middle East, and Africa, is SMALLER families.


21 posted on 06/14/2013 1:09:41 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee (May God have mercy upon my enemies, because I won't. - Patton)
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To: traumer
UN forecast...Researchers....African population (...) 'expected' to reach 4.2 billion...

Translation for the tin-eared: "Hey you guilty American/European scumbags...give us all your money. NOW!"

22 posted on 06/14/2013 1:58:50 PM PDT by Moltke ("I am Dr. Sonderborg," he said, "and I don't want any nonsense.")
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