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Electoral College Breakdown 2004, September 26th Update
Daly Thoughts and Dales' ECB2004 ^ | 9/26/04 | Gerry Daly

Posted on 09/26/2004 7:19:48 PM PDT by Dales

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Shortly I will have added polls for Pennsylvania (hat tip, Black Razor), Iowa, and Minnesota.
1 posted on 09/26/2004 7:19:49 PM PDT by Dales
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To: Coop; The G Man; nevergiveup; scan58; AuH2ORepublican; BoomerBob; Galatians513; onyx; KJacob; ...

Sorry for vanishing for a bit ping.


2 posted on 09/26/2004 7:20:37 PM PDT by Dales
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To: Dales

It ain't gonna be the debates

It will be how much voter fraud the GOP has to overcome

GOP should have been heading this off months if not years ago


3 posted on 09/26/2004 7:26:29 PM PDT by uncbob
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To: Dales

Curious why NJ is not in the toss up column and heard on local news that the spread in NY is narrowing and no longer in the double digit realm.


4 posted on 09/26/2004 7:26:31 PM PDT by StarFan
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To: Dales

I'll take it. I'm not to sure about Iowa but, otherwise, this looks to me like how it will shake out, barring any major events.


5 posted on 09/26/2004 7:27:28 PM PDT by Tall_Texan (Let's REALLY Split The Country! (http://righteverytime3.blogspot.com))
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To: Dales

Last I saw MD was tied and NJ was in play.
As for the states you have for leaning toward Bush, Kerry has withdrawn ads from most of them conceding them.


6 posted on 09/26/2004 7:28:18 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: Dales

Hon....that's okay. But we missed you!
Glad you're back!
GEORGE W. BUSH 2004!!!!!

BUSH/CHENEY 2004!


7 posted on 09/26/2004 7:28:57 PM PDT by LadyPilgrim (Sealed my pardon with His blood, Hallelujah!!! What a Savior!!!)
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To: Dales

Bush is going to win at least 55% on Election Day. He'll outdo his father by two percentage points.


8 posted on 09/26/2004 7:30:38 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: Dales

Here's betting Arkansas will move to Lean. ARG has Bush +3 in Arkansas, EVEN in Wisconsin, and by all indications from the campaigns they see Bush stronger in Arkansas than Wisconsin as well. Of course ARG is crap but still.


9 posted on 09/26/2004 7:31:41 PM PDT by JohnnyZ ("The common man doesn't look at me as some rich witch." --Teresa Heinz Kerry)
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To: StarFan
"Slight advantage" in my nomenclature is, basically, a tossup (just one where someone has been coming out very slightly ahead in most recent polls).

I think that the states that are slight advantage Kerry, and the states that are slight advantage Bush, and the states that are tossup, are equally likely to go to either candidate.

10 posted on 09/26/2004 7:32:35 PM PDT by Dales
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To: Dales

Thanks for your work.

I am hoping all the light colors end up deep blue on Nov.3


11 posted on 09/26/2004 7:32:52 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Dales

Thank you Mr. Dale Good Work


12 posted on 09/26/2004 7:32:57 PM PDT by ThreeYearLurker
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To: Dales

Excellent work as usual. Thanks for the ping.

When I read it you did have a typo with Dukakis in 1998 rather than 1988.


13 posted on 09/26/2004 7:38:28 PM PDT by JLS
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To: Dales

I guess the reason Kerry wants to support the UN is so voters in Cuba and the Bahamas and other non-US locations such as Mozambique can vote for him.


14 posted on 09/26/2004 7:44:03 PM PDT by Lunkhead_01
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To: Dales

Have to see what last second dirty trick the Dems play on Bush this time. I think Bush will win much more comfortably this time around, and frankly he'll do fine in the debates against Kerry. We still have to be worried about the massive vote fraud the Dems are going to attempt throughout the country. I'm concerned mostly about the voter registration drives they're conducting in Ohio and Florida. The problem with our side is that our leaders don't realize that the left will stop at nothing to win this election at any cost. Stealing votes is not beneath them. They'll do it anytime and anywhere if it means retaining their governmental power. Our guys have to take off their white gloves and play politics as the bareknuckled, fight- all-out game that it is. The Dems understand that, but the GOP doesn't.


15 posted on 09/26/2004 7:49:08 PM PDT by midftfan
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To: Dales

Finally...I thought you'd been kidnapped by aliens.


16 posted on 09/26/2004 7:49:13 PM PDT by pgkdan
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To: Dales

What happened to Illinois? I thought that state was in play if not Bush leading by a few points.


17 posted on 09/26/2004 7:50:04 PM PDT by cocopopcrazy
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To: uncbob

bush could have squashed voter fraud in wisconsin by leaving tommy thompson governor there instead of picking him for HHS secretary.

Bush's appointments to cabinet positions and judgeships sometimes defy common sense.


18 posted on 09/26/2004 7:51:25 PM PDT by flashbunny (How do you tell which polls are right? Simple. Just look at how the Kerry campaign is acting.)
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To: cocopopcrazy

Illinois is in meltdown, thanks to a dreadful state party. If Dubya carries it, it will be a miracle (otherwise I say he loses it by maybe 5 points). I think W has a better chance of carrying Michigan.


19 posted on 09/26/2004 7:59:05 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (*This Just In ~ Dan Rather's Penis Is A Forgery, Film At 11*)
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To: cocopopcrazy
You can click on the state link to see what the polls have said. I have yet to see any Illinois polls showing Bush ahead. A few showed it close, but others not so close.
20 posted on 09/26/2004 8:00:04 PM PDT by Dales
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