Posted on 10/01/2008 5:09:01 PM PDT by Publius804
This is looking uglier & uglier:
Obama/Biden 353 McCain/Palin 185
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday is unchanged from the day before with Barack Obama attracting 51% of the vote while John McCain earns 45%. This is the sixth straight day that Obama has been at 50% or 51%, the sixth straight day that McCain has been at 44% or 45%, and the sixth straight day the Obama has enjoyed a five or six point lead (see trends).
Nope, this is the reality thread.
It is the chicken little thread except for a few of us who seem to figured out what is happening! Convenient for some I would say to be the sky is falling poster.
I live in Minnesota. We have liberals, the Star and Tribune and the Minnesota Poll (owned by the Star and Tribune). Now the Minnesota Poll never actually polls anyone. They have the paper's editors estimate how far ahead the Democrats have to "poll" to sound believable. It saves a great deal of expense, you see.
I know there are lots of people who just want to be part of the herd. Still, I don't believe the polls. This year it's worse than ever. The electorate doesn't shift ten points in one day...period.
I'll wait until the day after the election before I will believe that Obama won.
It is obvious with the Bail Out that we have two Socialists to vote for.
Here’s the thing...even if you spot McCain OH,FL,VA and NV that gets him to 265 EVs. He’s going to have to win CO to win the White House and that seems increasingly unlikely. But these are weird times and weird things can happen.
Maybe we need to get Sarah to tie a rope around his consensus build AZZ and drag him through. He reverting right back to his RINO roots.
Pray folks he wakes up before its to late.
For a guy with Mac’s background, he sure seems to lack “fire in the belly”.
The latest whooo-boy was the complete whiff on “hey, I don’t care if Gwen Iffil stands to make about a half million bucks if Obambi gets elected, I’m ‘SURE’ she will be professional and objective!”..
Or, even better..”this Democrat sponsored bill for SOCIALISM is just fine and dandy! I think I’ll vote FOR the 850 billion..er..trillion..er..two trillion $$s”.
I can’t BELIEVE this guy has blown what was a respectable shot at winning just 3 short weeks ago, into what sure as hell looks like a blow-out by the bad guys at this point..
I believe these polls 100%.
You people do realize that the media onslaught on the McCain/Palin ticket has been UNRELENTLESSLY negative and they have virtually ignored Obama and Biden.
My local paper had 3 negative Palin articles on its OBITURARY page today.
This race is over unless there is a national revolt by the 30% or so fair minded Americans left who see that the fix is in.
Last time I checked it was still 0-0, but I guess its all over. Don’t believe the Establishment press. Same as last time. I’m still getting over Kerry’s 330 electral win.
Pray for W, Gov Palin and Our Troops
He’ll actually pick up more votes if he votes for the bail out. First of all, it dampens the “fire” the media keeps hyping and gets this off of the front page. That benefits McCain.
Secondly, all this bluster by “the people” on not supporting the bailout will give way over the next several weeks as they see their investments sink or stay flat. Their will be enough poor mouthing by the media that it will eventually worry most people. The majority are wishy washy and their support for the resistence will soon turn to casting stones. Those who didn’t support it will take a beating at the polls.
With these new state results, the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Obama leading in states with 200 Electoral College votes while McCain has the edge in states with 174 votes. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 255-200 (see Quick Campaign Overview). A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (see 50-State Summary).
This financial crisis is being managed by the Democrats as an election ploy, and I’m sadly beginning to believe it’s working. Their accomplices in the media have now abandoned even any faint pretense of journalistic integrity as they openly campaign for the coronation of their king.
To make matters worse, McCain is once more looking like McCain. He should have used the opportunity provided by the first debate to hammer Obama with the truth that the media will not EVER reveal, starting with the fact that Obama’s cronies are literally the drivers of the financial mess, and following up with exposure regarding Ayres and Rezko.
Unfortunately, McCain did none of this. He is once more behaving like the lukewarm mamby-pamby “bipartisan” we’ve always known him to be. He has been essentially a parrot of the left on the financial crisis, instead of standing up for what the people want. He has also squandered the Sarah Palin factor by trying to turn her into Jane McCain instead of letting her be the woman America fell in love with.
There is of course some bias in virtually all the major polls, but a good deal of this ugly trend is reality-based and we’d be wise not to deny that fact.
MM
On a positive note: Governor Palin can go back to Alaska in peace and start chatting with Todd about secession. Turn a character-killing rumor into a distinct possibility. If I were her, I would. All those resources and all that land ...
I refused to believe the polls that told us how popular Bill Clinton was, and then he won a second term. I don’t know what to believe right now, and actually feel quite discouraged.
If the bill is full of earmarks (I’ve heard it is) and John McCain votes for it, there goes his main argument differentiating him from Barack’ACORN’Obama.
Barry’s meeting with Bubba worked.What did he promise Bubba.He only stays one term?
This is simply what a state by state map would look like (roughly) if Obama really led nationally by the 5% RCP average (roughly). I would ignore it. The EC map doesn’t really matter one way or the other unless the national race was within 1.5-2% or so. If a candidate is leading by more than 2 percent nationally, it is a virtual certainty that he will also be leading in enough states to get to 270 EVs, even if you don’t know what specific states.
What you should focus on is who these pollsters are polling and are these people actually representative of likely voters. Virtually all of the pollsters are assuming that Democrats are going to have a huge and historically unprecedented turnout advantage over Republicans on election day — as much as 7-10 points or more in some polls I’ve seen recently. This is badly skewing the RCP average towards Obama, both in national polls and the state by state polls.
But in actual elections, no party has had more than a 4 point advantage in turnout in any Presidential election since 1988. Did you think that the 2006 mid-year election was horrible for the GOP? It was. You know what advantage Democrats had over Repbulicans in that election? 3 percent. That’s right, 3 percent. 37 to 34. Not 10 percent, not even 5 percent. In 2004, the highest turnout election ever in a Presidential election, neither party had any advantage in turnout. In 2000, the Democrats had a 4 point advantage — but Gore defeated Bush nationally by only 0.5% (and, of course, barely lost in the Electoral College — note that this margin is < 1.5%, but I already mentioned this earlier).
Yep and two weeks ago we were thinking is was going to be a landslide for McCain. Now its a land slide for BHO.
We know the press wants BHO and Homeless men in Ohio voting for BHO I am afraid this country will get what it deserves.
JOHN! WAKE UP! YOU DIDN'T HEAR YOUR WAKE UP CALL!
vaudine
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