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Windows XP Home: obsolete sooner than you expect
Ars Technica ^ | 3 January 2006 | Ken "Caesar" Fisher

Posted on 01/04/2006 9:59:39 AM PST by ShadowAce

Microsoft set out to adopt a formal and rigid support lifecycle in 2002, back at a time when most analysts were expecting to see Windows Vista (then, "Longhorn") within a couple of years. My own point of view was that this lifecycle business had a lot to do with Microsoft's then-new volume licensing scheme, which among other things is oriented towards selling software subscriptions. If you're buying a subscription for software, you can see how lifecycle plans become important. However, delays in Windows Vista coupled with a questionable approach to "consumer" products means that 2007 will carry a few surprises unless policy changes are made at Redmond.

XP Professional and Home are divided into two general product categories for Microsoft, namely business and consumer products. XP Professional, as a business product, will receive mainstream support for two additional years after the release of Windows Vista (whenever that may be). After that, Professional will have an additional five years of extended service (minimum), though this could be lengthened considerably if the OS update after Windows Vista does not ship within three years of Vista's debut.

Mainstream and Extended support are virtually identical, with both carrying security updates, service packs, online support, and the availability of paid support. However, the transition to the Extended Support phase means that hotfixes that are not security related will be made available by a (paid) commercial contract, warranty claims can no longer be made, and Microsoft will not entertain adding any new features or design elements to the OS.

Based on the current timeline and our own expectations for the launch of Windows Vista, we estimate Windows XP Professional Mainstream Support ending in late December 2008, with Extended Support ending in December of 2013. It could stretch out longer, but we don't expect the window to be more than two to three additional years. After the Extended Support phase is finished, online support (knowledge base, FAQ, etc.) will continue for 10 years.

Windows XP Home coming up short

Windows XP Home is another story. As a consumer product, it suffers from two policy deficiencies. First, consumer products do not qualify for Extended Support, but instead move directly into the online support phase after Mainstream Support ends. Second, whereas business products are guaranteed Mainstream Support for two years beyond the release of the next subsequent version of a product (in this case, Windows Vista), consumer products do not get this built-in transitional period. The end result is that Windows XP Home will leave Mainstream Support and enter online support on January 1, 2007—in less than a year.

When that day comes, XP Home users may feel left out in the cold, because they will no longer qualify for security updates, and will not be able to purchase support from Microsoft. Finding this situation somewhat alarming, I contacted Microsoft's representation to clarify the matter.  A Microsoft spokesman relayed the following to me:

"For consumer products, security updates will be available through the end of the mainstream phase. For Windows XP Home Edition, there will be no security updates after 12/31/06." Regarding paid support for problems unrelated to security patches, I was told that "Users who want to continue to receive support after the Microsoft assisted and paid support offerings have ended may visit the Retired Product Support Options Web site."

I urge Microsoft to reconsider this stance. There should be considerably more overlap in support for their consumer OS. While five years of support for XP Home may have seemed reasonable when it was expected that there would be little more than three years between major OS updates, the time it has taken to bake Windows Vista has thrown this out entirely. If Vista launches in October, it would give users a mere two months to move to the OS, or risk being unsupported.

I suspect that Microsoft will grant a stay of execution for Windows XP Home, because the alternative is to create a PR nightmare that would also leave customers fuming. Citing emerging markets in the past, Microsoft extended support for Windows 98 and ME by more than two years, and this decision was made long after Windows XP was released. Microsoft should extend support for Windows XP Home well into 2008. Otherwise users will have to hope that updates to XP Professional meet their needs, but it remains unclear if Windows Update will point XP Home users to updates to XP Professional.


TOPICS: Technical
KEYWORDS: convictedmonopoly; lowqualitycrap; microsoft; microsooft; userfriendly; windows; xp
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1 posted on 01/04/2006 9:59:40 AM PST by ShadowAce
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To: rdb3; chance33_98; Calvinist_Dark_Lord; Bush2000; PenguinWry; GodGunsandGuts; CyberCowboy777; ...

2 posted on 01/04/2006 9:59:57 AM PST by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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To: ShadowAce; All
Get Root !
3 posted on 01/04/2006 10:01:30 AM PST by Uri’el-2012 (Trust in the YHvH for ever, for the LORD, YHvH is the Rock eternal. (Isaiah 26:4))
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To: ShadowAce

On another topic, my XP keeps trying to update me to Service Pack 3 but I don't have the disk. How can I stop it from trying to do something it cannot do?


4 posted on 01/04/2006 10:06:47 AM PST by GermanBusiness
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To: GermanBusiness
How can I stop it from trying to do something it cannot do?

As someone not overly familiar with Windows, I would suggest try to turn off Automatic Updates.

5 posted on 01/04/2006 10:07:56 AM PST by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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To: ShadowAce

They tried to end support for NT4, but got hammered for it. They ended up supporting it for more then a year longer then they wanted to.


6 posted on 01/04/2006 10:09:07 AM PST by TXBSAFH ("I would rather be a free man in my grave then living as a puppet or a slave." - Jimmy Cliff)
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To: ShadowAce
Home's a POS anyway. And the upgrade from it to Pro can toast your existing apps and data (thank God I had backup!) even if you don't make any mistakes on your own.

That said, there are advantages to a subscription licensing architecture but you're completely at the mercy of a marketeer who decides it's time to jack up the prices. I run both Microsoft and Red Hat at home and am in a position to say "no" to Bill's boys. Not everyone is.

7 posted on 01/04/2006 10:10:02 AM PST by Billthedrill
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To: GermanBusiness

XP Home or Pro?

You can shut off auto updating.


8 posted on 01/04/2006 10:12:28 AM PST by Sensei Ern (Now, IB4Z! http://www.myspace.com/reconcomedy/ "Cowards cut and run. Heroes never do!")
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To: TXBSAFH; ShadowAce
They tried to end support for NT4, but got hammered for it. They ended up supporting it for more then a year longer then they wanted to.

Win 2000 is NT5

XP is NT5.1

It's still the same crap code of NT !

Get Root !

9 posted on 01/04/2006 10:12:28 AM PST by Uri’el-2012 (Trust in the YHvH for ever, for the LORD, YHvH is the Rock eternal. (Isaiah 26:4))
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To: GermanBusiness

Do you mean Sp2? There is no Sp3 yet for XP. You shouldn't need a disk, you can get the update online through Windows Update. If you are prepared to deal with the setting changes (Google XP service pack 2, you should be able to find some pages on what it changes, and how to make sure everything works afterward), it is a recommended update that actually takes some pretty large steps towards making Windows secure.


10 posted on 01/04/2006 10:14:38 AM PST by Little Pig (Is it time for "Cowboys and Muslims" yet?)
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To: ShadowAce

Ping the penguins!


11 posted on 01/04/2006 10:16:23 AM PST by null and void (A fanatic is one who won't change his mind and won't change his tagline - Jigsaw)
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To: XeniaSt

Linux is the ultimate windows service pack. Hey do you know of someone who makes a laptop with a decent linux release on it?


12 posted on 01/04/2006 10:16:33 AM PST by TXBSAFH ("I would rather be a free man in my grave then living as a puppet or a slave." - Jimmy Cliff)
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To: ShadowAce

Hmmmm....
Open Office...Check
Firefox...Check
Thunderbird...Check
Linux...Comming soon


13 posted on 01/04/2006 10:16:54 AM PST by ElTianti
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To: TXBSAFH

"Linux is the ultimate windows service pack. "

Great. I'll bet my copy of Office XP will run a lot faster on Linux, right?


14 posted on 01/04/2006 10:19:35 AM PST by MineralMan (godless atheist)
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To: ShadowAce

XP Home is closer to Me.
XP Pro is closer to 2000.

Companies like Best Buy, Dell, Hp etc have been making a killing off selling Home knowing people would want to buy the Pro upgrade.


15 posted on 01/04/2006 10:19:48 AM PST by RedBloodedAmerican
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To: TXBSAFH
Hey do you know of someone who makes a laptop with a decent linux release on it?

Emperor Linux
ASL
Linux Certified

16 posted on 01/04/2006 10:21:05 AM PST by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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To: XeniaSt

XP is NOT NT5.1

Not even close. you just showed your cards.


17 posted on 01/04/2006 10:21:15 AM PST by RedBloodedAmerican
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To: MineralMan
I'll bet my copy of Office XP will run a lot faster on Linux, right?

Mine does.

18 posted on 01/04/2006 10:21:46 AM PST by ShadowAce (Linux -- The Ultimate Windows Service Pack)
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To: ShadowAce

OKAY....so we have XP Home on a laptop here at home....what should we do....our desktop has XP Pro......any suggestions out there? (And, I'm not looking for smart a** remarks/suggestions.)


19 posted on 01/04/2006 10:22:12 AM PST by goodnesswins
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To: MineralMan

Yes it will. You can get an emulator that will run it. In fact I know of a sysadmin who built a custom image on his dell laptop that ran win2k and office on an emulator. He would fire it up on the weekends when he had duty to remote in on a vpn to fix issues.


20 posted on 01/04/2006 10:23:26 AM PST by TXBSAFH ("I would rather be a free man in my grave then living as a puppet or a slave." - Jimmy Cliff)
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