Posted on 11/04/2004 12:13:38 AM PST by Remember_Salamis
IT will be Rudy, who WILL NEVER get the nomination for the GOP (A Mayor who's a pro-choice RADICAL and anti-second amendment)? Come on. Rudy knows his future is in the Senate.
Pataki can run fo Governor again. He's not term-limited, so he can run again in 2006 for GOV and the run against Schumer in 2010 or remain GOV forever.
I think Bayh is a respectable democrat. OF course, he's not Zell Miller or John Breaux (I'm suprised Breaux never endoresed Bush like Zell did). But he's a modern democrat's version of a moderate.
Nice word choice!
BUMP for later...
The only thing "respectable" about Bayh is that he is anti-PBA, but not much else (and I've heard some rumors regarding him that I won't repeat openly), but most 'Rats I've spoken to said there is NO WAY Bayh would get the Presidential nod (partly on the abortion issue, and others). You have to remember, the base of the party is SO radically left, their litmus test for candidates is 180 degrees away from ours, and they can't veer from it one iota. As for John Breaux, he's a mixed bag, but he's largely been a slick character who is very calculating at home (he was initially going to resign early to allow Chris John to be appointed to his seat, but decided against it for fear of a backlash). I think the most respectable Democrat in LA right now is New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin. He really put his neck on the line endorsing now Rep-elect Bobby Jindal for the Governorship last year, and probably has ruined his chances for a 2nd term. He's the best Mayor the city has had in ages, if only because he has ETHICS.
I completely agree with you on that. Ironically, while this year's election results were great for the GOP, it meant curtains for any hopes of Pataki or Rudy winning the '08 nomination. Their brand of politics would never play well in the heartland.
Pataki will have an uphill fight in the '06 race against either Schumer or Spitzer. His approval ratings are in the toilet right now. Rudy's our best hope of winning that seat.
If Kennedy decides to retire, which I doubt he will, he's going to try to pass his seat off to his lightweight nephew, former Congressman Joe Kennedy. I think Joe was named one of the dumbest Congressmen in America a few years back.
Either way, the only Republicans in this state who could make a competitive run at that seat are Romney (who is looking at the '08 GOP nomination) and Andy Card, assuming he decides to step down as COS.
i concur with the others: however the future judges the accuracy of your work, it is nonetheless impressive.
I think in nebraska nelson will loss to republican johanns the current governor who is term limited in 2006
Loss - Bill Nelson of Florida – You heard it here first: Jeb Bush will run for the Senate in 2006 and win.
In return for her NOT running for the open Graham seat this time and causing state wide havoc, Katherine Harris was promised a shot at Bill Nelso with 100% party support and access to resources. She won her race for the House this time and will be "seasoned" enough to fill this slot.
Jeb wants to go home to Miami and get back into business (he's a friend of my family from before he was Gov) and he won't seek the Senate. He might still run for Pres in 08, but I doubt it.
I think the dream ticket for 2008 would be if Cheney resigns in 2006 and Condi Rice fills the position as VP then she runs for VP and Jeb Bush runs for Pres. But I don't think it'll happen like this....STILL....it is a dream I have.....
We can start discussing 06 in 05.
Snowe will win easily in my state. I might even help. Reality dictates that Maine is a liberal state, but Snowe is well liked. A true conservative will never win here; too much to overcome. I'll take her and Collins. The RINOs will be more marginalized now that we have 55 in the Senate, and their most important votes are for Bill Frist. If we're a big tent, we need "moderates" or we lose.
Talent of Missouri is up in 2000. Although he won in 2002, that was a special election because the seat itself is on the 2000 cycle. This is the seat which a dead man won in 2000, then went to appointment by his widow, then by special election to Talent. I think he will hold, even if Robin Carnahan, our newly elected Secretary of State, runs on her name recognition. She is a lesbian and he is a conservative Christian.
I haven't voted for snowe in 25 years but I'm afraid she's a lock unless somebody can change the basic nature of Republicans in Maine who consider themselves "good Republicans" as opposed to "bad conservative Republicans".
The Margaret Chase Smith syndrome is very strong here and is accompanied by a sanctimonious correctness that sickens.
Missing factor. Consider a strategy where Bush appoints some D senators in R states whose governors have the power of appointment. We get instant increase now and maybe ability to stop filibuster on SC appointments.
Very good. From what I understand, Kay Bailey WILL be running. Can you say Senator Dewhurst?
I think you are right about Jeb wanting to go home to Miami especially because Columba never liked Tallahassee,and he wants to get back to earning money. Katherine Harris will run for Nelson's seat and win. Nelson is a lefty that fakes conservative,and kissed up to Michael Moore,and also Kerry (especially in that disastrous Space Center photo). Katherine Harris is conservative,but appeals to moderates and is well liked by minorities. She will also get a lot of help from Martinez if she needs it with the Latin community. She stayed out this year and will be well financed by RPOF for her cooperation.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.