Posted on 07/05/2014 7:56:58 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
HOUSTON, TexasThe enormous growth of the Hispanic population does not seem to be turning Texas blue as fast as many political pundits expected. Recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau revealed a decreasing non-Hispanic white population and a rapidly growing Hispanic population. The growth of the Hispanic population over the past fourteen years was expected to make a huge difference in Texas Republican vs. Democrat voting patterns. It appears it has not.
A report in the Washington Post indicates this may not be the case. The article by Philip Bump, contains a series of interactive demographic maps that illustrate several different views of Hispanic population density and Republican/Democrat voting history. The report indicates more whites died than were born last year. On the other hand, both the Hispanic and Asian communities grew in population percentage.
The popular thinking is that the change in the American population portends bad news for a Republican Party that's still heavily dependent on support from those older, whiter voters, Bump states. Our thinking: What better place to track how that evolution might occur than Texas.
The report compares the 2000 and 2012 presidential election results and compares them to Hispanic population density in Texas. It concludes that while there was a close link between the density of a countys Hispanic population and its support for Democrat candidates, the voting pattern for that county did not change as the county became less white and more Hispanic.
This backs up two key points I have been making these last few years, said Steve Munisteri, Chairman of the Republican Party of Texas in an interview with Breitbart Texas. First, the state got more competitive than people realize in 2008 (this article shows a 5% increase for Democrats between 2004 and 2008), but since....
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Sorry, Bob, that's just not true.
In 2012, Texas Hispanics voted:
Obama: 70%
Romney: 29%
Ted Cruz: 35%
Paul Sadler(D): 65%
This poll comes from Latino Decisions.
Here's the link:
I imagine not. The purpose of the no car rule is to make it as difficult as possible for the undergrads to spend weekends dissipating on the Gulf coast in places such as Panama City.
“Hispanic Growth Not Turning Texas Blue as Expected”
That’s the reason illegals are being encouraged to flood across our borders ... particularly in Texas. CA is already blue enough.
I will guess that is the “turn out” number, not the “eligible” number.
According to Pew Research, 26% of “eligible” voters in Texas were Hispanic in 2012.
That number will go up in 2014.
New 18-20 year old American born Hispanic citizens will be eligible to vote.
At least 100,000 more Texas Hispanics have been naturalized in the last two years.
And the total number of white voters has declined slightly since 2012.
Re: “The GOP get 80% of the white vote in Texas”
I think that might be high.
I have not seen a poll for white voters in 2012.
However, in 2008, John McCain got just 73% of the white vote.
Re: “The GOP get around 50% of the white vote in California”
I think most people will be shocked to learn that white California voters voted like this in 2012:
Romney: 53%
Obama: 45%
Find one illegal to cast a vote for a republican and the border would shut down in seconds.
Not yet...
Yes, that is the main reason that others states turn blue. The white vote is more evenly split.
The legal Hispanics are generally hard-working and do not cotton to those who steal their tax dollars (through the government proxy system called the IRS) and give the rest of them a bad name.
You are right, and the American people are wrong.
Hispanics in TX vote Democrat because they believe the old line about the Democrats being for “the little people like me.”
Good for you, but most of the American people are too poor to fund a private college.
LOL! You got that right!
“Ted Cruz: 35%
Paul Sadler(D): 65%”
That’s not bad - and Bush was able to hit 40%. The ones that I work with are certainly not a cross-section of Hispanics - they are better educated and have something to lose - but it does show that they are not “owned” by Democrats, and these numbers show the same.
The problem for Democrats that it will take A LOT MORE Hispanics to give them the votes they need if even 35% of them are willing to vote Republican - and that assumes the number is fixed. Inch it up to 40% and they’re almost useless to Democrats if Republicans can hold the white vote.
That’s why the Dems STILL aren’t getting anywhere in Texas. If the black population were swapped with the Hispanics here (in percentages), we would already another California.
Population density drives support for big gov, period. It does not matter if the population is white or hispanic. Big gov lovers take majority control the world over once an area's population density reaches 1,000 people per square mile.
Peak People occurs about the year 2055. Peak White People has already occurred. Unless the DNA codes get beamed out to space there will never be more white people than there is now anywhere in the universe.
But if amnesty is passed, within a few years Hispanics will be 30% or more of Texas voters as the amnestied illegals begin to vote.
And I haven't seen anything that says Republicans are winning the Hispanic vote in Texas. Some claim that W got 44%, but that's the highest claim I've seen and many dispute that since it was based only on exit polls.
And, at present, there is no reason to believe any administration will stop the de facto open borders that will add more and more Hispanic voters.
Then why do legal Hispanics vote democrat?
This is mostly right-wing wishful thinking reminiscent of California 25 years ago.. Just give it a little time..
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