Cruz's Path to Nomination

Creator's Syndicate ^ | March 30, 2016 | Richard Morris & Eileen McGann

[2ndDivisionVet]

Donald Trump is most likely to win the GOP nomination. But Ted Cruz definitely has a path to victory if he can win key contests.

Trump's current delegate lead over Cruz and John Kasich (Trump — 739, Cruz — 465, Kasich — 143) is more apparent than real. At some point, Marco Rubio is likely to endorse Cruz and release his delegates. Since the Rubio campaign was conceived in the womb of the establishment's anti-Trump initiative, his delegates are likely to go to the Texan en masse, giving Cruz 631 delegates, only 108 behind Trump.

If Cruz wins Wisconsin, he will take most of its 42 votes. And, if on April 9, his candidates prevail at the Colorado delegate selection caucus (no presidential primary or caucus in that state), he will get the bulk of the state's 37 delegates. That should cut Trump's lead to less than one hundred — perhaps seventy or so.

The Wisconsin win, which would be Cruz's first victory in a major northeastern industrial state, shows that as Trump's popularity among women declines, Cruz is in a position to pick up key victories.

Cruz can expect to lose the April 19 New York primary (95), the next in line, but proportional rules may allow Cruz and Kasich to win a third of the delegates.

After New York, Cruz will be competitive and get his share of the delegates in most of the remaining states: Connecticut (28), Maryland (38), Rhode Island (19), Indiana (57) and New Mexico (24). He will likely pick up Nebraska's 36 and Montana's 27 in their winner-take-all format, but he may lose New Jersey's 51 and Delaware's 16 winner-take-all delegates....

[2ndDivisionVet]

Comments?

[pepsi_junkie]

I can cut this short: try to deny Trump enough delegates and then hope the party of Mitch McConnell will insert him instead. Which is to say, no chance at all.

[Uncle Miltie]

I want some happy juice.

[dforest]

LOL

[frankenMonkey]

Common Core Maffamatics

[VanDeKoik]

Some dope’s fantasy.

That’s a good summary.

[ifinnegan]

These writers seem to have overlooked Pennsylvania.

[Enlightened1]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3414519/posts?page=118#118 sharing ‘cheesecake’ at 3AM 4/2/15

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3413970/posts?page=135#135 his/her churchill tattoos 4/1/14

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3414247/posts?page=142#142 married men are cool 11/9/14

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3414247/posts?page=179#179 daddy cruz is coming 12/22/15

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3414267/posts?page=13#13 having good time, tats & fun 5AM 11AM 4/1/14

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3414267/posts?page=71#71 while flying stealyourwoman? 6/14

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3414312/posts?page=14#14 multi-tweet multi date collage

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3414312/posts?page=27#27 sleep w/boss & frigid wives DC women 2/16/14

[2ndDivisionVet]

Now read the article.

[Extremely Extreme Extremist]

[allendale]

Me thinks thou art dreaming. Cruz is dead man walking.

[datura]

Let’s see Cruz win his own delegates, fair and square (with votes).

If he can’t get to 1,237 on his own, he should drop out.

But that would require honor.

[2ndDivisionVet]

And yet it ain’t hurtin’ Cruz, it’s actually helping him. Darn it! LOL

[2ndDivisionVet]

So FOLLOWING THE RULES is now “cheating” to the Trump crowd? You guys make me laugh.

[manc]

deny Trump enough delegates, give the contested election to the establishment and job done.
Therefore a vote for cruz is a vote for the establishment convention.

My how they must rubbing their hands at their little devilish plan

[truth_seeker]

My common sense says:

“scan the article, looking for California....the 800 lb. gorilla, but alas the article shows no California.”

Hence read no further, since anybody can plot a scenario, but probability enters, and without showing the largest delegate prize in the summary portion, I waste no further time.

[pepsi_junkie]

Now read the article.

"Then, Cruz may have an ace in the hole since he has moved in skillfully behind the primaries that have already been held to get as many second ballot delegates as possible. In many states — like South Carolina — delegates are not selected in the primaries, but rather at subsequent caucuses. If Cruz can fill the seats with delegates favorable to him, they can switch on the second ballot having satisfied their legal obligations by backing Trump on the first ballot."

Like I said, it comes down to a hope that the powers that be will allow him, a man who until a few months ago was the most hated man in the GOP, as the nominee at the convention: Dream on.

[Enlightened1]

You mean like this?

[MIchaelTArchangel]

When did this Dick Morris become Richard Morris?

[Enlightened1]

You mean like this?