Posted on 08/05/2011 6:24:54 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
In my ridiculously early handicapping of the 2012 Electoral College, among my caveats was “Presuming that the Republicans nominate a plausible candidate (Romney, Perry, Huntsman, or Pawlenty would all qualify).” Let’s revisit that in light of some other pieces going around.
Public Policy Polling’s Tom Jensen uses state-by-state surveys to proclaim “if the Republicans nominate Mitt Romney it’s a toss up. And if they nominate anyone else it’s 2008 all over again.”
Obama’s holding his ground against everyone but Romney in Nevada because voters there find the whole GOP field even more unpalatable than him. Romney comes close to breaking even on favorability at 38/43 but the rest of the Republicans are quite unpopular- a -9 spread for Cain at 24/33, a -12 for Perry at 24/36, a -21 for Bachmann at 30/51, and a -28 for Palin at 32/60.
Voters disliking the Republican candidates really is a vital component of Obama’s horse race numbers holding up as well as they are even as his approval numbers struggle. It remains to be seen whether he can really get reelected by being the lesser of two evils or if the election will end up being solely a referendum on him regardless of who the GOP puts forward. And one thing’s for sure- if voters ever warm up to one of the Republican candidates Obama will really be in trouble, in Nevada and everywhere.
The problem with this analysis is that, with the exception of Palin and Bachmann, all of the Republicans mentioned have lower disapproval numbers than Obama. Moreover, with the possible exceptions of Palin and Bachmann, most of the non-Romney candidates simply aren’t well enough known at this point for opinion numbers to be particularly meaningful....
(Excerpt) Read more at outsidethebeltway.com ...
I would consider Mitty to be a less likely winner against Obama than most.
The only chance our country has is to elect another Calvin Coolidge...too bad there aren’t any stepping up right now.
If he gets the nod, he’ll probably nominate Rubio as his VP. Always pandering.
PPP is a liberal group that does robocalls.
As much as many Rinos and most Dims want, Romney, Perry, Huntsman, or Pawlenty WILL NOT be on the ticket!
The man isn't just Epic Fail, he's like a three part Epic Saga of Fail. Bilbo Teabaggins and his hobbit friends are going to be throwing Obama's Precious socialism in the volcano by the time this tale wraps up.
I keep trying to convince people to elect me emperor for about 6 months.
You’ll want to stock up on food and hide in your basement for the duration but you’ll have a clean slate when you emerge.
I would consider Mitty to be a less likely winner against Obama than most.
Can’t see voting for Romney under any circumstance No way I’d vote dim or third party either. In the Romney scenario, I just may not vote
Agreed about Mitty...he would have serious trouble in Missouri and some of the normally fairly safe western states. Idaho would be close (LOL).
“Can Any Republican Beat Obama in 2012? (They want Milt!)”
The real question is whether any Republican CANNOT beat Obama.
...and to answer that, the only Republican that CANNOT beat Obama is a Republican that cannot get the base out (such as Romney or Perry).
Nope, unfortunately Obama will not lose in 2012. The voting public will be too afraid to pick someone else, they will stay with what they know: Obama.....
In my opinion... when Palin announces the other republican candidates are history.
Holy Crap! Willard, I must be having a Nightmare!!!
Milt? I thought they said any REPUBLICAN could win.
“Public Policy Polling’s Tom Jensen uses state-by-state surveys to proclaim “if the Republicans nominate Mitt Romney it’s a toss up. And if they nominate anyone else it’s 2008 all over again.”
Even if Romney would beat Obama, we would be sucked with a Socialist in the White House. A big one world government, right Romney
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