Posted on 01/27/2016 2:36:47 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump may be the front-running candidate to beat in Iowa, but a new poll suggests his victory strategy relies on a key factor: whether Iowans who don't usually vote show up next Monday.
According to a Wednesday Monmouth University survey, a victory for Trump in the Iowa caucus hinges on whether his non-traditional campaign style motivates irregular voters to caucus for him.
"Turnout is basically what separates Trump and Cruz right now," Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray said. "Trump's victory hinges on having a high number of self-motivated, lone-wolf caucus-goers show up Monday night."
Trump's support in the latest Monmouth poll stood at 30%, putting him 7 points ahead of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) among likely Republican voters. This was based on a turnout projection of 170,000 voters from past-voting history and voters' stated intentions. That turnout would far surpass 2012's record of 122,000...
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com.au ...
If you came to my door and asked me if I was going to vote on Feb 1 and who I was going to vote for.....I’d lie my a** off....because it’s none of your business. I’d be very polite and smile.
LOL I’d do the same.
yes indeed.
It's pure genius writing, I tell ya'.
“Fascinating variable shows how Donald Trump’s lead over Ted Cruz could melt away in Iowa”
Or not.
Maybe it will increase, stay the same or go down. You may quote me on that!
BS Trump will go up.
My friends in Iowa tell me it’s great sport to lie to pollsters, it’s just part of their overstated importance in the primary process.
Is that Ted on shore?
I would tell them “Jim Gilmore” just to get that poor SOB above 0.0%.
Gilmore will shock everybody and win it!
Personally, Iowa (except for the BB) is overrated. I’d rather eat Iowa corn than burn it in my vehicle engine.
You answer your door?
Business Insider is a lefty publication that has promoted Obama from the time he announced he was running for president.
Just in case it’s Ed McMahon.
Half the thread sources here fit that description.
The media narrative has been shifting away from Trump as the moment of truth draws near.
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