Posted on 10/13/2012 9:29:36 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
When it comes to the all-important swing state of Ohio this election, “the momentum is clearly with Romney,” now that President Barack Obama’s 9-point lead going into the first presidential debate has vanished, pollster John Zogby tells Newsmax TV.
But it’s the independent vote that really matters in the Buckeye State, he says. When asked how important the independent vote is for Ohio, Zogby tells Newsmax: “Extremely important. For starters, Ohio does not have registration by political party. People will identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans but most voters in Ohio are independents.”
(VIDEO AT LINK)
Newsmax has teamed up with Zogby to produce multipart NewsmaxZogby online surveys, focusing on key states like Ohio.
The joint venture will feature three-day Swing State Tracking Polls in Ohio, Florida, and Virginia, and a national poll leading right up to Election Day. The NewsmaxZogby polls use key information based on census data, voter registration figures, CIA fact books, and exit polls to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed.
Zogby says the tracking is critical, especially in battleground states like Ohio. “Obama just doesn’t have wiggle room in Ohio. Ohio is very important, and it’s going to be very, very close.”
Out of the gate, “the president starts out with a solid deficit — 39 percent who rate him poorly or strongly disapprove of his job performance,” he says. “That means to be credible, he has to win over 90 percent of the rest of the voters. Right now he’s at about 47 percent overall approval, and 50 percent disapprove. But 39 percent strongly disapprove — they’re just not going to vote for him.”
Zogby says he’s seen the state go from being up for grabs to solidly in Obama’s corner to now, up for grabs again...
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
O is sending Bruce STFU Springteen out to Ohio to campaign. That should sew things up./s
They should make Ohio vote in August and keep the results sealed until election day for the rest of the country. I’m so tired of hearing about Ohio Independents. Independent simply means they are open to bribes from either side.
Here’s hoping OblahMao gets a landslided loss of earthquake proportions. Let the Lame Streams eat dirt all night on Nov 6th.
Zogby? haha
He’s right though. It’s Mitt-Mentum
They must truly love that all the other states can be held hostage to the fragile whims of Ohio voters, truly amazing, and truly disgusting.
Get over yourself Ohio, you ain't that damned important. In fact, I never ever think of you in my daily life, and you are not a place I tend to take a vacation in.
I thought Zogby had given it up. I don’t remember seeing any polls from him this cycle. Did I miss?
Poll ping.
The first part is misleading and I don't know about the stats for the second. Although you don't register by party, your party affiliation is declared when you request one party's ballot in a primary. If you are neither you will get an issues only ballot in that primary. If you just blow off the primary every year and only vote in the general election you will be an independent by default. There used to be (and may still be) a requirement that if you wanted to change your party affiliation you had to sign an affidavit that you really did vote for your new party, but there is no way to check that and it is almost impossible to challenge it unless an election judge has personal knowledge that you are lying, like if you are a Democratic party official voting as a Republican to spoil a primary choice.
I love your idea. LOL! There is a certain amount of truth to your comment.
It was always assumed that since WI was a Blue State that it wasn't in play, but I believe it is, as well as some other Blue States.
He now does Internet polls.
We’ll just have to wait and see what happens in the 2nd debate. It can’t get much worse I don’t think for the Democrats. They don ‘t have any real good ideas, now do they.
And many Democrats are going to be voting Romney I believe.
They are loving this, brings big $$$$campaign$$$$ into the state, I know the game, but just the same it makes me sick.
Ohio and others you are just not that important, get over yourselves. Maybe it's time to just IGNORE them until they realign their attitude.
The stupidity on display is intolerable. The dozen phone calls from pollsters, GOTV people, BOTH DEM AND REPUB, My wife is still a registered Democrat from Operation Chaos, the endless ROBO calls from all the politicians. It never ends. The damn urban Dem Dummy's, including my neighbors, drive me nuts.
Too many union members, too many auto plants, too many steel mills, too many damn government workers all add up to close elections here in the Buckeye State.
Ohio must go to Romney, I believe it will and comfortably by at least 250,000 votes.
Remember more than 200,000 voters where purged from Cuyahoga County. O’Bumbler won Cuyahoga County by almost 250,000 votes.
I also think he is going to win Ohio and it won't be close.
All of these polls are using 2008 as their model and it isn't going to be anything like 2008.
The last two debates showed who exactly is in the WH and the American People are going to make a change in 2012.
Remember the WI recall polls being close and then it turning into an easy win for the GOP.
The difference was a massive get out the vote effort which was not factored in the polls.
The ground game is going to win this election and the motivation isn't there for the Democrats.
Romney may pick up some other States, but I frankly don’t think Ohio is going to be close, it usually votes GOP and I don’t see any reason why it won’t this time as well.
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