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Four More Years of Happiness
NY Times ^ | January 20, 2005 | DANIEL GILBERT

Posted on 01/20/2005 2:26:07 PM PST by neverdem

GUEST OP-ED CONTRIBUTOR

Cambridge, Mass.

BY now, most of the people I know should be Canadians. At least that's what they said they'd be if President Bush won re-election. And yet, my unofficial tally suggests that the number of disgruntled Democrats who actually emigrated northward is roughly zero, plus or minus none.

November saw more than its share of cursing, wailing and gnashing of teeth in some quarters, but by the middle of December the weeping had largely subsided and most of the people I know were busy buying gifts. With the exception of the junior senator from Massachusetts and a few hundred others whose lives and livelihoods hinged on the election's outcome, most Democrats had a good cry, kicked something until it broke, then slipped quietly back into their daily routines of family, work and television.

The speed and ease with which normalcy returned should not have surprised anyone. In the last decade, psychologists and economists have conducted numerous studies to determine how accurately people can predict their emotional reactions to future events. They've studied people's responses to misfortunes ranging from romantic breakups to financial losses, from personal insults to personal injuries, and the results of these studies have converged on a single conclusion: people typically overestimate the intensity and duration of their emotional reactions to adversity.

Mr. Bush in particular has been breaking Democratic hearts since he first ran for governor in Texas in 1994. But studies of that and subsequent elections reveal that voters were rarely as unhappy a few weeks after he won as they predicted they would be when they were doing their best to help him lose. And it wasn't Mr. Bush's performance that changed their minds, because those who voted against him returned to their original levels of happiness even before he was sworn in.

So what happened? Research suggests that human beings have a remarkable ability to manufacture happiness. For example, when people in experiments are randomly awarded one of two equally valuable prizes, they quickly come to believe that the prize they won was more valuable than the prize they lost. They are often so surprised by their apparent good fortune that they refuse to believe the prize was awarded randomly, and they are generally unwilling to swap their prizes even when the experimenter offers to sweeten the deal with a little extra cash.

Things do seem to turn out for the best - but studies suggest that this has less to do with the way things turn out than with our natural tendency to seek, notice, remember, generate and uncritically accept information that makes us happy.

Our ability to spin gold from the dross of our experience means that we often find ourselves flourishing in circumstances we once dreaded. We fear divorces, natural disasters and financial hardships until they happen, at which point we recognize them as opportunities to reinvent ourselves, to bond with our neighbors and to transcend the spiritual poverty of material excess. When the going gets tough, the mind gets going on a hunt for silver linings, and most linings are sufficiently variegated to reward the mind's quest.

So when President Bush puts his hand on the Bible today and begins his second term, Republicans will not be the only ones thinking about how lucky they are. Democrats will surely remind one another that the dollar is down, the deficit is up, foreign relations are in disarray and the party that presides over this looming miasma may well have elected its last president for decades to come.

At the same time, Democrats will tell themselves that they did everything they could - they wrote more checks and cast more ballots than ever before - so if the president and his party insist that Democrats now enjoy a fat tax break, then why feel guilty? And they will inevitably note that if just over half the fans at an Ohio State football game had voted for John Kerry instead of the president, a different man would be taking the oath of office today.

In short, Democrats will realize that winning isn't always such a good thing - and besides, they almost won.

Of course, not everyone will be happy today, because not everyone has this talent for reasoning his way to happiness. Throughout history, there have always been a few unfortunates who found it impossible to reframe negative events in positive ways, and these poor souls were predictably less happy than the rest of us. Lincoln, for example, was perpetually melancholic. Martin Luther King Jr. had more bad than good days. "Suffering and evil often overwhelm me," said Gandhi from the midst of a depression, "and I stew in my own juice."

Many of the heroes and redeemers we most admire were unhappy people who found it impossible to change how they felt about the world - which left them no choice but to change the world itself. Outrage, anger, fear and frustration are unpleasant emotions that most of us vanquish through artful reasoning; but unpleasant emotions can also be spurs to action - clamorous urges that we may silence at our peril.

As we watch the inauguration today, Republicans will take satisfaction in their victory and Democrats will find satisfaction in their defeat. But tomorrow it will be a nation - and not a party - that faces the dire problems of war, terrorism, poverty and intolerance. Perhaps over the next four years we would all be wise to suppress our natural talent for happiness and strive instead to be truly, deeply distressed.

Daniel Gilbert, a professor of psychology at Harvard, is the author of the forthcoming "Stumbling on Happiness."


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS: bush43; democrats; fourmoreyears; happiness; inauguration; psychology; term2

1 posted on 01/20/2005 2:26:08 PM PST by neverdem
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To: neverdem

President Bush is an inspiration to all freedom-loving people.


2 posted on 01/20/2005 2:28:36 PM PST by Heldentat
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To: neverdem
At the same time, Democrats will tell themselves that they did everything they could - they wrote more checks and cast more ballots than ever before

And had a record amount of voter fraud as well.

3 posted on 01/20/2005 2:30:10 PM PST by dirtboy (To make a pearl, you must first irritate an oyster)
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To: neverdem

Interesting, but I can assure this fellow that if Kerry had taken the oath today, I'd be feeling nauseous.


4 posted on 01/20/2005 2:30:45 PM PST by Dog Gone
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To: neverdem

"And they will inevitably note that if just over half the fans at an Ohio State football game had voted for John Kerry instead of the president, a different man would be taking the oath of office today."

Wow. They're squeezing 118,000 people into Ohio football stadiums these days? And that's assuming that all 118,000 originally voted for Bush.

NY Times - as accurate as ever.

Qwinn


5 posted on 01/20/2005 2:31:17 PM PST by Qwinn
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To: Heldentat
"right click" & "view image" to watch

PM me if you can't see it.

6 posted on 01/20/2005 2:32:35 PM PST by Critical Bill
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To: Critical Bill
It worked when I plugged the URL into another browser.

My unit is going back to Iraq later this year, and I'm ready to go. We saw Saddam's atrocities firsthand. Believe me, there's nothing like seeing it with your own eyes to make you understand what you're fighting for.

7 posted on 01/20/2005 2:38:30 PM PST by Heldentat
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To: Qwinn

Well they probably could fit 118,000 in there if they wanted to. Their listed seating capacity is 101,568.


8 posted on 01/20/2005 2:40:35 PM PST by Blackyce (President Jacques Chirac: "As far as I'm concerned, war always means failure.")
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To: neverdem

It's weird that people would associate "happiness" with who's sitting in the White House. It illustrates an underlying problem in our society.


9 posted on 01/20/2005 2:42:05 PM PST by k2blader (It is neither compassionate nor conservative to support the expansion of socialism.)
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To: neverdem

"Mr. Bush in particular has been breaking Democratic hearts since he first ran for governor in Texas in 1994. "

There should be a writer's fine for using "democratic" when "democrat" should be used. I am democratic but I sure ain't no democrat.


10 posted on 01/20/2005 2:44:29 PM PST by RtWngr (Being tolerant of the intolerant is pretty stupid actually.)
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To: neverdem

11 posted on 01/20/2005 2:48:28 PM PST by getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL (...............................................JEB..................................................)
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To: Heldentat

Glad you saw it. Not sure the format in HTML right now but working on it. Wish I had been with you to witness this stuff first hand. Not out of morbid curiosity though. Well maybe a little , as is human nature.


12 posted on 01/20/2005 2:48:37 PM PST by Critical Bill
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To: neverdem
...the number of disgruntled Democrats who actually emigrated northward is roughly zero, plus or minus none.

That's a good thing. I hate it when they stay here and are gruntled.

13 posted on 01/20/2005 2:51:46 PM PST by ladtx ( "Remember your regiment and follow your officers." Captain Charles May, 2d Dragoons, 9 May 1846)
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To: ladtx

14 posted on 01/20/2005 2:53:54 PM PST by getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL (...............................................JEB..................................................)
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To: neverdem
In short, Democrats will realize that winning isn't always such a good thing - and besides, they almost won.

In which universe?

15 posted on 01/20/2005 2:54:14 PM PST by ladyinred (Congratulations to President Bush and VP Cheney!!)
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To: Dog Gone
Interesting, but I can assure this fellow that if Kerry had taken the oath today, I'd be feeling nauseous.

Me too, along with absolutely terrified! (Really)

16 posted on 01/20/2005 2:55:01 PM PST by ladyinred (Congratulations to President Bush and VP Cheney!!)
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To: ladyinred
Interesting, but I can assure this fellow that if Kerry had taken the oath today, I'd be feeling nauseous. Me too, along with absolutely terrified! (Really)

What? You mean you wouldn't have driven cross country to fight the crowd and the security, so you could stand in the cold and yell inane chants at a guy in car with 3 inch thick windows?

17 posted on 01/20/2005 3:28:42 PM PST by digger48
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To: Blackyce

"Well they probably could fit 118,000 in there if they wanted to. Their listed seating capacity is 101,568."

Holy cow, seriously? I thought 30-40,000 was the upper limit at most stadiums.

Then again, I'm no sports fan at all.

Qwinn


18 posted on 01/20/2005 4:08:27 PM PST by Qwinn
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To: Heldentat
I translated Bloody Omaha in your profile and it came out not too bad, interesting story from the other side. I presume you are first generation German?
19 posted on 01/20/2005 8:26:37 PM PST by Critical Bill
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