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'EARLY BIRDS' BACKING BUSH
New York Post ^ | 10/27/04 | DEBORAH ORIN

Posted on 10/27/2004 1:55:19 AM PDT by kattracks

There are six frantic days left until the election, but nearly 1 in 10 likely voters have already cast early ballots — and they've backed President Bush by a skinny margin over John Kerry, a tracking poll reports.

Among those who say they've already voted — by absentee ballot or early ballots in states that allow it — 51 percent went for Bush and 47 percent for Kerry, according to ABC's Saturday-Monday survey.

That news comes as most polls show the race is super-close nationally and in key states, so the real battle now is to see which side does a better job of turning out its vote.

Right now, Kerry and Bush are battling hard across the Midwest — where Kerry has to defend five states but Bush must defend Ohio — while keeping an eye on Nevada, New Mexico and above all Florida, the state where Bush won the White House by 537 votes.

[snip]

Democrats abruptly poured more than $100,000 into ads for Hawaii after polls showed Bush surging into a tie in a state that Al Gore won by 20 points.

One GOP strategist suggested Hawaii — scene of Pearl Harbor — may feel more vulnerable to terrorism, the issue that's Bush's strong point, as an isolated outpost far from the U.S. mainland.

Bush is making a hard push in two states that he barely lost in 2000 — Wisconsin and Iowa. Bush now tops most polls in those two states.


(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: earlyvote; gwb2004; kewl; polls
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1 posted on 10/27/2004 1:55:19 AM PDT by kattracks
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To: kattracks

ignore this "news" folks...vote and work like the margins are 90% for Kerry, 10% for Bush. If all true patriots vote, kerry will lose big time.


2 posted on 10/27/2004 1:57:19 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: kattracks

Other than Georgia, Texas and Florida, which states have early voting? Are they mainly red states or blue states? The Post article says "western" states.


3 posted on 10/27/2004 2:02:28 AM PDT by conservative in nyc
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To: Recovering_Democrat; kattracks
No. Work like it's 50-50. One principle of successful project management is that employees work hardest when the prospects of success and failure are about even.

I suspect this is a universal component of human nature. VOTE!

4 posted on 10/27/2004 2:03:03 AM PDT by Lexinom ("A person's a person no matter how small" - from Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who)
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To: conservative in nyc

Tennessee has early voting


5 posted on 10/27/2004 2:06:12 AM PDT by Kaslin (Stick a fork in Kerry, he is done)
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To: kattracks

Why must Bush keep an eye on New Mexico? He lost it the last time so he can (probably) afford to lose it again.


6 posted on 10/27/2004 2:13:22 AM PDT by Tall_Texan (Let's REALLY Split The Country! (http://righteverytime3.blogspot.com))
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To: Tall_Texan

Bush must keep an eye on NM because he is slightly down in NH.

All the recent polls show Bush up in NM, so it should replace NH nicely.


7 posted on 10/27/2004 2:17:58 AM PDT by Tester10
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To: kattracks
I wondered if we were going to hear results from early voting. Isn't that kind of like announcing results before the polls close?

When did this early voting thing start, anyway? I don't like the smell of it...

8 posted on 10/27/2004 3:20:14 AM PDT by prion (Yes, as a matter of fact, I AM the spelling police)
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To: Recovering_Democrat
If all true patriots vote, Kerry will lose big time.

If all those who get gubbermint cheese and gubbermint checks vote, then Kerry will win.

9 posted on 10/27/2004 3:22:51 AM PDT by dennisw (Gd - against Amelek for all generations.)
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To: prion

Not all states have early voting (we do here in Florida). I like it because you vote at a central location where they have access to updated voter rolls, etc., so I think there is actually less possibility of fraud. However, the votes are not actually counted until Election Day (in Florida, at least), so I guess these surveys are based on exit polls.


10 posted on 10/27/2004 3:33:43 AM PDT by livius
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To: kattracks

Everything about this race says "blowout". 55% coming soon.


11 posted on 10/27/2004 3:52:19 AM PDT by LongsforReagan (Cheney is my role model and the greatest Republican since RR.)
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To: conservative in nyc

Most states have early voting now - red and blue. This is good news for Bush because the Dems are DRAGGING their deadbeats to the polls for early voting.

I could be wrong but I'm getting a sense that Republicans and conservative to moderate Democrats are sick and tired of the current status of the Democratic party. We need to keep fighting this voter fraud that's out there but I believe that the Dems are about to experience a voter backlash that hasn't been seen in quite a while.


12 posted on 10/27/2004 4:01:07 AM PDT by GOPRaleigh (Vote for Bush - It may save your life.)
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To: prion

Just exit polling.


13 posted on 10/27/2004 4:06:23 AM PDT by RockinRight (Bush's rallies look like World Series games. Kerry's rallies look like Little League games.)
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To: kattracks

The true spirit of patriotism is sacraficing for your country when needed. The smallest level of which would be having to wait in line for hours to vote on Tues.

I just don't see the Bush haters sacraficing when faced with a 2-3 hour voting line. They are too selfish to give their time.


14 posted on 10/27/2004 4:06:46 AM PDT by Rebelbase (President Jimmy Carter is a complete idiot .)
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To: kattracks

A five point lead is not a "skinny margin."


15 posted on 10/27/2004 4:07:22 AM PDT by RockinRight (Bush's rallies look like World Series games. Kerry's rallies look like Little League games.)
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To: kattracks

Looks like Cheney will prove to be correct.


16 posted on 10/27/2004 4:08:05 AM PDT by mabelkitty (W is the Peoples' President ; Kerry is the Elite Establishment's President)
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To: LongsforReagan

Keep in mind-most states that have early voting are heavy GOP states. This news might not be as good as we thought.


17 posted on 10/27/2004 4:08:40 AM PDT by RockinRight (Bush's rallies look like World Series games. Kerry's rallies look like Little League games.)
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To: Rebelbase

You are correct! The Dems are dragging deadbeats to this early voting. I'm getting a sense that the MSM and the Dem party is about to be turned on its head on Nov. 2nd.


18 posted on 10/27/2004 4:08:46 AM PDT by GOPRaleigh (Vote for Bush - It may save your life.)
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To: LongsforReagan
Landslide prediction?

Early this summer I predicted 55% Bush (over 300 EV's), 44% sKerry, 1% Nader.

The wait is killing me, but it is fun to watch sKerry growing more desperate each day.

The MSM is pulling out all the stops, but I don't see it working.

19 posted on 10/27/2004 5:11:34 AM PDT by ImProudToBeAnAmerican (Blatant capitalism at work: www.BrilliantYachts.com)
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To: GOPRaleigh
I believe that the Dems are about to experience a voter backlash that hasn't been seen in quite a while.

2002 wasn't very long ago. :-)

20 posted on 10/27/2004 5:16:36 AM PDT by Coop (In memory of a true hero - Pat Tillman)
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