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Cities Where Americans Don’t Feel Safe
Wall Street 24X7 ^ | 04/22/2014 | By Alexander E.M. Hess, Thomas C. Frohlich and Vince Calio

Posted on 04/22/2014 12:17:29 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

According to Gallup, 70.5% of Americans surveyed in 2012 and 2013 said they felt safe walking alone at night. This is effectively unchanged from 2011, when 71% of respondents said they felt safe.

In a number of metro areas, however, far fewer residents felt safe at night. In McAllen, Texas, where Americans were least likely to feel safe, less than half of all respondents were comfortable outside of their homes after dark. Based on data gathered by the Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index, these are the 10 cities where Americans felt the least safe.

Seven of the 10 metro areas in which residents felt the least safe had violent crime rates above the nationwide rate of 386.9 incidents per 100,000 people in 2012. In the Memphis, Tenn., area, there were 1,056.8 violent crimes per 100,000 people, the most of any metro area in the country. Stockton, Calif., also had one of the highest violent crime rates in the nation, with 889.3 incidents per 100,000 residents.

But not all metro areas where residents felt unsafe had high violent crime rates. In two metro areas, McAllen and Yakima, Wash., there were just 319 and 349 violent incidents, respectively, for every 100,000 residents in 2012. In both cases, this was below the national rate.

Click here to see the cities where Americans don’t feel safe

24/7 Wall St. discussed the issue with John Roman, senior fellow at the Urban Institute, a nonpartisan think-tank based in Washington, D.C. “A fact of modern life [is] that people are bombarded with negative stories about crime,” Roman said. People “develop the perception that where they live, or wherever they like to go, isn’t safe.”

While concerns about safety may be somewhat misplaced in some areas, in others, such “perceptions of feeling unsafe are right on,” Roman added. In those areas, residents may feel unsafe because crime is underreported. In immigrant communities, because “people who are victimized are afraid to come forward and report it, there’s a hidden number of crime,” Roman explained.

However, in bigger cities, like Washington, D.C., New York and Dallas, “immigrant populations are thriving because they can do business with the local governments in Spanish. Those cities that are attracting a lot of first and second generation immigrants have really much lower crime rates than you’d expect,” said Roman.

Residents of areas who are less likely to feel safe tended to also struggle to afford adequate shelter. According to Gallup, the relationship between the concerns for personal safety and being able to afford housing is not coincidental. “The factors that contribute to both of these problems are often rooted in socioeconomic status and are likely traced back to poverty and the discontent that comes with it,” Gallup noted.

In fact, these areas also suffered from high poverty rates. Each of the 10 had a poverty rate greater than the national rate in 2012. In Fresno, Calif., and McAllen, 28.4% and 34.5% of the population lived below the poverty line that year. Both were among the highest rates for any metro area in the country.

However, Roman noted that the state of the local economy is often “less related than you might think it might be” to perceptions of safety. Instead, perceptions of where an area is heading might be more important. Certain parts of the country that are improving “might be poorer than average, but there’s a sense of optimism, there’s a sense of development,” he explained.

Not surprisingly, residents in these areas also reported being unhappy with where they lived. Across the United States, 85% of residents told Gallup they felt satisfied with where they lived. In nine of the 10 metro areas where residents felt least safe, residents had lower satisfaction rates. In Stockton, just 73.3% of people surveyed were satisfied with the area, the second lowest rate in the country.

To determine the 10 metro areas where people felt most unsafe walking alone at night, 24/7 Wall St. reviewed figures from the Gallup-Healthways Well Being Index. Responses were collected for the index over 2012 and 2013. To determine how recorded crime rates actually aligned with citizens’ opinions of these areas, we considered figures published in the FBI’s Uniform Crime Report for 2012. Unemployment rates are from the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2013 and are seasonally adjusted. Other figures such as poverty rates, education and income are from the Census Bureau’s 2012 American Community Survey. Population figures are from 2012 as well.

These are the 10 cities where Americans don’t feel safe.

10. Fresno, Calif.
> Pct. feel safe at night: 57.2%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 14.1% (11th highest)
> Violent crime rate: 539.8 per 100,000 residents (58th highest)
> Poverty rate: 28.4% (5th highest)
> Population: 951,648 (74th highest)

Fresno had among the highest property crime rates in the nation in 2012, with 4,424 crimes per 100,000 residents. That year, there were nearly 730 motor vehicle thefts per 100,000 people in the area, the most out of all but three other metro areas in the United States. Fresno continues to struggle with high unemployment. In December 2013, the area’s unemployment rate was 12.4%, among the highest in the nation. Like most of the cities where people do not feel safe, Fresno also had a high poverty rate of more than 28%, one of the highest rates in America. The residents’ impression of their city was also quite poor as less than 48% believed their city was getting better, well below the national rate of 59.7%.

9. Huntington-Ashland, W.Va.-Ky.-Ohio
> Pct. feel safe at night: 56.7%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 9.6% (86th lowest)
> Violent crime rate: N/A
> Poverty rate: 18.3% (111th highest)
> Population: 364,665 (166th highest)

Like several metro areas where people felt unsafe, educational attainment rates were relatively low. Less than one in five Huntington-area residents had attained at least a bachelor’s degree as of 2012, considerably lower than the nationwide rate of nearly 30%. In contrast to other metro areas where residents did not feel safe, a relatively low proportion of respondents, 9.6%, said they did not have enough money for shelter in the past 12 months. However, a typical household in the area made just $39,160 in 2012, among the lowest incomes. And while nearly 60% of Americans thought the city they lived in was getting better last year, just 40% of Huntington residents told Gallup their city was improving, among the worst such assessments.

ALSO READ: America’s Fastest Shrinking Cities

8. Memphis, Tenn.-Miss.-Ark.
> Pct. feel safe at night: 56.3%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 13.7% (18th highest)
> Violent crime rate: 1056.8 per 100,000 (the highest)
> Poverty rate: 19.9% (76th highest)
> Population: 1,341,690 (59th highest)

Memphis had the nation’s highest violent crime rate in 2012, with 1,057 such crimes per 100,000 residents. That year, the area had 155 murders, or 11.5 per 100,000 people — among the highest rates in the nation. Incidents of aggravated assault and robbery were similarly prevalent as well. Nearly 20% of area residents lived below the poverty line in 2012, compared to slightly less than 16% nationally. Memphis residents were among the most likely Americans to state they lacked money for adequate shelter, with 13.7% saying so in 2012 and 2013. Despite all of this, many residents had strong evaluations of their own lives, as only residents in three other metro areas nationwide gave higher evaluations of their prospects in the next five years.

7. Fayetteville, N.C.
> Pct. feel safe at night: 56.0%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 12.7% (29th highest)
> Violent crime rate: 501.0 per 100,000 people (71st highest)
> Poverty rate: 19.7% (86th highest)
> Population: 377,864 (162nd highest)

Fayetteville residents were among the most likely to be victims of property crime. There were 5,359 property crimes and 1,827 burglaries per 100,000 residents in 2012, both the third highest rates nationwide. Violent crime was also a problem in the area. There were more than 500 violent incidents per 100,000 area residents in 2012, well above the national rate of 386.9 per 100,000. There were also 7.9 murders per 100,000 people in the area, versus 4.7 murders per 100,000 nationwide. Like many of the cities where residents felt unsafe walking at night, Fayetteville had a poverty rate well above the national rate of 15.9%.

ALSO READ: Nine Countries That Hate America Most

6. Mobile, Ala.
> Pct. feel safe at night: 54.5%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 13.8% (16th highest)
> Violent crime rate: 552.1 per 100,000 (46th highest)
> Poverty rate: 21.1% (54th highest)
> Population: 414,233 (151st highest)

Mobile’s high violent crime rate in 2012 may be why so many residents felt unsafe at night. That year there were more than 550 violent crimes per 100,000 residents, more than in the vast majority of areas. The metro had 11.1 murders and voluntary manslaughters per 100,000 residents, among the highest rates in the country. The area also had 4,298.8 property crimes per 100,000 people in 2012, also among the highest in the country. Like many areas where residents feel unsafe at night, many residents in the area were also struggling to make ends meet, as 9% of Mobile’s households earned less than $10,000, one of the highest percentages in the country. Nearly 14% of Mobile’s population did not have enough money for shelter in the past year, among the worst rates in the nation.

5. Modesto, Calif.
> Pct. feel safe at night: 54.2%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 14.2%% (10th highest)
> Violent crime rate: 549.4 per 100,000 (48th highest)
> Poverty rate: 20.3% (64th highest)
> Population: 523,330 (124th highest)

With relatively high crime rates, Modesto residents are not likely to feel completely at ease walking alone at night. Motor vehicle theft was particularly bad in the area, with more than 780 incidents per 100,000 residents in 2012, second worst nationwide. Like many metro areas where people feel unsafe, Modesto’s economy has been strained in recent years. The unemployment rate was an abysmal 12.3% at the end of last year, among the highest rates nationwide. More than one in five residents lived in poverty in 2012, also among the highest rates in the nation. More than 14% of respondents said they had enough money for shelter at all times in the past 12 months, among the worst rates in the country.

ALSO READ: Ten Cities Where Young People Can’t Find Work

4. Columbus, Ga.-Ala.
> Pct. feel safe at night: 54.2%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 14.8% (7th highest)
> Violent crime rate: 437.4 per 100,000 (99th highest)
> Poverty rate: 18.7% (102nd highest)
> Population: 304,291 (182nd highest)

Like in many of the cities in which people do not feel safe, 14.8% of Columbus residents said that they did not have enough money for adequate shelter within the past year, among the 10 worst rates in the country. A high percentage of people in the area struggled economically. The area’s median household income was less than $43,000 in 2012, versus more than $51,000 nationwide. Additionally, the area had one of the nation’s highest portions of residents on food stamps, at 20.6% that year. The region also had 166.3 robberies per 100,000 people in 2012, among the highest rates in the nation, and 4,778.6 property crimes per 100,000 people, worse than all but just five other metro areas in the country.

3. Stockton, Calif.
> Pct. feel safe at night: 52.2%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 12.5% (tied for 34th highest)
> Violent crime rate: 889.3 per 100,000 (6th highest)
> Poverty rate: 18.4% (108th highest)
> Population: 702,670 (97th highest)

Stockton had 889 incidents of violent crime for every 100,000 residents in 2012, higher than all but a handful of metro areas nationwide. That year, there were 89 murders, or 12.7 per 100,000 residents, among the highest rates in the nation. Cases of aggravated assault and robbery were also extremely frequent. Violent crime was such a problem in Stockton that year that the city’s police declared a policy of immediately dispatching officers only in cases of violent crimes and crimes in progress. The city of Stockton, which is currently working on plans to exit from bankruptcy, has lost police officers in recent years due to a combination of layoffs and retirements. At the end of 2013, 12% of the area’s workforce was unemployed. While this was down from 16% two years before, it was still among the worst unemployment rates in the nation.

2. Yakima, Wash.
> Pct. feel safe at night: 51.3%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 12.5% (tied for 34th highest)
> Violent crime rate: 349.4 per 100,000 (172nd highest)
> Poverty rate: 23.1% (29th highest)
> Population: 249,564 (178th lowest)

While Yakima residents often felt unsafe walking home alone at night, the area’s violent crime rate was actually lower than the national rate. Property crime, however, remains a problem. Despite Yakima County’s Crimestoppers grassroots organization, which encourages citizens to report crimes, the area had 1,217.7 burglaries per 100,000 people in 2012, and 673.2 car thefts per 100,000 people, both among the highest rates in the country. Like most metro areas in which residents do not feel safe walking alone at night, Yakima is struggling economically. Nearly one-quarter of the area’s residents had to rely on food stamps for at least part of 2012, and 23.1% of residents lived in poverty in 2012 — both among the worst rates in the country.

ALSO READ: America’s Most Miserable Cities

1. McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, Texas
> Pct. feel safe at night: 48.5%
> Pct. without money for shelter: 24.5% (the highest)
> Violent crime rate: 319.2 per 100,000 (160th lowest)
> Poverty rate: 34.5% (2nd highest)
> Population: 809,759 (90th highest)

McAllen was the only metro area in which less than half of all respondents felt safe walking home alone at night. This was despite the fact that McAllen actually had a lower violent crime rate than the United States overall in 2012, at just 319 incidents per 100,000 residents, versus 387 crimes for 100,000 residents nationally. However, violence along the border with Mexico remains a concern for many McAllen residents. The State Department warns against traveling to the neighboring city of Reynosa, Mexico, due to high levels of drug-related violence. Additionally, nearly 25% of residents stated they did not have enough money for adequate shelter at some point in the previous year, by far the most of any metro area. A lack of adequate shelter may be tied to the relatively low economic prosperity in the region. In 2012, 34.5% of residents lived below the poverty line, and the median household income was just $33,761, both among the worst in the nation.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Society
KEYWORDS: cities; crime; safety
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To: SeekAndFind

I live outside of Tampa. I did’t feel safe because of the pitbulls, wild hogs, and panthers that live in the area.

So I carry, now I feel safe.


41 posted on 04/22/2014 1:08:30 PM PDT by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: dhs12345

I remember a time when people not only left their doors unlocked, but wide open in the summer. And I live close to a city.

Today, only the foolish leave doors unlocked. Well..unless they have an arsenal.


42 posted on 04/22/2014 1:15:12 PM PDT by fatnotlazy
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To: SeekAndFind
Oh I know. As with any city. Just a few murders recently?

BTW, it is a great city. Reminds me of old town Denver — old, beautiful, tree lined streets. I stayed in Skokie.

Just don't travel too far south on Milwaukee Ave. Lol. I got a little lost and ended up the bridge that crosses the river. I remember the burned out buildings. Like a war zone. Fortunately, I wasn't driving a metallic pea family truckster.

43 posted on 04/22/2014 1:21:10 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: Tenacious 1
Something is missing here (maybe it’s me). Are they only measuring change through polling? There is no mention of Chicago or Detroit.

Nor is there any mention of what is considered "violent crime"...........

Nah, I don't give any credibility to these types of polls since they can be skewed in any way they want........

While I live just north of Detroit, I wouldn't drive thru any Det. neighborhoods at night unless I absolutely had to.

For what it's worth, I worked in a manufacturing plant on Detroit's east side for almost 35 years and during that time, over a dozen employees I personally knew were either shot or lost to murders.....

The plant closed at the end of 2006 and since that time, the crime on that side of the city has gotten dramatically worse......

Here's another factoid that many people aren't aware of. There is not one single large shopping mall within the city limits of Detroit.......all the malls on the east side are located in the surrounding suburbs such as Roseville and Sterling Heights.

44 posted on 04/22/2014 1:23:53 PM PDT by Hot Tabasco (Under Reagan spring always arrived on time.....)
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To: fatnotlazy

Wow. Of course. To cool the house.

My grandparents lived in a city suburb and after years of nagging from my aunts, they finally locked the doors. Never a problem, though.


45 posted on 04/22/2014 1:26:33 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: fatnotlazy
I regularly leave my doors unlocked. So do my neighbors.

None of us have an 'arsenal'.

Then again, we're not up in liberal moon-bat northeastern corridor, either.

/johnny

46 posted on 04/22/2014 1:46:18 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: forgotten man; All
‘all have large populations of immigrants who have committed acts of love.’

The political class for their reasons want there to be a lot more cities where basically white middle class Americans feel unsafe for good reasons. The leadership class is determined to inexorably change the racial composition of the US through unlimited immigration through acts of love by those from one region after another whose culture and mores are incompatible with the US middle class. When Mexico exhausts its supply of border crossrs it will be the turn of Brazil and after Brazil , sub-Saharan Africa. Every effort to sabotage any real assimilation will be made under the banner of ‘oppose white racism’. When the racial composition is tilted far enough to the dark side then the political class can roll out their next program. The Mahdi slipped up with the ‘civil force as powerful as the armed forces’ quote. That will only be rolled out when their are enough unassimilated, marginal, dark skinned males to fill up the rank and file of the ‘Federal Community Police’ and the ‘Community Police Auxiliaries’. The one for those who have no major criminal records the other for ‘Minority youts’ from the equivalent of the Latin Lords or the Crips and Treys. Then the ‘community organizers’ and ‘community police’ can be sent to visit mostly white suburbs to conduct the ‘Safe Streets Initiative’ and visit folks at random to make sure no ‘child porn’ is on your computer or no ‘unauthorized weapons’ are left around ‘where children might find them’. Of course there will be a lot of misunderstanding and some mean, racists, white men will get beaten or shot and houses will be ransacked because ‘children are endangered’. This is not some far fetched birchite fantasy. The political class want white middle class Americans terrorized into silence and over a number of generations they want the European population base to be so diluted through discouraging tradition family creation and encouraging as much inter racial ‘social contact’ as possible . Why? White middle class Americans are to self reliant and have obstructive cultural attitudes towards an omnipotent state which is the goal of the political class. The political class can watch the progress of their schemes from their gated enclaves.

47 posted on 04/22/2014 2:01:20 PM PDT by robowombat
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To: SeekAndFind
Chicago is a BIG city. Just avoid the South side and you’ll be OK.

The west side too. But seriously, large parts of Chicago are actually quite safe. I think of the 360 or so murders from last year, only 30 had white victims

48 posted on 04/22/2014 2:23:08 PM PDT by sharkhawk (Mr Gorbachev, tear down this wall.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Yakima, Wash has aprox. 250,000 people so the 350/100K equals about 875 violent crimes in 2012.

And somehow the home invasions and gang banging there is always making the national news.

I was born there, visit occasionally, and wouldn’t thing of being unarmed there.

Years ago, Dad’s neighbor came home and interupted a couple guys carrying part of his firearm collection out of the house. The neighbor drew the part of the collection, not stored in the house, and shot and killed one of the perps.

Dad was always well prepared.


49 posted on 04/22/2014 2:44:54 PM PDT by G Larry (There's the Beef!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Memphis is trying harder to get to number one. Right now the safest one can be there is on the I-40-I-55 Loop and heading away in all directions.


50 posted on 04/22/2014 2:55:10 PM PDT by vetvetdoug
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To: Responsibility2nd

“I was on Beale Street a few years ago and I didn’t feel safe. Not at all.”
_______________________________________________________
I was born in Memphis, 1944, when the black population was less then 40%. Up into the 60s, Memphis was rated the nations quietest and cleanest city. It also had the nations number one fire department, with the National Firefighters convention held there each year.
Beale St. was originally a black only street downtown, and frequented only in daytime by whites going to the numerous army surplus stores. It is where we went to buy summer camping supplies.
Beale converted into a tourist area, with numerous nightclubs in the 90s.
Since I left for the last time in 2000, the city has declined, with the black population growing to 60%, and taking over the government. I think the murder rate is now the highest in the US.
Memphis has “Gone With the Wind”.
Memphis FReepers, please correct any mistakes that I made in this post.


51 posted on 04/22/2014 3:40:04 PM PDT by AlexW
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To: AlexWall

Memphis has “Gone With the Wind”.

This sounds like Mobile a city trending the same way.


52 posted on 04/22/2014 7:20:16 PM PDT by robowombat
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To: fatnotlazy

We had a big mulberry tree in the yard and when it got really hot Grandma had a double bed she would put under the tree and I would sleep out there with her. Now the town I grew up in is nothing but illegals and you better be outta there before dark.


53 posted on 04/23/2014 8:21:45 AM PDT by sheana
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