Iranian Alert - January 27, 2005 - USAF playing cat and mouse game over Iran

Closing the Neocon Circle

George W. Bush has unveiled a new vision for U.S. foreign policy. His inspiration: Israel’s Natan Sharansky

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6867187/site/newsweek

Jan. 25 - Natan Sharansky can bestow no higher praise than to call George W. Bush an honorary “dissident.” And the Israeli cabinet minister says he is elated that the U.S. president, in his second inaugural speech last week, appeared to fully embrace Sharansky’s vision of foreign policy. “It’s clear to me that he read my book,” Sharansky, a squat cannonball of a man with a heavy Russian accent, told NEWSWEEK. “I only wish that my mentor, Andrei Sakharov, were alive to see this,” Sharansky added, referring to the Soviet nuclear scientist who risked his life and career to help open up the Soviet Union.

Bush, in his Jan. 20 address, did prove himself a dissident in one sense. When the president declared that “the survival of liberty in our land increasingly depends on the success of liberty in other lands,” he was delivering a dissent from traditional U.S. foreign policy, one that could have been lifted whole from the pages of Sharansky’s new book, “The Case for Democracy: The Power of Freedom to Overcome Tyranny and Terror.” (Public Affairs; New York). Bush, in fact, has been pressing the book on aides and friends in recent weeks and urging them to read it. And it is clear that Bush’s speech—as well as Sharansky’s influence—could have huge consequences for America in the coming years.

In Bush’s speech, drafted by chief White House speechwriter Michael Gerson with input from an old Sharansky ally dating to the Reagan years, National Security Council official Elliott Abrams, Bush in effect declared an end to a three-decade-old debate in foreign-policy circles. Fittingly, it is a debate that dates back to the fights over détente versus confrontation with the Soviet Union—and, not coincidentally, to Sharansky’s earlier incarnation as a jailed Soviet dissident. In a single, eloquent line, Bush sought to declare a truce to the old ideological struggle between U.S. government “realists”—those who believe protecting vital national interests has little to do with spreading democracy and freedom—and the so-called neoconservatives, who crusaded for these values. “America's vital interests and our deepest beliefs are now one,” he said.

In practice, of course, this battle of ideas will go on as U.S. officials wrangle over how to deal with recalcitrant regimes like Iran and North Korea. Administration officials were quick to play down the practical impact of Bush’s rhetoric, noting that the president declared the policy of spreading freedom to be “the concentrated work of generations.” But it is hard to avoid the conclusion that U.S. policy toward Iran and North Korea has now been resolved in favor of regime change--just as Bush once signed onto Sharansky’s goal of “regime change” in the Palestinian Authority in June 2002 when, in another speech heavily influenced by the Israeli, he said he would negotiate not with the autocratic Yasir Arafat but only with a newly elected Palestinian leadership.

At the very least, Bush’s rhetoric strengthens the hand of hardliners from the Pentagon and the office of Vice President Dick Cheney who see no way around the use of force or covert activity against such tyrannical regimes. As Sharansky’s old friend, onetime Pentagon advisor Richard Perle, told NEWSWEEK on Jan. 24, the current policy toward Iran has been one of “paralysis.” And, he says, the president’s speech “caused elation among dissidents in Iran. You read those words and the reaction is likely to be similar to Sharansky’s reaction when [as a dissident] he read Ronald Reagan’s words calling the Soviet Union an ‘evil empire.’”

Thanks to Bush’s speech, there may now be less willingness to cut a deal with the recalcitrant Iranian mullahs or the autocratic Kim Jong Il. A senior U.S. official denies this. He says the Bush team continues to hope for “behavioral change” like they got from Libya’s Mohammar Khaddafi--who’s off the regime change list since giving up his WMD. But in reality they don’t expect much from Tehran or Pyongyang. The danger is that yet more drift and paralysis in U.S. policy will ensue as Iran and North Korea get closer to becoming nuclear powers. Just as the hardline Sharansky has been criticized from his left for setting an impossibly high threshold for negotiating with the Palestinians—he opposes Ariel Sharon’s disengagement plan for Gaza—Bush could turn the totem of “democracy” into a convenient excuse for persisting in his stony refusal to talk directly to Iran and North Korea. There is also a danger of unintended consequences. Will the soaring rhetoric of freedom help bring regime collapse—an outcome few would mourn—or will it help to harden the nuclear ambitions of two regimes that Bush has declared to be moribund (the mullahs and Kim) but which have proved to have greater staying power than many thought?

Why is Sharansky’s influence so deep? In part because he didn’t pop out of nowhere. Sharansky has been speaking out in neocon forums for years, stiffening the spines of his former allies from the Reagan era. Chief among them is Perle who, in an interview, identified Sharansky as one of his two “heroes,” together with his old mentor, Sen. Henry “Scoop” Jackson. Their relationship is decades old. Back in the 1970s, when the Israeli was still a Russian named Anatoly Sharansky, Perle was the notorious attack dog for Jackson, fighting for Jewish emigration from the Soviet Union by pushing through the famous 1974 Jackson-Vanik bill, the opening shot fired against Cold War détente.

That was the first big battle over human rights in American foreign policy. Until then, the Cold War had been about realpolitik and detente, mainly “managing” the Soviet Union. Both men had been irrevocably changed by the experience of taking on what their mutual hero, Ronald Reagan, called the “evil empire.” Now each is in the midst of a new incarnation, fighting against Arab terror, yet they are animated by the same ideas as in the old days. Sharansky’s personal suffering under tyranny—and triumph over it—has made him a zealous campaigner for democracy in the Arab world, to the right even of his fellow Likudnik hawks in Israel. Perle and a small group of fellow neoconservatives have made it their mission to drag along Washington’s remaining “realists.”

In his book, Sharansky makes a powerful case that there is a common thread tying together the anti-Western hostility of old regimes like the Soviet Union and that of new enemies like the Islamist terrorists and their sponsors, including the Iranian mullah state and the Palestinian Authority under the late Arafat. “While the mechanics of democracy make democracies inherently peaceful, the mechanics of tyrannies make nondemocracies inherently belligerent,” he writes. Whether they are communist or Islamist, he argues, they must achieve legitimacy by creating external enemies, he argues. That’s a recipe for eternal conflict, he argues--as the autocratic Arafat proved by consistently sidestepping a peace deal.

So Sharansky’s influence represents a closing of the circle for the neocons who began battling for their ideas in the late ’70s and early ’80s. Sharansky himself says it is all a continuum, including the cast of characters, among them Abrams, Perle, Defense Department senior officials Paul Wolfowitz and Douglas Feith and Cheney’s chief of staff, Scooter Libby. “If you check their background, most of them were connected either to Senator Jackson or to the Reagan administration or to both,” says Sharansky. “And that’s why, by the way, many of them are my friends from those years. And in the last 15 years, we kept talking to one another.”

It is possible that America’s new embrace of Sharanskyism will also prove to be a recipe for eternal conflict. America will now be accused of hypocrisy every time it fails to live up to Bush’s promise “to seek and support the growth of democratic movements and institutions in every nation and culture.” In China, Russia and Taiwan, in Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, Washington has shrunk from pursuing that policy too forthrightly, mainly because it needs friends. And Bush is unlikely to depart dramatically from this cautious course. That means, in turn, that his new statement of American policy is certain to come back to haunt him, just as Woodrow Wilson’s promise of self-determination haunted American foreign policy-makers after World War I. Especially when Natan Sharansky is out there, reminding him of his promise.

With Dan Ephron in Jerusalem

Protest Against the Genocide of Iran's Youth

SMCCDI (Urgent Action)
January 26, 2005
http://www.daneshjoo.org/publishers/currentnews/article_722.shtml

Dear Freedom Lovers, Dear Human Rights Activists,

The Islamic regime's judiciary has sentenced another young
Iranian, named Satar, to be executed in the next coming
days. Aged seventeen, he has officially been accused of
murdering a man in the rebellious City of Eslamshar which
is a poor suburb of Tehran.

Eslamshahr has been the scene of violent and bloody
governmental crackdowns on peaceful protesters who
exasperated by their conditions had preferred to raise
against the Islamic State. Satar's crime is beleived to
have been a legitimate act of self defense against bad
government.

The exact date of his execution has not been announced yet
but last week another young Iranian, named "Iman Farokhi",
was executed in Evin Political jail, located in north of
the Capital. His official crime was to have killed a
militiaman. In reality the militiaman was seen agressing
Farokhi's young girlfriend during a Friday mountain walk in
Tehran's mountains. Farokhi's execution followed the
backing off of the Islamic regime from executing five other
young Iranians due to unprecedented International pressure
created by an active campaign to save their lives.

Like many other victims of Islamic regime, Farokhi had the
bad luck to have stayed unknown till after his execution!

Please to intervene, by contacting your country's
officials, the UN and any NGO, in order to request for
their immediate intervention for putting a stop to this new
wave of massacre.

A) Amnesty International:
1) In UK:
Fax: +44/207/413-5719
2) In US:
Fax: +1/212/463 9193
Email: aiusaia@aiusa.org

B) Human Rights Watch:
1) In UK:
Fax: +44/207/713-1800
2) In US:
Fax: +1/212/972-0905
Email: hrwnyc@hrw.org

C) United Nations Commission on Human Rights:
Fax: +41/22/917-0123

D) Your local officials and Statesmen

The World must intervene against the persistent genocide of
Iranian people and rescue its helpless and exasperated
youth!

Save Satar !!!
Save Iran's Youth!!!

Save them!!!
Make the difference!!!
You're their only and last hope!!!

The real Referendum is the one held After the Removal of the Islamic Regime.

http://www.marzeporgohar.org/index.php?l=1&cat=17&scat=30&artid=514

The neo-reformist platform

Some Iranians have exhibited a weak memory in regards to historical events that pertain to Iran. Today we are seeing yet again an attempt of neo-reformists to let Iranians forget about the folly of 8 years of “reforms from within” and accept their new experiment with a referendum.

We have absolutely nothing to discuss with the occupying power we call the Islamic Republic, and while some are ready to sit down and have dialogue with the theocracy, we remember that there exists a sea of blood between Iranians and the Islamic Republic. While many who advocate a referendum frequently state that a person’s background has no importance no matter what kind of treachery they have committed, so long as they advocate some kind of referendum, they should know that it is they who have washed their hands in blood, and we in fact view them as the enemies of Iran.

In order for us to achieve and preserve freedom, democracy and independence we must be ready and willing to pay the price it comes with. Independence from foreign powers is one point that the pro-referendum mob has kept a big distance from. The pro-referendum crowd already know that a referendum to overthrow the Islamic Republic is not possible; however, they want to reach a point where they can declare to the world that they tried to go about it non-violently. Once the pro-referendum mob is ready to concede that a referendum is not possible they will invite foreign governments to attack Iran and have power delivered to them, very similar to what happened in Iraq.

During this century many revolutions have triumphed with minimal costs to the people, but can the same be said of military foreign intervention. It is well known that some factions among the pro-referendum crowd would like Iranians to believe that a people’s revolution will bring unimaginable damage to Iranians, implying that foreign troops should invade Iran, as opposed to Iranians cleaning out their own house. At the same time, another faction among the referendum advocates would like to demonstrate the futility of a referendum, consequently bringing international powers into full acceptance of the present regime, including its hard-line factions.

Those that are engaged in the referendum campaign are either traitors, collaborators with the Islamic Republic, individuals with criminal histories, or at best, are naïve and power-hungry.

We reiterate that our objections to the referendum issue are not confined to their intentional oversight regarding the issue of religious dictatorship and secularism. Rather, our concern is that our country is already being occupied by a non Iranian power. There are monumental problems in front of us, much bigger then the amendment of the Islamic Republic’s constitution. Our flag’s Lion and Sun has been replaced with Arabic scriptures, our compatriots have been shot and imprisoned for defending Iran, and all the referendum crowd can do is advocate amending the constitution?

In the history of our precious Iran, history has shown that referendums in Iran have never benefited Iran and have in fact worked against its interests. The fake and illegal referendum that never actually took place in either Iran or Bahrian and whose architect is one of Iran’s greatest traitors, nevertheless made it possible for Bahrain to separate from Iran in 1970, just as the fake referendum that brought about the Islamic Republic has resulted in Iran being occupied for 25 years by tyrants who have always denied nationhood and national interest. What expectations can we have from the collaboration of the very same groups of people who were behind those past referendums who are today masterminding today’s referendum?

We have on numerous occasions reiterated the importance of various matters such as the defense of the Persian Gulf and we will not compromise on matters that deal with the preservation of Iranian territorial integrity, national honor (such our flag and the Persian Gulf) and issues of national deception.

We view this statement as a historical document demonstrating that we will always try our hardest to inform our fellow compatriots regarding the dead-end that is the referendum hoax.

We sincerely hope that the vigilance of the Iranian people will defeat this new scheme much sooner then the eight year charade of “reforms from within”.

Long Live Iran.

Compiled by the Foreign Policy Council of the Marze Por Gohar Party

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