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Windows XP Home: obsolete sooner than you expect
Ars Technica ^ | 3 January 2006 | Ken "Caesar" Fisher

Posted on 01/04/2006 9:59:39 AM PST by ShadowAce

Microsoft set out to adopt a formal and rigid support lifecycle in 2002, back at a time when most analysts were expecting to see Windows Vista (then, "Longhorn") within a couple of years. My own point of view was that this lifecycle business had a lot to do with Microsoft's then-new volume licensing scheme, which among other things is oriented towards selling software subscriptions. If you're buying a subscription for software, you can see how lifecycle plans become important. However, delays in Windows Vista coupled with a questionable approach to "consumer" products means that 2007 will carry a few surprises unless policy changes are made at Redmond.

XP Professional and Home are divided into two general product categories for Microsoft, namely business and consumer products. XP Professional, as a business product, will receive mainstream support for two additional years after the release of Windows Vista (whenever that may be). After that, Professional will have an additional five years of extended service (minimum), though this could be lengthened considerably if the OS update after Windows Vista does not ship within three years of Vista's debut.

Mainstream and Extended support are virtually identical, with both carrying security updates, service packs, online support, and the availability of paid support. However, the transition to the Extended Support phase means that hotfixes that are not security related will be made available by a (paid) commercial contract, warranty claims can no longer be made, and Microsoft will not entertain adding any new features or design elements to the OS.

Based on the current timeline and our own expectations for the launch of Windows Vista, we estimate Windows XP Professional Mainstream Support ending in late December 2008, with Extended Support ending in December of 2013. It could stretch out longer, but we don't expect the window to be more than two to three additional years. After the Extended Support phase is finished, online support (knowledge base, FAQ, etc.) will continue for 10 years.

Windows XP Home coming up short

Windows XP Home is another story. As a consumer product, it suffers from two policy deficiencies. First, consumer products do not qualify for Extended Support, but instead move directly into the online support phase after Mainstream Support ends. Second, whereas business products are guaranteed Mainstream Support for two years beyond the release of the next subsequent version of a product (in this case, Windows Vista), consumer products do not get this built-in transitional period. The end result is that Windows XP Home will leave Mainstream Support and enter online support on January 1, 2007—in less than a year.

When that day comes, XP Home users may feel left out in the cold, because they will no longer qualify for security updates, and will not be able to purchase support from Microsoft. Finding this situation somewhat alarming, I contacted Microsoft's representation to clarify the matter.  A Microsoft spokesman relayed the following to me:

"For consumer products, security updates will be available through the end of the mainstream phase. For Windows XP Home Edition, there will be no security updates after 12/31/06." Regarding paid support for problems unrelated to security patches, I was told that "Users who want to continue to receive support after the Microsoft assisted and paid support offerings have ended may visit the Retired Product Support Options Web site."

I urge Microsoft to reconsider this stance. There should be considerably more overlap in support for their consumer OS. While five years of support for XP Home may have seemed reasonable when it was expected that there would be little more than three years between major OS updates, the time it has taken to bake Windows Vista has thrown this out entirely. If Vista launches in October, it would give users a mere two months to move to the OS, or risk being unsupported.

I suspect that Microsoft will grant a stay of execution for Windows XP Home, because the alternative is to create a PR nightmare that would also leave customers fuming. Citing emerging markets in the past, Microsoft extended support for Windows 98 and ME by more than two years, and this decision was made long after Windows XP was released. Microsoft should extend support for Windows XP Home well into 2008. Otherwise users will have to hope that updates to XP Professional meet their needs, but it remains unclear if Windows Update will point XP Home users to updates to XP Professional.


TOPICS: Technical
KEYWORDS: convictedmonopoly; lowqualitycrap; microsoft; microsooft; userfriendly; windows; xp
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To: TXBSAFH

I just had to fix our product so it would run on NT, even though we say we don't support it. I guess this customer was just too important.


21 posted on 01/04/2006 10:23:42 AM PST by MarkeyD (Cowards cut and run. Marines finish the job. I really, really loathe liberals.)
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To: ShadowAce

While I am currently happy with XP Home, I don't know why I would expect to be in 2 more years. This system is going on 7 years old, been upgraded a couple times, but will not last forever.

I happen to not expect computer hardware or software to have a long life. Computers and computing will likely always be changing. To me it only makes sense for MS to focus on development of new products, rather than being required or expected to continue to support old and outdated ones in perpetuity.


22 posted on 01/04/2006 10:25:19 AM PST by HairOfTheDog (Join the Hobbit Hole Troop Support - http://freeper.the-hobbit-hole.net/ 1,000 knives and counting!)
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To: RedBloodedAmerican

Isn't ME closer to '95/98? Or are you just talking features?


23 posted on 01/04/2006 10:25:23 AM PST by MarkeyD (Cowards cut and run. Marines finish the job. I really, really loathe liberals.)
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To: TXBSAFH

Do the Linux companies now provide support for humans, or is it still RTFM?


24 posted on 01/04/2006 10:26:09 AM PST by MarkeyD (Cowards cut and run. Marines finish the job. I really, really loathe liberals.)
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To: goodnesswins

Keep it, keep it updated until they stop supporting it, and then, if and when you need to, upgrade it.


25 posted on 01/04/2006 10:26:24 AM PST by HairOfTheDog (Join the Hobbit Hole Troop Support - http://freeper.the-hobbit-hole.net/ 1,000 knives and counting!)
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To: ShadowAce

I've always gotten XP Pro on all my computers, because XP Home lacks some important security features.

But I would guess they will probably keep updating Home. I'm not sure how many extra man hours that would involve on their part, but I should think it would be fairly simple to do, and therefore worth the effort for the good will.


26 posted on 01/04/2006 10:26:49 AM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: NoCmpromiz

ping


27 posted on 01/04/2006 10:27:50 AM PST by DJ MacWoW (If you think you know what's coming next....You don't know Jack.)
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To: ElTianti

"Linux...Comming soon"

Linux isn't ready for prime time.
It's a decent server, but as a desktop... it's still lacking. It's pretty darn impressive for freeware, but still lacking. And each "distro", (distribution), has it's own quirks. Gnome vs. KDE as the gui, installer issues, hardware drivers.

Linux is fun, and if you have a small business network with no need to be interoperable with other businesses, it's a legitimate choice.

But, if you have it, and want to work from home over the cisco vpn... ooops. If you have issues and your office supports windows, oooops. If you want to run Civ4 to play in your spare time, oooops. You get the idea.

Microsoft is still the big dog, and will be for the next couple years, at least.


28 posted on 01/04/2006 10:28:20 AM PST by brownsfan (It's not a war on terror... it's a war with islam.)
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To: ShadowAce

Thanks.


29 posted on 01/04/2006 10:28:31 AM PST by TXBSAFH ("I would rather be a free man in my grave then living as a puppet or a slave." - Jimmy Cliff)
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To: goodnesswins

"OKAY....so we have XP Home on a laptop here at home....what should we do....our desktop has XP Pro......any suggestions out there? (And, I'm not looking for smart a** remarks/suggestions.)"




Don't do anything. XP Home will continue to work just fine, and the updates will go on for at least another year. By the time you need an OS update, you'll be ready for a new laptop, anyhow.

Heck, I have a Windows 98SE desktop sitting here that I use for some tasks. I keep all my customer records on it, and it's not connected to the net. That way, my customer records can't be hacked. I just move my old PCs over to the side and use 'em for something else, older software and all. Oddly, the version of Excel I have on the 98SE computer still works just fine. Isn't that amazing?


30 posted on 01/04/2006 10:28:34 AM PST by MineralMan (godless atheist)
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To: RedBloodedAmerican
XP Home is closer to Me.

XP Pro is closer to 2000.

That's not true. Windows ME is based on the Windows 95/98 kernel.

XP Home is the same base as Windows XP Pro, except that it cannot join a domain and is crippled in a few other ways in regards to networking (no Remote Desktop, IIS, group policy) and simplified security (no file-level access control) and no multi-processor support.

Kernel-wise, it is the same as XP Pro, which is based on the NT/2000 kernel.

31 posted on 01/04/2006 10:28:48 AM PST by Mannaggia l'America
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To: HairOfTheDog
To me it only makes sense for MS to focus on development of new products, rather than being required or expected to continue to support old and outdated ones in perpetuity.

I happen to agree here. I think that what this writer is saying is that MS is terminating support sooner than expected. That is what is upsetting him.

However, is MS doesn't have to support older versions, then they can concentrate on writing better bugs software in newer version.

32 posted on 01/04/2006 10:28:50 AM PST by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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To: MarkeyD

Some do.


33 posted on 01/04/2006 10:30:11 AM PST by TXBSAFH ("I would rather be a free man in my grave then living as a puppet or a slave." - Jimmy Cliff)
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To: RedBloodedAmerican
XP is NOT NT5.1

Not even close. you just showed your cards.

17 posted on 01/04/2006 11:21:15 AM MST by RedBloodedAmerican

That information was given to me two years ago at a NDA seminar by a MS system sales rep.

Take it for what it is worth.

34 posted on 01/04/2006 10:31:52 AM PST by Uri’el-2012 (Trust in the YHvH for ever, for the LORD, YHvH is the Rock eternal. (Isaiah 26:4))
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To: ShadowAce
Unfortunately, Microsoft is still the only viable PC desktop OS for consumers.

If some permutation of Linux would have ever entered the mainstream in a serious manner to capture the consumer market, it would have already happened.

For those who can't stand Microsoft, get a Mac. It's your only serious alternative.

35 posted on 01/04/2006 10:32:28 AM PST by The KG9 Kid (Semper Fi!)
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To: MarkeyD
Do the Linux companies now provide support for humans, or is it still RTFM?

LOL
36 posted on 01/04/2006 10:33:01 AM PST by reagan_fanatic (Darwinism is a belief in the meaninglessness of existence - R. Kirk)
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To: ShadowAce

Linux looks more likely every day...


37 posted on 01/04/2006 10:33:41 AM PST by atomicpossum (Replies should be as pedantic as possible. I love that so much.)
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To: ShadowAce
When that day comes, XP Home users may feel left out in the cold, because they will no longer qualify for security updates, and will not be able to purchase support from Microsoft.

How many people with XP Home actually call and pay Microsoft for support? My bet is "not many".

Also expect that MS will extend availability of security updates for XP Home. They almost always extend the end of support dates.

38 posted on 01/04/2006 10:36:12 AM PST by Mannaggia l'America
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To: ShadowAce

BTTTT


39 posted on 01/04/2006 10:36:40 AM PST by dennisw ("What one man can do another can do" - The Edge)
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To: ShadowAce
I might point out that Windows 2000 server is "officially" at the end of life, meaning that no service packs and only security updates will be offered, the latter officially to paying support customers only but in practice to everyone because (1) there aren't any updates (lately) that haven't been security-related, and (2) Microsoft can't really afford to let their branded boxes become unsupported virus factories.

It turns out to be harder to withdraw technical support from an established platform than simply declaring it won't be offered anymore. That's another downside to being number one in market share.

40 posted on 01/04/2006 10:36:46 AM PST by Billthedrill
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