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New Hampshire (Romney 50%, Obama 46%)
American Research Group ^ | October 12, 2012

Posted on 10/12/2012 8:36:26 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Interview dates: October 9-11, 2012

Sample size: 600 likely voters

Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan (names rotated), or someone else?

New Hampshire Obama Romney Other Undecided

Likely voters 46% 50% 1% 3%

Democrats (29%) 94% 3% - 3% Republicans (35%) 6% 92% - 2% Independents (36%) 45% 48% 3% 4%

Men (48%) 42% 53% 1% 4% Women (52%) 49% 48% 1% 2%

18 to 49 (59%) 50% 45% 2% 3% 50 and older (41%) 39% 58% - 3%

Landline (77%) 44% 52% 1% 3% Cell Phone (23%) 51% 45% 1% 3%

Sep 25-27 50% 45% 1% 4%


TOPICS: New Hampshire; Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; newhampshire; nh2012; obama; polls; romney
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1 posted on 10/12/2012 8:36:30 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The breakdown is 29D, 35R and 30I. Is that right for New Hampshire?


2 posted on 10/12/2012 8:50:22 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Parley Baer

Make that 36I.


3 posted on 10/12/2012 8:51:18 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll ping.


4 posted on 10/12/2012 8:51:43 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m kinda liking the entire trajectory of this race. The trend is our friend.


5 posted on 10/12/2012 8:52:47 PM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: Parley Baer

Never been there, know next to nothing about it. If you have an Iowa question, I could probably try to answer it.


6 posted on 10/12/2012 8:54:54 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

One can only hope that a state with “Live Free or Die” on their plates would flush The Won.


7 posted on 10/12/2012 8:55:02 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Live Free or Die.
8 posted on 10/12/2012 8:56:28 PM PDT by Morris70
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Live Free or Die.
9 posted on 10/12/2012 8:56:44 PM PDT by Morris70
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To: Parley Baer

Yes. NH is a very republican state by registration. But like Southern states that still have large numbers of registered democrats, it doesn’t necessarily translate into how the state will vote in a presidential election.


10 posted on 10/12/2012 8:59:18 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Parley Baer

The party ID in the survey was R +6 (Dem 29, Rep 35, Independent 36). In 2008 it was also D +2 (Dem 29, Rep 27, Ind 45) and in 2004 it was R+7 (Dem 25, Rep 32, Ind 44).


11 posted on 10/12/2012 9:01:11 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Thanks guys. So those numbers could very well be right on target. That is very good news.


12 posted on 10/12/2012 9:04:26 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Isn’t New Hampshire pretty conservative? Shouldn’t Romney be leading there anyway?


13 posted on 10/12/2012 9:04:49 PM PDT by albionin
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To: Jet Jaguar

With these numbers I’m willing to say Maine may well be close as well.


14 posted on 10/12/2012 9:08:52 PM PDT by barmag25
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It does look like Romney is pulling ahead.

......

Meet The Voters Who Will Decide The Election
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2944126/posts


15 posted on 10/12/2012 9:11:35 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: albionin

Obama won it by about 10% in 2008

All the New Yorkers and Bostonite libs are moving there


16 posted on 10/12/2012 9:12:30 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If the polls hold true, there’s REAL hope for this nation, yet! Keep it up New Hampshire!


17 posted on 10/12/2012 9:13:21 PM PDT by hawaiianninja (Palm note to self: Work for a successful 2012! +Throw the liberal garbage out!)
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To: GeronL

Indeed...NY’ers spreading like cockroaches all over southern and central New Hampshire...driving property taxes higher and higher.


18 posted on 10/12/2012 9:15:33 PM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: who knows what evil?

Like a plague


19 posted on 10/12/2012 9:25:33 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: GeronL

I see. Kind of like all the Californians moving here to Colorado and polluting our politics. Of course we already had Denver, Boulder and Fort collins and they don’t call it the peoples republic of Boulder for nothin.


20 posted on 10/12/2012 9:37:01 PM PDT by albionin
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