Posted on 09/21/2012 11:39:05 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The bipartisan polling firm Purple Strategies has released today the latest Purple Poll surveys in five key swing states that show them all close. The surveys, conducted recently and released today for Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, Florida and North Carolina reveal data that show Mitt Romney will win these states over President Obama and is quite likely to win the presidency in November.
As always the analysis here is not merely a static regurgitation of numbers that assumes in a simplistic manner that a state favoring Obama by a 46 percent to 44 percent edge will necessarily be voting for Obama on election day as many of the non-thinking analysts choose to suppose. We know, and former Clinton political consultant Dick Morris reminds us, that the undecided vote swings overwhelmingly for the challenging candidate, or in this election, Mitt Romney. For the purpose of their analysis, precise calculations will be made from the polling data and the undecided voters will be calculated to go 80 percent for Romney. Odds are likely they will support Romney in higher percentages.
The five states, in dark red in the map above, are worth 84 electoral votes. Both candidate needs most if not all of these states to win the election. The light blue and pink states on the map above are all the other states not included in these five surveyed by Purple Strategies and covered in this article.
In Colorado the Purple Poll has Obama with a slim 48 percent to 45 percent lead in the presidential choice while Obama's job performance approval is 45 percent to a 49 percent disapproval. Additionally, 52 percent in Colorado believe the country is going in the wrong direction...
(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...
Bump
PING THE FREETARDS! SUMMON THE BEDWETTERS!
Boy, I’d like to see the coal folks and the fracking folks in Pennsylvania take Obama to task.
We are going to win, we are going into the 4th quarter.
The Democrats made inroads in several hardcore Republican areas and that makes the Vote for a Republican POTUS dicey.
I disagree with your comment about Dems gaining ground in cities. It's been just the opposite: in Akron a white Republican threw out the black mayor in 2010. Same exact thing happened in Dayton, where we won another key city office in 2011. In fact, since Obama, the ONLY positive for the Dems was the defeat of senate bill 5. But in the same election, Obamacare was overwhelmingly rejected. So the conclusion needs to be that SB 5 overreached and that OH has shifted to Rs in a meaningful, if narrow, way.
I am encouraged by the reports on the local ground game, which appears to be VERY effective. For ex., a person who requests an absentee ballot is identified and the DAY after they receive it they are "walked" by a GOP vol with a slate card.
So the spending spree by the GOP congress prior to 2006 (when deficits were $300 billion) is going to hurt more than spending sprees by Dem Congress 2006-2010 that resulted in $1 trillion deficits? That makes no sense.
Ohio went all Dem in 2006-2008 but had a major correction in 2010 - Governor, U.S. Senate, House, local state house...?
This map makes no sense at all. It shows Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida as “Solid” Romney, while showing South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Texas, Oklahoma, etc., etc., etc., as only “Leans” Romney. It also shows no state as “Solid” Obama. I think they screwed up their Legend.
Yes but they made inroads into the "local" offices. County Commissioners and City Councils and Judges and such. My County is almost 75% Republican or was. On our City Council 5 councilmen are Democrats now. That was not even possible before. Before the Democrats were lucky to get one guy in. And its in other small towns and cities as well.
See once that change happens locally and the town doesn't explode because of it then inertia takes over. Then those folks work to get people to change party affiliation and it slowly changes to a blue state. Southern Ohio is ignored by both Repubs and Democrats. So when the Taft scandal happened and the spending spree in the second Bush term what reason did local people have to continue to vote Republican? Many of them are on Welfare or some assistance because of our high unemployment rate in the area. So they are going to choose another option.
I don't like it but it happened and its something that won't go away by whistling past the graveyard.
Well you can disagree but your assertion is wrong.
See post 11. It has happened ins several areas in Southern Ohio and it did not change back when we elected a Republican Governor. Small town politics is a different animal and it works differently. See in our town Bill is running for City Councilman not "the Democrat" and Bill may be way more effective than Ron who was the Councilman before but was a Republican.
Those 5 Councilmen are out working the streets and they have got a goodly number of people to switch party affiliation. And they are patient. And they didn't get voted out the last election.
Same in Akron. Don't know about south of Dayton.
BTW, in Montgomery Co. (a Dem county) virtually all of the county jobs except, I think, one, are held by Republicans and all gained since 08.
The bright side is, if the rest of this map holds true, we don’t need OH.
This map makes no sense at all. It shows Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida as “Solid” Romney, while showing South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Texas, Oklahoma, etc., etc., etc., as only “Leans” Romney. It also shows no state as “Solid” Obama. I think they screwed up their Legend.”
In the aritcle, they state they were highlighting the four states they were talking about in dark red.
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