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The economy that Palin '12 depends on (Strategy requires fear/anger of white working class)
Salon ^ | November 24, 2010 | Robert Reich

Posted on 11/25/2010 7:58:51 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Monday night, Sarah Palin watched from the audience as daughter Bristol danced on ABC. Twenty-three million other Americans joined her from their homes. Tuesday, the former vice-presidential candidate started a 13-state book tour for her new book, “America By Heart,” which has a first printing of 1 million. Her reality show on TLC, “Sarah Palin’s Alaska,” is in its third week. Last Sunday she was the cover story in the New York Times magazine.

It’s all part of The Palin Strategy for becoming president in 2012 — or 2016 or 2020.

Republican leaders don’t believe it. “If she wanted the Republican nomination she’d be working on the inside,” one influential Republican told me a few days ago. “She’d be building relationships with Republican Senators and representatives, governors, and state party officials. She’d be smoothing the feathers she ruffled by backing Tea Party candidates. She’d be huddled with GOP kingmakers.” When I suggested she has a different strategy, the influential Republican smiled knowingly. “That’s how it’s done – how McCain, Bush, and everyone has done it. That’s the only way to do it. But all she really wants is celebrity.”

The Republican establishment doesn’t get it. Celebrity is part of The Palin Strategy – as is avoiding the insider game. She doesn’t want to do what Huckabee, Pawlenty, Gingrich, or Romney have to do. She has an outside game.

Palin’s game plan is directly related to America’ white working class, and the economy it faces – and the economy it’s likely to continue to experience for years.

No prospective candidate so sharply embodies the anger of America’s white working class as does Palin. And none is channeling that anger nearly as effectively.

White working class anger isn’t new, of course, nor is the Republican Party’s use of it. Apart from the South, where the anger came in response to the Civil Rights movement of the 1960s, the more widespread working-class anxiety began in the late 1970s when the median male wage that had been rising for three decades began to stagnate.

As I noted in “Aftershock,” families responded by sending wives and mothers into the paid workforce, working longer hours, and then, finally, going deep into debt. These coping mechanisms allayed but did not remove the growing anxiety.

Over the years, Republicans have channeled the anxiety into anger, through overt appeals to a so-called “silent majority” that were overlooked by Democrats and liberals; through “tax revolts” by working and middle-class families that couldn’t afford to pay more; and in subtle and not-so-subtle appeals to racist fears (Willie Horton).

But now that the Great Recession has eliminated the last coping mechanism – ending the easy borrowing, and ratcheting up unemployment – the working class’s economic insecurities have soared. A recent Washington Post poll showed 53 percent of homeowners worried about meeting their mortgage payments. Home foreclosures have slowed largely because of bad paperwork on the part of banks, but the threat remains. Housing prices are still dropping.

The white working class has not benefitted from the recent rise in corporate profits and stock prices. To the contrary, both have been fueled by foreign sales of goods made abroad and by labor-saving technologies that have allowed American companies to do more with fewer workers here at home.

Joblessness among the white working class is far higher than the 9.6 percent average for the nation. While the unemployment rate among college grads (most of whom are professionals or managers) is around 5 percent, the average unemployment rate for people with only a high school degree or less (blue-collar, pink-collar, clerical) is almost 20 percent.

All of this is spawning a new and more virulent politics of anger in the nation’s white working class, stoked by Republicans – anger against immigrants, blacks, gays, intellectuals, and international bankers (consider the latest Fox News salvos against George Soros).

According to the right-wing narrative, the calamity that’s befallen the white working class is due to the global and intellectual elites who run the mainstream media, direct the government, dispense benefits to the undeserving, and dominate popular culture. (The story and targets are not substantially different from those that have fueled right-wing and fascist movements during times of economic stress for more than a century, here and abroad.)

Sarah Palin has special appeal because she wraps the story in an upbeat message. She avoids the bilious rants of Rush, Sean Hannity, and their ilk. But her cheerfulness isn’t sunny; she doesn’t promise Morning in America. She offers pure snark, and promises revenge. Over and over again she tells the same snide, sarcastic, inside joke, but in different words: “They think they can keep screwing us, but (wink, wink), we know something they don’t. We’re gonna take over and screw them.”

The Palin Strategy is to circumvent the Republican establishment, filled as it is with career Republicans, business executives, and Wall Streeters. That’s why her path to the Republican nomination isn’t the usual insider game. It’s a celebrity game – a snark-fest with the nation’s entire white working class. Vote for Bristol and we’ll show the media establishment how powerful we are! Buy my book and we’ll show the know-it-all coastal elites a real book directed at real people! Tune into my cable show and we’ll show the real America – far from the urban centers with immigrants and blacks and fancy city slickers!

As I believe will become clearer, the Palin Strategy will involve a political threat to the GOP establishment: Deny her the nomination she’ll run as independent. This will split off much of the white working class and guarantee defeat of the Republican establishment candidate. It will also result in her defeat in 2012, but that’s a small price to pay for gaining the credibility and power to demand the nomination in 2016, or threaten another third-party run in 2020.

Once nominated, her campaign for the general election will be purely populist. She’ll seek to broaden her base to become the candidate of the people, taking on America’s vested Establishment.

More than anything else, the Palin Strategy depends on the continuing fear and anger of America’s white working class. She’s betting that their economic prospects will not improve by 2012, or even by 2016 and beyond.

Sadly, this is likely to be the case. On Tuesday, the Fed issued a gloomy prognosis. Even if the U.S. economy began to grow at a rate more typical of recoveries than the current anemic 2 percent, unemployment won’t drop to its pre-recession level for 5 to 7 years. A minority of the Fed thought this was too optimistic.

The disturbing truth is the bad economy is likely to continue for most Americans beyond 7 years — maybe for ten or more — because of a chronic lack of aggregate demand. Apart from inevitable inventory replacements and the necessary replacements by consumers of cars, appliances, and clothing that wear out, nothing will propel the U.S. economy forward. So much income and wealth have now concentrated at the top that the broad middle and working class no longer has the buying power to do so. The top will resume buying but their purchases won’t be nearly enough.

Japan lost a decade of economic growth after its real estate bubble exploded. It seems entirely probable that the United States will suffer the same fate. Our economic structure – how we now allocate the gains of growth, the yawning gap between Wall Street and Main Street, the incentives operating on large corporations to pare American payrolls and expand abroad – almost dictates it.

We might change that structure, of course. But at this point that doesn’t seem in the cards. The President seems unable or unwilling to provide the clear narrative that explains what’s happened and what needs to be done, and Republicans are at this moment ascendant.

It all fits into Sarah Palin’s strategy.

*********

Robert Reich, a professor of public policy at the University of California at Berkeley, was secretary of labor during the Clinton administration. He is also a blogger and the author of "Aftershock: The Next Economy and America's Future."


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2012; economy; liberalidiots; obama; palin; racecard; recession; reicccchhhhhh; robertreich; romney; sarahpalin; unemployment
Comments?
1 posted on 11/25/2010 7:58:55 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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freakin moron...


2 posted on 11/25/2010 8:00:31 PM PST by raygunfan
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The ignorant peasants are ruled by fear.

Unlike their betters in the ruling class.

3 posted on 11/25/2010 8:01:53 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (The people who hate Sarah Palin hate her because they know that her Presidency is inevitable.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Comment? O.K....

I actually think that Reich is on to something, but then he writes this crap:

All of this is spawning a new and more virulent politics of anger in the nation’s white working class, stoked by Republicans – anger against immigrants, blacks, gays, intellectuals, and international bankers (consider the latest Fox News salvos against George Soros).

(Given that unemployment among African Americans is at Depression-era levels, do they feel secure?)

The Fourth Reich stumbled over the truth, and then put back on his East Coast Elite Liberal blinders on. He plays the freaking race card. It's depressing really-- but oh so predictable.

4 posted on 11/25/2010 8:04:56 PM PST by Lysandru
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

SHEESH!

I was about a quarter the way through the article before it started to read as written by the turd Reich.


5 posted on 11/25/2010 8:08:20 PM PST by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Reich is a racist manipulator defending his DNC impostor.


6 posted on 11/25/2010 8:09:34 PM PST by Diogenesis ('Freedom is the light of all sentient beings.' - Optimus Prime)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

>>>All of this is spawning a new and more virulent politics of anger in the nation’s white working class, stoked by Republicans – anger against immigrants, blacks, gays, intellectuals, and international bankers (consider the latest Fox News salvos against George Soros). <<<

I really wish I could reach out and touch this guy. It’s obvious that he hasn’t spent a speck of time with the people he slanders here. I know no one - literally no one - who is angry about “immigrants, blacks [and} gays.” Not a person. The anger at intellectuals is reserved for the kind of snide academic stereotyping done by bigots like the one who wrote this opinion piece. I don’t know where he has the nerve to conflate disgust with George Soros as anger about “international bankers.”

So I have to conclude that someone willing to bullsh*t about these little details will probably be willing to do the same thing throughout.

What this little man doesn’t realize is that people like himself provoke the mood of anger in this country. How clueless.


7 posted on 11/25/2010 8:11:46 PM PST by redpoll
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Republican establishment doesn’t get it. Celebrity is part of The Palin Strategy – as is avoiding the insider game. She doesn’t want to do what Huckabee, Pawlenty, Gingrich, or Romney have to do. She has an outside game. Palin’s game plan is directly related to America’ white working class, and the economy it faces...

It's funny, Reich has is partly right. He then goes off on white this and white that. It's not white working class anger, it's working class anger at elites, period.

8 posted on 11/25/2010 8:13:56 PM PST by 6SJ7 (atlasShruggedInd = TRUE)
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To: raygunfan

btt


9 posted on 11/25/2010 8:14:59 PM PST by Ciexyz
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The days of the smoke filled room is about over. Not enough smokers. Sarah will not be a divider she will unite the GOP.


10 posted on 11/25/2010 8:24:05 PM PST by Big Horn (Rebuild the GOP to a conservative party)
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To: raygunfan

Leftists believe their own propaganda. That’s a weakness that they share with the old USSR.

Let us use their ignorance of average Americans against them.

I guarantee that there are plenty of black, Latino, and gay Americans who are depressed and angry about the economy. Idiots like Obama and Reich think they can tax and regulate the country to “sustainable growth”, i.e., economic decline.

He’s right about one thing: Sarah won’t go grovel before the RINOS and power brokers to promote her candidacy. She will not need to. She will get the votes in the Primary to win.


11 posted on 11/25/2010 8:28:06 PM PST by darth
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Stand up Mr. Reich. Oh, you are standing up. Sorry about that; a Joe Biden moment.


12 posted on 11/25/2010 8:33:09 PM PST by bwc2221
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

And they say drug use is a victimless crime.


13 posted on 11/25/2010 8:35:15 PM PST by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: Lysandru

If the economy doesn’t turn around by 2012 it isn’t going to be just angry white people.


14 posted on 11/25/2010 8:36:47 PM PST by USNBandit (sarcasm engaged at all times)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
When ever this midget prick goes on Larry Kudlows program and gets condescending on every opposing view, one can see how devoid of logic the socialist left is. Screw you Fidget.


15 posted on 11/25/2010 8:42:25 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Well, Robert, the Obama administration could (at minimum) agree to make the Bush tax cuts permanent, and then grab back those obscene increases in spending, and maybe the economy would come roaring back, those voters would be happy, and then maybe you guys don’t have to worry about the mean wittle lady stirring up the proles.

Nah. You guys are just going to sit there and get lit up. Dumb asses.


16 posted on 11/25/2010 8:47:19 PM PST by RichInOC (Palin 2012: The Perfect Storm.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

OK Salon, turns the economy into a racial issue.

First, a good economy rewards all races.

Second, the mantra that got Bill Clinton elected was supposed to be the worst in 50 years in 1992. A big lie perpetrated by MSM. In any event, the same reason; white dissatisfaction, got a Democrat elected.


17 posted on 11/25/2010 8:48:20 PM PST by cicero2k
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
White working class anger isn’t new, of course, nor is the Republican Party’s use of it. Apart from the South, where the anger came in response to the Civil Rights movement of the 1960s, the more widespread working-class anxiety began in the late 1970s when the median male wage that had been rising for three decades began to stagnate.

Maybe "white working class anger" is perpetuated by people like you, Bobby.

REICH: …”I am concerned, as I’m sure many of you are, that these jobs not simply go to high-skilled people who are already professionals or to white male construction workers…I have nothing against white male construction workers, I’m just saying there are other people who have needs as well.”

18 posted on 11/25/2010 8:50:17 PM PST by Razz Barry (Round'em up, send'em home.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Race race race race race

That’s all these idiots can think of


19 posted on 11/25/2010 9:03:13 PM PST by A_Former_Democrat (NO MOS-que AP: It's the "GROUND ZERO MOSQUE")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Where was the barf alert? ;)


20 posted on 11/25/2010 9:06:17 PM PST by MissH
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To: raygunfan
Yes.
Besides, a very troubling choice of a target - “White working class”. Race/class mix, only found before in National-Socialism.
21 posted on 11/25/2010 9:17:48 PM PST by alecqss
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If you don’t embrace your serfdom you must be an angry, white racist.

Pray for America


22 posted on 11/25/2010 9:26:21 PM PST by bray (63 more reasons the Tea Party Rox)
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To: MissH

Look how long the title is.


23 posted on 11/25/2010 9:29:22 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Every decent man is ashamed of the government he lives under. ~Mencken)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Palin is snarky? Reich is projecting.


24 posted on 11/25/2010 9:47:59 PM PST by freespirited (This tagline dedicated to the memory of John Armor, a/k/a Congressman Billybob.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Palin Strategy depends on the continuing fear and anger of America’s white working class.

If he had just left it at 'the anger of America's working class' he would've been right.

25 posted on 11/25/2010 9:49:14 PM PST by existtoexcel
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Happily for us, it is Reich who doesn't get it.

Everything Reich sees is through his lense of race, class, anti-nativism, intellectual superiority, Archie Bunker "working class authoritarianism", sexual preferences, etc.

He does an excellent job of marginalizing himself and his fellow travellers.

Keep it up Dr. Reich.

26 posted on 11/25/2010 9:51:54 PM PST by Kennard (io)
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To: Big Horn

Sarah will not be a divider she will unite the GOP.


This could happen. The Republican establishment could look at it as having lost whichever way they go. If they go against Palin, she could bolt and they would lose. If they go with Palin, she’s an outsider, not a ruling class member, so they lose, but she might win the election and if they go along to get along they can ride the wave and blame her for the turbulence. Imagine a campaign with a candidate that wants to win and has the energy to run a 50 state campaign with the full backing of everyone with an R after their name as well as the grassroots. Maybe a pipe dream but with Gov.Palin, I wouldn’t rule it out.

Unfortunately the element that might support a Jeb Bush candidacy is already backing away.


27 posted on 11/25/2010 9:58:08 PM PST by excopconservative
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
It's the deranged Left that seems to require fear to implement its agenda.

The world will end and all the children will die if we don't do everything they say.

28 posted on 11/26/2010 6:03:25 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (The people who hate Sarah Palin hate her because they know that her Presidency is inevitable.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The disturbing truth is the bad economy is likely to continue for most Americans beyond 7 years — maybe for ten or more — because of a chronic lack of aggregate demand.

Robert baby. You will be flogged by your masters for saying ...the truth. This economy will likely be flat for some time. Flat, that is, if you do much of the right things to encourage economic growth. Declining, if you don't.

BTW, Rob, your PDS needs some more meds. See to it as soon as Obamacare kicks in, will ya?

29 posted on 11/26/2010 8:40:01 AM PST by VRW Conspirator (The greatest deterrent to liberalism is sunlight.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Big Horn; darth; raygun; cicero2k; Razz Barry; alecqss; E. Pluribus Unum; ...
This article is a perfect example of the intellectual elite's, as they like to call themselves, fixation on politics and power. They see everything in light of its political impact rather than its effect on people.

It’s all part of The Palin Strategy for becoming president in 2012 — or 2016 or 2020.

Personally, I don't think Sarah had a strategy for running for President. However, I do think it is evolving as circumstances dictate. She is not molding events, the events are leading her and her response to them is appealing to a lot of people.

The Republican establishment doesn’t get it. Celebrity is part of The Palin Strategy – as is avoiding the insider game. She doesn’t want to do what Huckabee, Pawlenty, Gingrich, or Romney have to do. She has an outside game.

Palin is fighting two foes - the Left and career politicians of any stripe. Those are the ones who sometimes enter politics to be of service but soon become seduced by power, perks and easy money and start watching polls and hiring political consultants. Others go in for the power, perks and easy money with little or no intention to serve. Those are her and our foes.

As I noted in “Aftershock,” families responded by sending wives and mothers into the paid workforce, working longer hours, and then, finally, going deep into debt. These coping mechanisms allayed but did not remove the growing anxiety.

A typical aloof intelectual take on everyday life. He sees families doing whatever they have to do to survive as a "coping mechanism." Only a person in a protected position with no fear of hardship could look at life that way.

Over the years, Republicans have channeled the anxiety into anger, through overt appeals to a so-called “silent majority” that were overlooked by Democrats and liberals; through “tax revolts” by working and middle-class families that couldn’t afford to pay more; and in subtle and not-so-subtle appeals to racist fears (Willie Horton).

How much more evidence do we need? No one channeled anxiety into anger, the Republicans simply responded to the anger with suggested solutions to the problem. Only a Leftist would see that as channeling an emotion. That is what they do, create an emotion and then guide it into political action.

Could it possibly be there was a so-called Silent Majority of people whose voices could not be heard over the din of politicians and Leftist media? Could it be they finally balked at the high taxes imposed by Democrats to support causes they did not agree with? Could it be that the "racist fears" were not about Willie Horton and race at all but about liberal judges giving killers light sentences and not keeping rapists and murderers in prison? The Democrats didn't overlook the silent majority. They simply ignored them with the expectation their inside game would continue to dominate.

All of this is spawning a new and more virulent politics of anger in the nation’s white working class, stoked by Republicans – anger against immigrants, blacks, gays, intellectuals, and international bankers (consider the latest Fox News salvos against George Soros).

Just more misreading of the tea leaves through the Liberal prism. There is no consideration that the anger is real and that it does not need to be stoked. We are angry at Democrat policies that create victim groups to whom to pander. We are angry at intellectuals like Reich who just can't seem to get it. We are angry that Marxists like Soros manipulate free enterprise to their own benefit and then use those fortunes to destroy free enterprise. Actually, Soros and most Marxists in general are simply narcissistic opportunist who use the lies of Marxism to gain power and fortune for themselves. And, yes, that angers us!

Once nominated, her campaign for the general election will be purely populist. She’ll seek to broaden her base to become the candidate of the people, taking on America’s vested Establishment.

She is not seeking to broaden her base for political reasons, as a Democrat would do. She is seeking to do what is right for this country and that in itself broadens her base because we agree with her and want her to succeed.

More than anything else, the Palin Strategy depends on the continuing fear and anger of America’s white working class. She’s betting that their economic prospects will not improve by 2012, or even by 2016 and beyond. Our economic structure – how we now allocate the gains of growth, the yawning gap between Wall Street and Main Street, the incentives operating on large corporations to pare American payrolls and expand abroad – almost dictates it.

Once again, ascribing motives which exist only in a Progressive's mind. They are not Palin's motives and they are not ours.

It also continues to anger me that the Democrats claim that conservative support for free enterprise makes us pawns of Wall Street. It is the Democrats, not the Republicans, who are buds of the Wall Street movers and shakers. However, rather than depending on free enterprise to work its magic, they game the system with insider dealings between Wall Street and Washington. Then they blame the fallout on Republicans.

It all fits into Sarah Palin’s strategy.

Only in the eyes of Marxists like Reich. What is the Democrat counter strategy? The politics of personal destruction! They will ridicule her and her family. They will lie about her and her family. They will invite her to liberal media sites to try to trick her with obtuse questions and obscure facts, like "What do you think of the Bush Strategy?". They will plant union thugs in her rally's to cause trouble and pretend to be Tea Party patriots.

Liberalism cannot exist without lies and deception. We will see that in full flower in the coming months.

Why would anyone want to vote for a party like that?

30 posted on 11/26/2010 9:19:56 AM PST by Mind-numbed Robot (Not all that needs to be done needs to be done by the government.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I am sorry - not wanting to offend - just a little joke because Reich is so offensive!


31 posted on 11/26/2010 1:17:02 PM PST by MissH
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