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AP Skews Another Poll To Say GOP Will Lose Congress
Sweetness & Light ^ | July 14, 2006 | N/A

Posted on 07/14/2006 11:51:36 AM PDT by Sam Hill

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To: Jameison
Because these things take time, and the time may be coming.

-PJ

21 posted on 07/14/2006 12:07:37 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (It's still not safe to vote Democrat.)
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To: Sam Hill

Actually, there are more problems with the Absurdly Pitiful push-poll that you noted in your excellent post. To begin with, the Pubbies, Democraps and Independents should be split about 1/3 each. Next, about 10-20 percent of the sample will typically refuse to provide a response or will have no opinion.

All in all, this poll smells worse than Teddy Kennedy's breath after a night with Willie in the Au Bar.


22 posted on 07/14/2006 12:09:42 PM PDT by Zakeet (Thank goodness we don't get all the government we pay for - Will Rogers)
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To: Sam Hill

WOW.....thanks for the pingeroo....


23 posted on 07/14/2006 12:10:14 PM PDT by mystery-ak (My Son, My Soldier, My Hero..............)
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To: misterrob

#6 the recent Senate vote on funding a wall on the Mexican border.
Zero dims voted for it.


24 posted on 07/14/2006 12:11:09 PM PDT by Vinnie
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To: backhoe

You don't believe a poll like this?

* June 6, 2006: AP/Ipsos Poll: Improved Attitudes Toward Immigrants In U.S., Europe; Europeans Remain More Skeptical Than Americans

And this was taken right at the height of the immigration demonstrations.

Yeah, I'm sure they convinced a lot of Americans to be more welcoming to illegal aliens.


25 posted on 07/14/2006 12:12:31 PM PDT by Sam Hill
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To: Sam Hill

The Associated Press-Ipsos is just another special interest group that should be posting their "results" on the Democratic Underground site only.

Unfortunately, most of the mainstream media read that site for their "inside" information -- reported as credible (anonymous) news sources they can't divulge.


26 posted on 07/14/2006 12:13:11 PM PDT by MikeHu
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To: ConservativeMind

But...but...but. Don't you know?! It's the elections that are rigged. Not the polls.

...snicker...


27 posted on 07/14/2006 12:14:05 PM PDT by chesley (Republicans don't deserve to win, but America does not deserve the Dhimmicrats.)
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To: Sam Hill

Only 5% of those polls identified themselves as independent or not sure? That sounds awfully low.

Another factor: most polls "norm" their results. In other words, what the pollsters report as the poll results may not be the raw totals, but rather the raw totals as "adjusted" by them to correspond with what they believe to be the American "norm". How this works is that a polling group (Gallup, Ipsos or whomever) decides in advance that America is, say, 40% GOP, and if 45% of their poll respondents say they're GOP, the pollers then adjust the raw totals to, in this case, reduce the GOP responses accordingly. In this instance, without the raw data underlying the poll, we cannot say for certain what if any "norming" has been done.


28 posted on 07/14/2006 12:14:29 PM PDT by CivilWarguy
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To: ConservativeMind
This will just lead them to continued surprise

...which explains the expression on Pelosi's face all the time.

29 posted on 07/14/2006 12:15:30 PM PDT by Disambiguator (Don't mess with Israel.)
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To: Sam Hill

If the sample is 53% Dumbocrat and only 51% favors them, isn't it the D's who have the problem?


30 posted on 07/14/2006 12:17:51 PM PDT by Busywhiskers (Hoist the black flag.)
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To: Sam Hill

They have been trying to drive public opinion with these things for some time. Now they may be also trying to set up a basis for a neverending hue and cry about how they was robbed when they don't win elections because, after all, all of the polls said they should win. What a bunch of loons.


31 posted on 07/14/2006 12:18:38 PM PDT by Bahbah (Democrat Motto: Why not the worst)
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To: Sam Hill

BTT!


32 posted on 07/14/2006 12:21:41 PM PDT by DrDeb
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To: misterrob
Related to your #4:

Tax cuts vs. tax increases

Also:

Conyers wants to impeach the President. He would be chairman of House Judiciary.

Wrangel wants Reparations for slavery paid to Blacks of today, and tax increases out the wazoo. He would chair House Appropriations.

There's more, but you get the idea.

You could summarize this stuff in the form of "extreme Liberal mindset and record of those who would come to power in the House if Dems were to win." You could do the same for Reid and Leahy and Kennedy (you're talking about the Supreme Court here) etc. in the Senate.

33 posted on 07/14/2006 12:22:15 PM PDT by txrangerette ("We are fighting al-Qaeda, NOT Aunt Sadie"...Dick Cheney commenting on the wiretaps!!)
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To: Sam Hill
You don't believe a poll like this?

Let's just say "I view it with deep suspicion." ( hattip: Winnie ther Poo )

BTW, I neglected to mention that I liked your analysis, and always enjoy your researches.

34 posted on 07/14/2006 12:26:15 PM PDT by backhoe
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To: Sam Hill
Fox news poll internals here:
http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/FOX_229_release_web.pdf

They sampled 40% Dims and only 32% Republicans!

35 posted on 07/14/2006 12:28:11 PM PDT by Republican Extremist
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To: Sam Hill
Shhhhhh!
It's a carefully crafted Rovian plot.

You see, if the dems think they're waaaaay ahead in the polls, they'll stay home on election day assuming other dems will get off their keisters and vote.

OTOH, Republicans will get out, vote and "steal" the election again. ;-)
36 posted on 07/14/2006 12:33:07 PM PDT by Velveeta
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To: Sam Hill

Good catch. And simple-minded idiots like Bill Handel on KFI here in LA were picking up on this on his radio show this morning to say "The GOP is doomed in November!" He's such an idiot. I can't wait to see the look on his dumb face come November, and the look on the other DemoDupes, when the GOP maintains control of both chambers with little or no loss.


37 posted on 07/14/2006 12:33:07 PM PDT by MikeA (Not voting out of anger in November is a vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House)
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To: Sam Hill

AP = A pee!


38 posted on 07/14/2006 12:42:23 PM PDT by irish guard
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To: irish guard

Knowing their chances are slim, the libs publish poll after poll showing the DemWits winning... then when they lose, they scream "stolen election". That way they never have to admit they're just plain wrong. The liar ALWAYS lies to himself first!


39 posted on 07/14/2006 12:46:19 PM PDT by FiddlePig (truth is hard... lies are easy - http://redneckoblogger.blogspot.com)
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To: Sam Hill
“Skewed... are you saying SKEWED?!”


40 posted on 07/14/2006 12:52:38 PM PDT by johnny7 (“And what's Fonzie like? Come on Yolanda... what's Fonzie like?!”)
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