Posted on 09/21/2012 9:46:40 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The latest Purple Strategies poll is out, and shows Mitt Romney with 48 percent support in Florida, and Barack Obama with 47 percent. More:
Direction of the Country Right direction: 37% Wrong direction: 55% Not sure: 8%
Obama Favorability Favorable: 47% Unfavorable: 49% Not sure: 4%
Romney Favorability Favorable: 44% Unfavorable: 49% Not sure: 7%
Describes Romney: can handle a crisis Very well: 32% Somewhat well: 21% Not too well: 19% Not well at all: 19% Not sure: 9%
Describes Romney: has the right temperament to be President Very well: 37% Somewhat well: 17% Not too well: 18% Not well at all: 23% Not sure: 5%
Describes Romney: knows how to get things done Very well: 43% Somewhat well: 17% Not too well: 17% Not well at all: 18% Not sure: 6%
Describes Obama: can handle a crisis Very well: 37% Somewhat well: 19% Not too well: 17% Not well at all: 25% Not sure: 2%
(continued)
(Excerpt) Read more at miamiherald.typepad.com ...
how was this one weighted?
I can’t believe the Miami Hearld would run this story
The anti-Romney trolls are telling us Romney is behind in the polls and we must believe them.
do you think it would be in the print edition?
Wait until the Benghazi fiasco is factored in. It’s gonna get interesting.
Most, if not all, of those who will actually hear what happened in Benghazi are already not voting for Obama.
I know, but some screw ups are just too juicy for most media whores to ignore, try though they may. Drip, drip, drip... one will break ranks, then others, then still others.
Wait ‘til it becomes fashionable.
Imagine the cocktail parties after Obama was elected in 2008. They sipped their champagne and crowed about their success in electing the first Black President, the savior they had been waiting for. You can just hear the buttons popping off the vests.
When Obama loses they will console themselves with, “Well, we tried, but he just wasn’t up to it. Not our fault.We were flawless. Unfortunately, he wasn’t. Oh, well.” Sip, sip.
Then they will go looking for the next liberal savior they can manufacture while they denigrate anything Romney does. It’s a game they play to make them feel good about themselves. After all they know so much more than the great unwashed.
I live in FL, a purple tending blue area.
In 2008, I knew a LOT of Obama voters. When I asked people WHY they were voting for him, the answers ranged from “We need a change” (OK) to “He’s a nice guy” (huh?) to “Because he’s black (makes me despair for our country, that people could be so racist. Idiots).
I don’t know ANY real Obama voters now, although I do know some who are confused about where Romney stands on the issues, due to our very liberal papers, who are not 100% sure. (”Romney wants to end Medicare!”) And every one of my doctors HATES Obama.
By the way, I met a very successful businessman just today who told me if Obama wins he’s shuttering a large part of his business. He said it’s just too expensive to make money.
Whoops, I meant purple tending RED, not blue.
I live in the Tampa Bay area. I took my mother to one of her doctor visits the day the Supreme Court came down with their decision. Her Doctor was screaming and his face was beet red, I almost thought he was going to have a stroke.
From all the Doc's I take both my parents to, the ones my wife and I go to, and even the pediatrician for my kids. They all to a person have NOTHING nice to say about our Anointed Leader. My mother is freaking out because the Pain Management doc she goes to, the one that went red. He says if Obama Care stays in, he will retire. My mother has a medical device called a pain pump installed inside her. She has had major back surgeries and the scar tissues cause pain. Before the pump, she had to take oral meds that would whack her out. With the pump she gets the pain management and a clear head. She will wear your arse out at the mall!
I have some Liberal friends at work, we converse abut politics. They believe the MSM reports of the polls and think Obama has got the election in the bag. Sometimes I get outnumbered in the political discussion at work and I wonder....are they delusional or am I?
I talk to people and many are fed up with Obama, or they shy from politics but are worried at the direction the Country is headed.
I'd like to think I am the one grounded in reality. I guess I will find out on Nov 6th along with everybody else.
Regardless of what the MSM is telling us, virtually all the critical swing states look good for R&R. IN is back in the fold. NC is there also. VA, NH, IA look to be heading R&R. CO and NV are tossups. WI could go R&R. And last few real polls show R&R getting a pretty consistent lead in FLA.
It’s all about OHIO..... this is where it will be won or lost if it stays close.
Ohio worries me,and has since 2004. Obama has been to Ohio more times than any other state. And that was before the campaign officially started. Glad R&R are making a 3 day bus tour there next week.
OHIO
WI is starting to go bad....even Tommy Thompson who has never lost a state-wide election is complaiing that he’s falling behind.
Keep the faith my friends. On Nov 7th, the media will be scratching their heads wondering how they missed that last minute surge in the polls for R&R.
The Purple Poll (Purple Strategies) polls the states it thinks the election hinges upon. The entire poll is interesting for a few reasons. They claim the poll is likely voters but it does not tell us what the D/R/I breakdown is to except to say the poll is 75% landlines (read elderly and/or poor) and 25% cell users.
The numbers that really seem to stick out like a sore thumb is that Romney’s unfavorables are much higher than his favorables. That tells me Romney has to spend at least some of his ad budget selling himself as opposed to just attacking Obama. The president’s favorable/unfavorables are always within a point or two of each other and, in some states, more people say they will vote for Obama than have a favorable opinion of him or approve the job he is doing.
In other words, Romney isn’t closing the sale - something we also heard during the primaries. Here is the state-by-state breakdown for what it is worth:
Colorado: O 48, R 45 (Romney F 42 U 49) Certain: 93
Florida: R 48, O 47 (Romney F 44 U 49) Certain: 93
Ohio: O 48, R 44 (Romney F 36 U 52) Certain: 90
Virginia: O 46, R 43 (Romney F 38 U 52) Certain: 90
North Carolina: O 48, R 46 (Romney F 42 U 47) Certain: 91
Certain reflects the percentage who are certain they won’t change their vote.
On the last page, they have the D/R/I broken down by state:
CO: 34/33/29
FL: 37/38/24
OH: 38/36/26
VA: 36/32/30
NC: 40/35/23
Well, we can see right there what’s wrong with the North Carolina poll. No way is that percentage likely on election day. The other ones look fairly representative.
If you look at their past months, though, Obama made great strides in September which makes you wonder if they will bounce back toward Romney in October or continue the trend toward Obama.
Don’t shoot the messenger. I’m just giving you the numbers breakdown from the source.
I suspect that the first debate will make or break Romney. I dont buy into the liberal press stating that Mitt is all done, but things could & should be a lot better for the GOP across the board right now & it’s not.
I’m just to the west but will admit, I don’t follow WI politics that close. But didn’t Walker basically run away with the recount election?
I just don’t see how Zero could take WI with a congressman from WI as his running mate.
I just heard for the first time this evening that Thompson is bad-mouthing Romney & blaming him for his dropping behind the democrat in the U.S. Senate race. I have/had high hopes for WI....so until I hear more about this I’m not quite sure where things stand up there.
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