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33 Senators running for reelection in 2006
Self | Nov. 6, 2004 | An American!

Posted on 11/06/2004 6:49:07 AM PST by An American!

33 Senators running for reelection in 2006. There will be 18 democrats, 14 republicans and 1 independent up for reelection:


Democrats in order of likelihood of being defeated
Byrd, Robert (D) West Virginia
Feinstein, Diane (D) California
Kennedy, Edward (D) Massachusetts
Bingaman, Jeff (D) New Mexico
Nelson, Bill (D)Florida

Vulnerable
Clinton, Hillary (D) New York
Dayton, Mark (D) Minnesota
Kohl, Herb (D) Wisconsin
Stabenow, Debbie (D) Michigan
Jeffords, Jim (I) Vermont

Somewhat Vulnerable
Cantwell, Maria (D) Washington
Corzine, Jon (D) New Jersey
Conrad, Kent (D) North Dakota
Nelson, Ben (D) Nebraska
Sarbanes, Paul (D) Maryland
Carper, Thomas (D) Delaware

Safe & Sound
Akaka, Daniel (D) Hawaii
Carper, Thomas (D) Delaware
Lieberman, Joe (D) Connecticut

Republicans in order of likelihood of being defeated
Hutchison, Kay Baily (R) Texas
Frist, William (R) Tennessee
Lugar, Richard (R) Indiana
Lott, Trent (R) Mississippi
Hatch, Orrin (R) Utah

Vulnerable
Allen, George (R) Virginia
DeWine, Mike (R) Ohio
Snowe, Olympia (R) Maine

Somewhat Vulnerable
Burns, Conrad (R) Montana
Chafee, Lincoln (R) Rhode Island
Santorum, Rick (R) Pennsylvania

Safe & Sound
Ensign, John (R) Nevada
Kyl, Jon (R) Arizona
Thomas, Craig (R) Wyoming


TOPICS: Government; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2006; election; electionussenate; senator
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To: texastoo

It may be that Dewhurst would lock up the Republican nomination before a serious contest could materialize. That's essentially what Phil Gramm did 20 years ago.


101 posted on 11/06/2004 12:24:21 PM PST by Theodore R.
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To: socal_parrot

CA Republicans cannot seem to find anyone to run for much of anything, as the state is so gerrymandered, but that wouldn't matter for a statewide race. Notice the "R" counties in CA are much, much larger geographically than the "D" blue counties.


102 posted on 11/06/2004 12:25:37 PM PST by Theodore R.
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To: An American!

Bingaman unseated a former astronaut, Harrison Schmitt, in the Democrat year of 1982. He is never vulnerable though no one can explain his appeal to the typical NM voter.


103 posted on 11/06/2004 12:26:47 PM PST by Theodore R.
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To: AmishDude

For Mass., think Ambassador Ray Flynn...


104 posted on 11/06/2004 12:33:16 PM PST by Siobhan (Pray without ceasing.)
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To: Theodore R.
Bingaman unseated a former astronaut, Harrison Schmitt, in the Democrat year of 1982. He is never vulnerable though no one can explain his appeal to the typical NM voter.

Well, Bingaman does have his witches in Sedona.......

105 posted on 11/06/2004 12:39:44 PM PST by Siobhan (Pray without ceasing.)
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To: ClintonBeGone

Katherine Harris would beat Nelson. Good idea!


106 posted on 11/06/2004 1:42:14 PM PST by foofoopowder
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To: An American!
Let me fix these. First, some assumptions.

DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS
CERTAIN RE-ELECTION; NO OPPOSITION
Akaka (HI) Thomas (WY)
Lott (MS)
Kennedy (MA) Kyl (AZ)
Allen (VA)
NOT VULNERABLE; TOKEN OPPOSITION
Sarbanes (MD) de Wine (OH)
Conrad (ND)
Byrd (WV)
Lieberman (CT)
Khol (WI)
Feinstein (CA) Frist (TN)
Carper (DE) Hutchison (TX)
Cantwell (WA)
POSSIBLY VULNERABLE TO STRONG OPPONENT
Stabenow (MI) Snowe (ME)
Dayton (MN) Hatch (UT)
Bingaman (NM) Santorum (PA)
POSSIBLY TIGHT RACES OR BIG WINS
Clinton (NY) Lugar (IN)
Ensign (NV)
PROBABLY WILL EKE NARROW VICTORY
Nelson (FL) Chafee*
Corzine (NJ)
Nelson (NE)
MIGHT HE LOSE TO DEMOCRAT? CLUELESS.
Jeffords (VT)
PROBABLY WILL LOSE TO GENERAL CANDIDATE
Talent (MO)**
LIKELY TO LOSE
Burns (MT)

* Chafee would win reelection easily as a Democrat, should he defect to that party.
** Assumes that opponent is deceased, like many Democratic voters in this state. Senator Talent likely would win against any living Democratic opponent.

107 posted on 11/06/2004 2:25:34 PM PST by dufekin (President Kerry would have our enemies partying like it's 1969, when Kerry first committed treason.)
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To: princess leah

I was wondering the other day what state Schilling is from. Would love to see him run for office.


108 posted on 11/06/2004 2:25:48 PM PST by votelife (Elect a filibuster proof majority, 60 conservative US Senators!)
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To: Theodore R.
Well, LBJ gave up the Senate majority leadership for the vice presidency 44 years ago.

He hedged his bets, IIRC.

109 posted on 11/06/2004 5:31:45 PM PST by AmishDude (President Bush got 51 percent of the vote, a figure higher than that of any Democrat in 40 years.)
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To: An American!
Republicans in order of likelihood of being defeated
Hutchison, Kay Baily (R) Texas
Frist, William (R) Tennessee
Lugar, Richard (R) Indiana
Lott, Trent (R) Mississippi
Hatch, Orrin (R) Utah

Are you kidding me?

110 posted on 11/06/2004 5:38:31 PM PST by streetpreacher (Bush did not lead this country into an unjust war; Kerry led this country out of a just war.)
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To: An American!

Excellent post!


111 posted on 11/06/2004 5:39:35 PM PST by Lancey Howard
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To: Munch

Of cirrosis.


112 posted on 11/06/2004 5:41:54 PM PST by FrdmLvr
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To: IStillBelieve

"Rudy will not be on the top of the GOP ticket in '08. The Republican Presidential candidate will almost certainly be a governor from the Old South."

As opposed to the New South?


113 posted on 11/06/2004 6:47:18 PM PST by streetpreacher (Bush did not lead this country into an unjust war; Kerry led this country out of a just war.)
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To: dufekin
"Let me fix these. First, some assumptions. "
I like your summary. Thank you. It is still early but this has been a good discussion and proved in some areas that there is more than one opinion on who is vulnerable and for what reasons. I listed some as vulnerable because I anticipate that they are leaving or pursuing Governor etc.
114 posted on 11/06/2004 8:31:16 PM PST by An American!
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To: streetpreacher
IMHO
Kay is leaving for Govenor.
Frist will step down to run for President
Lugar is vulnerable to a strong candidate
Lott is in the dems bulleye
Same with Hatch
115 posted on 11/06/2004 8:33:53 PM PST by An American!
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To: An American!
Here is an update:
Y2006 DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS Vulnerable Reason WHO  
1 Akaka (HI)   No No opposition  
2 Bingaman (NM)   Yes    
3 Byrd (WV)   Maybe Age Jay Wolf 
4 Cantwell (WA)       John Carlson or Reichert  
5 Carper (DE)        
6 Clinton (NY)   Maybe    
7 Conrad (ND)        
8 Corzine (NJ)   Yes Retire for govenor. Christie Whitman 
9 Dayton (MN)   Yes    
10 Feinstein (CA)   Maybe Vulnerable to the right candidate  
11 Jeffords (I) (VT)   Maybe   Howard Dean 
12 Kennedy (MA)   Maybe will turn 75...Health or Retire might be only reason he is not re-elected Joe Kennedy? 
13 Khol (WI)       Tommy Thompson 
14 Lieberman (CT)   Maybe Might not run. Chris Shays 
15 Nelson (FL)   Yes Probably retire. GOP needs strong Candidate Jeb Bush or Katherine Harris 
16 Nelson (NE)   Maybe    
17 Sarbanes (MD)        
18 Stabenow (MI)   Yes Stabenow is weak....does the GOP have a candidate  
19   Allen (VA) No No opposition Mark Warner 
20   Burns (MT) Yes    
21   Chafee (RI) Yes Living in Blue State  
22   de Wine (OH) No    
23   Ensign (NV) Maybe    
24   Frist (TN) Maybe Likely to seek Presidency in 2008 (drop out in '06)  
25   Hatch (UT) Maybe    
26   Hutchison (TX) Maybe Might seek governorship  
27   Kyl (AZ) No No opposition  
28   Lott (MS) Maybe Rumor he might retire  
29   Lugar (IN) No    
30   Santorum (PA) Yes Living in Blue State  
31   Snowe (ME) Yes Living in Blue State  
32   Talent (MO) Yes    
33   Thomas (WY) No No opposition  

116 posted on 11/07/2004 8:58:30 PM PST by An American!
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To: An American!

Vulnerable
Allen, George (R) Virginia
??????????????????????????

Allen is a LOCK. What the HELL are you basing this on?


117 posted on 11/07/2004 9:00:30 PM PST by maineman
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To: maineman
Please see the update to this list in Post 116 located here
118 posted on 11/08/2004 4:11:56 AM PST by An American!
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To: An American!
bttt!!

In 2006, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives will be up for grabs.

119 posted on 05/25/2006 8:37:10 PM PDT by nicmarlo (Bush is the Best President Ever. Rah. Rah.)
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To: An American!
..let me tell you something, Diane Feinstein will be defeated about 20 seconds after you see a pig fly by your window.

California falling into the Pacific Ocean is the only thing that will break Democratic control of California...

120 posted on 05/25/2006 8:44:10 PM PDT by WalterSkinner ( ..when there is any conflict between God and Caesar -- guess who loses?)
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