Posted on 10/10/2004 11:37:01 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Poll gives Kerry 48%, Bush 47%.
This has been out for a while.
I suspect you are right. It's either their LV model or possibly how they "randomly" select people. It's possible they oversample the inner city telephone exchanges or something where Republicans are not as solid.
I didn't know ARF was partisan either. We conservatives must have a great turnout to win, as the dems will try to steal it any way they can.
American Research Group = AAAAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!
For an ARG poll, that's good.
You are right, with the fraud going on, there must be a HUGE turnout. Ohio GOP folks (and Northern Kentucky folks) need to be hitting the streets and manning the phones to get our people to the polls!
Absolutely a good result for an ARG poll.
ARG Poll Result + 5.0% = Reality.
Rasmussen's daily tracking poll shows Ohio going to Bush today, not last week.
Can you give us tangible evidence?
I hear ya.
It will still be very difficult for GWB to win without OH. He will almost certainly have to hold on to NH, NV, and WV. Plus he must add WI and one or two others, most likely NM and IA. NM seems to be leaning slightly to the GOP now but IA is back to leaning Kerry. I guess it is just populated by morons. ;-)
If Bush takes CO but they vote to split their electoral votes then Kerry picks up probably 3 or 4 there. Plus this idiot GOP elector in WV says he may defect and not vote for Bush. I think Mr Bush must end up with at least 275 on election night or this could take a while to decide. The best strategy is to make sure FL is solid and then pour every available resource into OH. I dont see how the Repubs can lose without it.
Kerry and Silky Pony came to Bowling Green, perhaps the most liberal city in NW Ohio, for a visit a few weeks back. They drew 5,000 people, including the entire University staff.
The President had a rally in Mason a week or two back. Nearly 60,000 people attended.
The wide difference in intensity is not unusual; none of the Democratic rallies are well attended, and the President's are.
And is anybody actually thinking about the realistic possibility that Turayza could be in the White House? She is a 'world citizen' and the first billionaire to reside there? I don't think this is getting nearly enough attention in the media. It reflects on Kerry's character that this is the woman he is putting forth to America.
Not to worry. It is still considered credible out there in Bizarro World (sort of like Dan Rather). Many of us simply know better here.
At the very least it doesn't hurt to know what the Democrats are telling their voters.
I sent in a donation to his opponent.
Gay Marriage is on the ballot in Ohio and 9 other states. Enough said.
Answer: Zero. Is it possible that Bush can win without Ohio? Yes, but it is very unlikely. Bush needs Ohio, period.
-T
Unlike SUSA, they don't release their methodology. They did release party affiliation as well as gender, and I think racial breakdown, but didn't release much else.
I think it's either area distribution or just how they push a likely voter. One or the other.
They do not release their methodology because it is probably bogus.
-T
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