Posted on 07/23/2012 1:06:00 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
RESULTS OF SURVEY USA/KSTP Poll
In an election for President of the United States in Minnesota today, 07/20/12, three months till voting begins, Barack Obama captures the North Star State's 10 electoral votes, defeating Mitt Romney 46% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis / St. Paul.
Romney and Obama are effectively even among male voters. All of Obama's advantage comes from female voters, where Obama leads by 14 points. Romney edges Obama among Minnesota's Independents, but not by enough to offset Obama's 2:1 advantage among Minnesota's moderates. Romney leads in Northeastern MN, but Obama leads in the rest of the state.
Voters are divided over whether job creation or health care is the most important issue facing Minnesotans. Importantly: those who say health care is most important split evenly between Obama and Romney. Those who say job creation is most important split evenly between Obama and Romney. Neither candidate has an advantage on these issues in Minnesota.
Romney voters are divided on which Republican Romney should pick as his running mate. 36% name former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty. 29% name Florida's U.S. Senator Marco Rubio.
In an election for U.S. Senator from Minnesota today, incumbent DFL candidate Amy Klobuchar soundly defeats Republican challenger Kurt Bills, 55% to 31%. Klobuchar leads among men and women, young and old, rich and poor, and in all regions of the state. 21% of those who vote for Mitt Romney for President cross over and vote for the DFL candidate for U.S. Senate.
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 adults 07/17/12 through 07/19/12. Of them, 621 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 552 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before Election Day 11/06/12. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.
1 Asked of 552 likely voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
40% Mitt Romney (R) 46% Barack Obama (D) 7% Other 7% Undecided
2 Asked of 552 likely voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.2%
Minnesota will also elect a United States Senator in November. If the election for United States Senator from Minnesota were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Kurt Bills? DFL candidate Amy Klobuchar? Or one of the other candidates?
31% Kurt Bills (R) 55% Amy Klobuchar (DFL) 5% Other 9% Undecided
3 Asked of 552 likely voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%
Which one issue will be most important when casting your votes in for President and US Senate? Health care? Job creation? Taxes? Gas prices? War on terrorism? Education? Or something else?
31% Health Care 31% Job Creation 15% Taxes 4% Gas Prices 2% War On Terrorism 4% Education 8% Something Else 5% Not Sure
4 Asked of 552 likely voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%
Who would you most like to see Mitt Romney choose as his Vice Presidential running mate? Former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty? Ohio Senator Rob Portman? Florida Senator Marco Rubio? Wisconsin Representative Paul Ryan? Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal? Or someone else?
35% Pawlenty 4% Portman 16% Rubio 7% Ryan 3% Jindal 21% Someone Else 14% Not Sure
5 Asked of 552 likely voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%
An amendment to the Minnesota Constitution on the ballot defines marriage as between one man and one woman. Will you vote FOR the amendment? Against the amendment? Or not vote on the measure?
52% Vote For 37% Vote Against 5% Not Vote 6% Not Sure
6 Asked of 552 likely voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.1%
An amendment to the Minnesota Constitution on the ballot would require voters to show photo I.D.'s in order to vote on Election Day. Will you vote FOR the amendment? Against the amendment? Or not vote on the measure?
65% Vote For 28% Vote Against 2% Not Vote 4% Not Sure
7 Asked of 552 likely voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%
If the 2012 elections for the Minnesota Legislature were held today, would you be more likely to vote for a Republican candidate? a Democratic candidate? Independence Party candidate? Or some other candidate?
40% Republican 45% Democratic 8% Independence Party 2% Other 6% Undecided
8 Asked of 552 likely voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%
Which one issue will be most important when casting your vote for a Minnesota legislator? Job creation? Education? Taxes? Health care? Or something else?
32% Job Creation 15% Education 27% Taxes 17% Health Care 6% Something Else 2% Not Sure
9 Asked of 552 likely voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4.3%
The Minnesota Legislature passed a Vikings stadium bill in May. If a lawmaker voted in favor of the Vikings stadium would that make you more likely to vote for him in November? Less likely? Or would it make no difference?
23% More Likely 33% Less Likely 42% No Difference 2% Not Sure
10 Asked of 621 registered voters Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4%
Should the new Vikings stadium have a retractable roof?
55% Yes 23% No 21% Not Sure
END WOMEN’S SUFFRAGE -— THEY’VE SUFFERED LONG ENOUGH!
The short answer is NO. The republican party in MN is in shambles. Romney is not spending any time or money. Before people point to 1 poll I suggest as with anything follow the money. Find out where candidates are putting there money that is where the election is decided.
If Romney carries MN; he will win the Election by a landslide. MN is almost as Blue as CA and NY.
In 2008 Obama claimed that running his campaign gave him executive expireince to be president. But now his campaign operated on a deficit. Let alone the country.
In a sane world there would be no elected President Obama.
No way this is correct. Something is screwy in this poll.
I doubt Romney or any GOP Presidential candidate will carry MN in the foreseeable future, but it looks like support is strong for traditional marriage and voter ID.
Agree, Johnie - I’m in West Central Minnesota. There is NO way Zero is anywhere near leading around here.
Any state where Obama is under 50% consistantly, he is very likley to lose. It means a majority don’t want him, they just haven’t reconciled to Romney yet.
Which is why the country has gone steadily downhill since 1920. Giving women the right to vote has led to a steadily progressive state.
Will be a whole lot of fun watching this narcissist marxist punk go bonkers when he realizes we’ve rejected him and his messiah complex.
Will be a whole lot of fun watching this narcissist marxist punk go bonkers when he realizes we’ve rejected him and his messiah complex.
Over sampled Democrats by 5%.
Let's not get carried away...here...
Women love communism. Next.
Likely voters so it’s pretty reliable. Even if you factor in the margin of error, Zero can just barely reach 50 in MN!! If the MOE flips the other way, he’s barely above 40...did I say this is MN?
“Could Obama actually loose Minnesota?”........
He could loose the entire country if people would open their minds, get off the couch and vote the bastard out.
Question: Have they sent out the ballots to the military people who are overseas yet? There is still time to get them to vote and get the completed ballots back.
The lily-white states, like MN may well come into play, given the president’s election strategy to discard that segment of the population and put together a coalition of various minorities and special interests.
Romney’s 2-minute ad showing a white guy being personally insulted after being told he didn’t build his business would play very, very well to those people.
I have to respectfully disagree (that Mn is in play)
HUGE obstacles to overcome in this state-
1. RED Startribune- 100% in Demonrat pocket- ALL news
Stories disparage conservatives and help the most Radical
Demonrats- - (Franken, Keith Ellison, Mark Dayton.)
2. St paul pioneer depressed- Again, majority news in favor
of the Rats- AND they are Pro big union even more than
The Redstar.
3. Duluth News- same
4. Rochester news -same
So... most people get a slant towards the Demons
5. Churches- ELCA- pro Homosexual openly endorse same sex
unions,homo,lesbian and transgender pastors.
The Catholic Church for years- (if not Decades) promoted
homsexual unions- (Even held “celebration Masses)in churches -Even at the Cathedral in St. Paul. so, morally the
people of Minn. have an uphill battle- (this crap was
taught to their kids)
I hope I am wrong, but there are alot of O’bummer voters that I meet in the twin cities- (mostly women)
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