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Deadly 1918 Epidemic Linked to Bird Flu, Scientists Say
NY Times ^ | October 5, 2005 | GINA KOLATA

Posted on 10/05/2005 3:21:06 PM PDT by neverdem

Two teams of federal and university scientists announced today that they had resurrected the 1918 influenza virus, the cause of one of history's most deadly epidemics, and had found that unlike the viruses that caused more recent flu pandemics of 1957 and 1968, the 1918 virus was actually a bird flu that jumped directly to humans.

The work, being published in the journals Nature and Science, involved getting the complete genetic sequence of the 1918 virus, using techniques of molecular biology to synthesize it, and then using it to infect mice and human lung cells in a specially equipped, secure lab at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta.

The findings, the scientists say, reveal a small number of genetic changes that may explain why the virus was so lethal. The work also confirms the legitimacy of worries about the bird flu viruses that are now emerging in Asia.

The new studies find that today's bird flu viruses share some of the crucial genetic changes that occurred in the 1918 flu. The scientists suspect that with the 1918 flu, changes in just 25 to 30 out of about 4,400 amino acids in the viral proteins turned the virus into a killer. The bird flus, known as H5N1 viruses, have a few, but not all of those changes.

In a joint statement, Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and Dr. Julie Gerberding, director of the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said, "The new studies could have an immediate impact by helping scientist focus on detecting changes in the evolving H5N1 virus that might make widespread transmission among humans more likely."

The work also reveals that the 1918 virus is very different from ordinary human flu viruses.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Government; News/Current Events; US: Alaska; US: District of Columbia; US: Georgia; US: Massachusetts; US: South Carolina; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: biologicalwarfare; bioterrorism; birdflu; epidemic; flu; ginakolata; godsgravesglyphs; h5n1; influenza; spanishlady; terrorism; thespanishlady; wmd
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To: neverdem
What would stop Al-Queida from getting their hands on this once it becomes epidemic?

Probably nothing. Only idiots would use this as a weapon because there's just as much chance that it would come back to their loved ones as well. At least that's what I'm telling myself since this was announced to the world.

Unfortunately, the way they worship suicide bombers and all, I am sure they are idiots. I often see Arab-types walking around shopping malls, and I wonder if they are walking around with typhoid or spreading around some weird virus. I guess it's not worth getting paranoid about it, but it seems easy enough for them to do, doesn't it?

21 posted on 10/05/2005 7:09:15 PM PDT by phantomworker (Let freedom ring...)
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To: neverdem

I don't think you should count on the fact that a "sucide flu carrier" would not do something because of the impact on a loved one... I don't think that would even enter their thinking...


22 posted on 10/05/2005 7:09:41 PM PDT by carton253 (It's better to have a gun and not need it than not have a gun and need it.)
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To: neverdem

Maybe I am being paranoid here, but to me it seems rather risky to 'resurrect' the virus as recently happened. The spanish flu is basically death incarnate, and having it back from the void just makes the world a more dangerous place.


23 posted on 10/05/2005 7:37:48 PM PDT by spetznaz (Nuclear-tipped Ballistic Missiles: The Ultimate Phallic Symbol)
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To: neverdem

Aren't all living humans descendants of survivors of the 1918 flu. So shouldn't it's effect be attenuated this time if the new H5N1 flu is mutating to be similar to the 1918 flu?


24 posted on 10/05/2005 7:38:54 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: neverdem
Typing practice while seeing the chance to share what was recently learned. I've become a compulsive hand-washer but haven't reached the Felix Unger Purel stage yet.

While "common sense" would seem to dictate that our enemies would forgo using such things as weapons (like the combatants of WWI learned about chemical warfare), we have to keep in mind that their deranged way of thinking brooks no respect or value for life at all. They regard all non-Islamists as subhumans that should be converted or slaughtered - the "innocent people" their American fronts mentioned in their supposedly anti-terrorist fatwa do not include non-believers.

In short, I wouldn't put it past them.

25 posted on 10/05/2005 7:43:56 PM PDT by NewRomeTacitus (Have faith in God, because Man will disappoint you every time.)
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To: spetznaz

I sure hope they are not publishing the genetic sequence of this flu.

Because it is actually easy to build a virus from the ground up these days if you have the lastest protein resequencer used to make vaccines.

And once you have the virus, it is easy to make vaccines for it. So as a terrorism weapon, you just vaccinate the poeple you want to survive first and then release the virus. The western world goes into total panic as it will take at least a year to produce and vaccinate everyone after you have isolated the virus.

Viruses will eventually be the weapon of choice across the world. When that happens, it will not be a fun world to live in.


26 posted on 10/05/2005 7:46:37 PM PDT by JustDoItAlways
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To: Graymatter

btt


27 posted on 10/05/2005 7:49:38 PM PDT by Ciexyz (Let us always remember, the Lord is in control.)
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To: I still care

That is so sad to read and very frightening


28 posted on 10/05/2005 8:08:18 PM PDT by MissRepresent
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To: neverdem

Do you think this version of the bird flu will be as bad as the 1918 version?


29 posted on 10/05/2005 8:14:17 PM PDT by GOPJ (Mapes isn't stuck on stupid, she invented it.)
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To: JustDoItAlways
And once you have the virus, it is easy to make vaccines for it. So as a terrorism weapon, you just vaccinate the poeple you want to survive first and then release the virus. The western world goes into total panic as it will take at least a year to produce and vaccinate everyone after you have isolated the virus.

What's the best way to protect yourself from getting infected -- assuming no vaccine?

30 posted on 10/05/2005 8:17:28 PM PDT by GOPJ (Mapes isn't stuck on stupid, she invented it.)
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To: GOPJ

I am wondering about all of the people still in shelters. It can't be good having a lot of people housed in one area.


31 posted on 10/05/2005 8:19:36 PM PDT by MissRepresent
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To: ModelBreaker
Aren't all living humans descendants of survivors of the 1918 flu.

Actually, there are people alive now who were born before 1918. Please tell me you realized that.

So shouldn't it's effect be attenuated this time if the new H5N1 flu is mutating to be similar to the 1918 flu?

Acquired characteristics (other than genetic mutations) are not inherited.

People still alive no longer have any antibodies to the 1918 flu.

32 posted on 10/05/2005 8:25:28 PM PDT by steve86 (@)
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To: MissRepresent
It can't be good having a lot of people housed in one area.

Any high concentration of people would do the trick...

33 posted on 10/05/2005 8:26:55 PM PDT by GOPJ (Mapes isn't stuck on stupid, she invented it.)
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To: GOPJ

1.Total isolation from disease vectors until the virus peaks and recedes or mutates,

2.Exposure to a diminished, non-lethal form of the virus (the same thing as a vaccine), which just might kill you anyway, or

3.Prayer.


34 posted on 10/05/2005 8:28:36 PM PDT by NewRomeTacitus (Have faith in God, because Man will disappoint you every time.)
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To: BearWash
Aren't all living humans descendants of survivors of the 1918 flu. Actually, there are people alive now who were born before 1918. Please tell me you realized that.

Should have said 'almost everyone.' So shouldn't it's effect be attenuated this time if the new H5N1 flu is mutating to be similar to the 1918 flu? Acquired characteristics (other than genetic mutations) are not inherited. People still alive no longer have any antibodies to the 1918 flu.

I understand that Lamarck was wrong (mostly). But I assume that pretty much everyone on earth was exposed to the 1918 flu. Some died and some lived. There was surely some genetic factor in whether you lived or died.

I have read that the bubonic plague is less virulent in people who are, for the most part, descendants of people who survived the plague that was the plague when it first hit.

35 posted on 10/05/2005 8:30:24 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: BearWash

My grandmother's older sister died of the flu epidemic in 1920, not long after an older brother returned home from France as a WW1 soldier. The sister had a twin brother who also had the flu but he didn't die. I've often wondered if the older brother brought the disease back with him.


36 posted on 10/05/2005 8:33:54 PM PDT by libsl (I'm just sayin'....)
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To: NewRomeTacitus
1.Total isolation from disease vectors until the virus peaks and recedes or mutates...

How long before a person could get the mail out of the mailbox? (Assuming mailman is infected, but not showing symptoms)

37 posted on 10/05/2005 8:38:36 PM PDT by GOPJ (Mapes isn't stuck on stupid, she invented it.)
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To: GOPJ
"What's the best way to protect yourself from getting infected -- assuming no vaccine?"

Actually, handwashing is the best defense....sounds simplistic, but it 's important.

One thing about deaths due to influenza: most deaths are caused by secondary infections - usually pneumonia- produced by bacteria. Bacterial infections can be controlled with antibiotics. They had no effective antibiotics in 1918. That's one of the reasons ( not the only one ) that there were so many deaths. The reason for the secondary infections is that the flu virus damages the cells that line the trachea ( breathing tube ) ----these cells help to prevent bacteria from sliding down into the lungs. They're a first line barrier, if you will. Once the barrier is broken down ( by the flu virus ) it makes it easier for bacteria to get into the lungs. There are cells in the lungs that will ingest the bacteria, but they can get overwhelmed if too many bacteria enter.

Short version -----wash your hands ----secondary infections can be controlled with antibiotics. Also - the bird flu is NOT easily transmitted from person - to - person.......there is little evidence to support that the 60 or so ( since 2003 ) human cases got infected from another person - most got infected from handling infected birds. No need to turn into panic mode on this one......just like SARS....this too shall pass.

38 posted on 10/05/2005 8:40:16 PM PDT by bioprof (STRATEGERY!)
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To: bioprof
...these cells help to prevent bacteria from sliding down into the lungs. They're a first line barrier, if you will.

Is this where the "gargle with salt water" came from? A pre-antibiotic solution? Thanks for the help.

39 posted on 10/05/2005 8:53:24 PM PDT by GOPJ (Mapes isn't stuck on stupid, she invented it.)
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To: ModelBreaker
I don't believe any genes were ever isolated to explain individual differences in resistance to the flu, other than perhaps race itself (I am foggy on remembering that). Perhaps if the 1918 flu is reconstituted and retroactive genetic studies are done, it might be possible to do that. However, anecdotal stories suggest that susceptibility was entirely random, given exposure to the flu.

I don't know about generational susceptibility to the plague. I'm sure the plague evolves over time as well. Yersinia pestis is a bacterium, of course.

40 posted on 10/05/2005 8:55:26 PM PDT by steve86 (@)
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