Skip to comments.Your Daily ‘Can This Be True?’ Polls (Dingell Down by 4 in MI, Abercrombie tied for HI Gov)
Posted on 10/08/2010 5:32:18 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
It seems each day brings some poll almost too good to be true for Republicans.
A new independent poll has the dean of the U.S. House, Rep. John Dingell, D-Mich., trailing his Republican opponent, Rob Steele, by 4 percentage points.
The automated phone survey of 300 people in the 15th Congressional District shows Steele getting 43.8 percent of the vote while Dingell, a Dearborn Democrat and the longest-serving member of Congress, at 39.5 percent and undecided voters at 11 percent. The gap is within the polls margin of error of plus or minus 5.6 percentage points. The poll was conducted Monday.
Dingells campaign said the survey conducted by the Rossman Group of Lansing and Team TelCom is a Republican front and is contradicted by other polls in recent weeks.
That sample size is a bit small, but even if Steele is a few points behind that number, hes still in really good shape for a GOP challenger against the guy whos proven unbeatable for the past four decades or so.
The race for Hawaii governor is in a dead heat between Neil Abercrombie and Duke Aiona, according to the latest poll.
Its 48 percent for Abercrombie, 48 percent for Aiona. Its not a statewide sampling, but instead represents much of Oahu.
The poll was taken by Public Policy Polling over the weekend on behalf of the online political blog Daily Kos. It surveyed more that 640 voters in the First Congressional District and found the governors race neck and neck.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
If Dingell is in trouble in Michigan, the Democrats are in a heap o' trouble everywhere.
Dems would pitch a Fitch if Abercrombie won......
Keep your powder dry, folks.
We have yet to get the October surprise.
I think we’re starting to see the wave.
Meanwhile in the 7th district race our former RINO congressman (Schwarz) has endorsed the marxist... again.
The SOB lost to Walberg in 06 and has waged jihad ever since. The fact that someone so close to the GOP candidate for governor is endorsing the democrat is disturbing to say the least.
Politics: The occupation of choice for crooks, thugs, and Marxist.
Abercrombie is a big Lib/Progressive who left his seat in the House for this “sure thing” run for Governor.
Republican Charles Djou surprised the pundits by winning that seat in a special election earlier this year.
Conventional wisdom was that he would lose big in November to Democrat Hanabusa. He now trails by 1 pt. in the polls.
So much for conventional wisdom.
I’m even less impressed with Rick Snyder than I was on primary night. He ran as a moderate (With the help of Schwarz)and then took a hard left turn. Its starting to sound like Jenny Granholm will get a 3rd term after all.
Thanks for the post knowing Dingell is down just made my day.
But this is BEFORE the dems start stuffing the ballot boxes and the "dead" get a chance to vote. Guarenteed Dangle will pull out a "squeeker" in the end. This is DEtroit, afterall.
Heh. Hawaii Gov would be awesome for redistricting. Go Hawaiin pubbies! Fight the machine.
I was at a Rick Snyder/Brian Calley event the other night, and I have to agree that I am not impressed either. But I think they will do better than Bernero. Brian Calley reminds me of the stereotypical snobish yuppie jerk from the movies.
I might be voting for Ken Proctor the Libertarian. http://www.lpwm.org/KenProctor/index.php
1. Repeal Obamacare
2. TERM LIMITS (So this crap gets flushed down the toilet once and for all.)
If the Pubbies fail to do these two things, we need a new party. At least we could have an adult conversation with the American people.
It’s time to go poke a stick in the Kos Kids cage until I get banned.
The Rossman Groups Release:
Dingell Slightly Trailing Steele
Race within the margin, but Dean of the House behind
LANSING, Mich. In what is perceived as an anti-incumbent year, Congressman John Dingell (D-MI) the longest-serving member of the U.S. House of Representatives slightly trails his Republican opponent Rob Steele. A new, independent poll shows 43.8 percent choosing Steele, 39.5 percent Dingell, 11 percent undecided, and the other candidates splitting up the rest.
With more than 50 years of service in Congress, Dingell may be the poster boy for many dissatisfied voters who are gunning for incumbents this year, said Kelly Rossman-McKinney, CEO and founder of The Rossman Group which conducted the survey in partnership with Team TelCom. The Dean of the House will be tough to beat, but these numbers show that at this point, even The Dean is not immune to the anger that is brewing with the electorate.
Dingell and Steele both carry about three quarters of their respective party supporters, but Dingell trails 31.7 percent to fifty percent amongst Independent voters and by nearly 80 points amongst those who consider themselves Tea Party supporters. Steele is ahead 46.7 percent to 37.9 percent amongst voters 65 and older, and the only age group Dingell leads in is the 30-45 category. Men prefer Steele by a 54.4 to 31.6 margin, while women choose Dingell 46.9 to 33.8 percent.
The automated poll, conducted October 4, surveyed 400 likely voters in Michigans 15th Congressional District on the contest and has a margin of error of +/- 5.6%. The weekly survey of 400 likely voters statewide on Michigans races for Governor, Secretary of State, and Attorney General was also conducted on October 4th. The results of the questions on statewide races are attached and charts showing the progress over the last several weeks are attached:
Rick Snyder 53%
Virg Bernero 30.5%
Secretary of State
Ruth Johnson 47%
Jocelyn Benson 30.8%
Bill Schuette 47%
David Leyton 29%
Republicans continue to hold considerable leads in all of the statewide races, as has been the case since the weekly polling began over six weeks ago. One trend to monitor in the Governors race is that this weeks results are the third in a row where there has been a slight uptick in the number of undecideds and small drop in support for Snyder, however, Bernero does not appear to be benefiting directly from this subtle movement since he remains hovering at 30 percent.
The flood of ads Democrats have tried to dump into this race to prop up Bernero may be having a tiny effect, but is it enough and is there enough time for them to decide its worth staying the course?, said Rossman-McKinney. Considering the static nature of the Secretary of State and Attorney General numbers, Democrats will need to pour a lot of resources into these races if they hope to use them as a firewall as many observers expect.
Well then...Chuck gets my bucks and Abey goes wanting!