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Polls favors Ellsworth (Hostettler (R) down 15 points in IN-08)
Evansville Courier & Press ^ | 24 September 2006 | Thomas Langhorne

Posted on 09/25/2006 11:31:01 AM PDT by okstate

Rep. John Hostettler trails his Democratic challenger, Brad Ellsworth, by 15 percentage points in a new poll commissioned by the Evansville Courier & Press.

The poll of 603 registered voters in Indiana's 8th District shows Ellsworth with 47.4 percent of the vote compared with Hostettler's 31.8 percent. Undecided voters number 16.6 percent, and 4.1 percent refused to answer.

Of those polled, 32.7 percent identified themselves as Republicans and a fractionally higher number, 33.5 percent, identified themselves as Democrats. The remainder were not affiliated with either major party.

The poll, conducted Sept. 6-21 by Indiana State University's Sociology Research Lab, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at courierpress.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Indiana
KEYWORDS: 2006; 2006polls; electionhouse; electionshouse; ellsworth; hostettler; johnhostettler; poll; polls
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Well this poll probably oversampled Democrats a bit, but even with that factored in, Hostettler is in serious trouble. Undecideds will probably break for Hostettler but I don't know if that's enough to pull him through. He was down 6 in the CD poll completed Sept. 10 and Research 2000 had him down 4 in early September.
1 posted on 09/25/2006 11:31:02 AM PDT by okstate
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To: Clintonfatigued

Hostettler down 15 in IN-08? Indiana State University poll


2 posted on 09/25/2006 11:31:28 AM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate
While Hostettler is in trouble, this poll is worthless. From Crosstabs:

But still I don’t really have a problem with the survey showing Hostettler down as I expect to see that. The professor who supervised the study blabs on about using a stratified random sample and how the survey is geographically proportionate with the counties in the district yada yada yada. Then a couple paragraphs down I come across this nugget referring to the complete sample of n=603 respondents.

Of that 603, 63.5 percent are women and 36.5 percent are men.

That’s unprecedented. Two-thirds of the voters in the district are women??? Is this a survey of Indiana’s 8th CD or that island from the James Bond movie Octopussy?

http://www.crosstabs.org/dangerous_poll_in_in_cd_8
3 posted on 09/25/2006 11:35:22 AM PDT by jf55510
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To: jf55510

Thanks for the info. That certainly does seem to invalidate this one. Thanks again!


4 posted on 09/25/2006 11:36:35 AM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate

Hmmm. I've never seen a reference to the Indiana 8th district without the word "bloody"...


5 posted on 09/25/2006 11:42:22 AM PDT by Hegemony Cricket (Once again, raw sewage has overflowed into the arab street)
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To: okstate

these internals do not match up


6 posted on 09/25/2006 11:42:38 AM PDT by KyleM
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To: okstate

Being from this area, you would not believe the crap that is flying right now! The only thing that Ellsworth has that is going for him is his looks and the Dem's are running with it to the max. He is definitely a pretty boy and other than being the sherriff for the past few years, has not held political office. One 70 year old woman from Princeton, though, actually wrote a letter to the editor of the Courier saying that she was going to vote for him, solely because of his looks. Hostettler has had a rough time of it the past couple elections, if my memory serves me correctly. He beat an old Democrat to get the seat and there is a lot of bad blood, hence the bloody 8th. The mud has been slinging for over a month already.


7 posted on 09/25/2006 11:49:56 AM PDT by southernindymom
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To: okstate

OK STATE works for DEAN and the DNC folks, he is a paid troll who blogs for the Left. Ignore Him.


8 posted on 09/25/2006 12:13:13 PM PDT by Welike ike
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To: okstate

Indiana State sociology research lab is another red flag.they are likely amateurs and a sociology (socialism) depart is another red flag. I believe Hostettler is down but not this far.


9 posted on 09/25/2006 12:57:53 PM PDT by bilhosty (to hell with ABCNNBCBS)
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To: southernindymom

If you had to make an honest prediction, who do you predict will win?


10 posted on 09/25/2006 12:58:27 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: Welike ike; okstate
OK STATE works for DEAN and the DNC folks, he is a paid troll who blogs for the Left. Ignore Him.

Got proof? If so, show us.

11 posted on 09/25/2006 8:49:53 PM PDT by onyx (1 Billion Muslims -- IF only 10% are radical, that's still 100 Million who want to kill us.)
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To: onyx
He has no proof.

Yes, I do post a lot of polls that seem unfavorable to our side. But that's because I post almost every poll I see and unfortunately most of them are unfavorable to us right now. But Welike Ike has been following me around to nearly every thread on which I post accusing me of being troll. He has never had any proof for any of his accusations and never will because I am NOT a troll.

My hope is that the sight of some of this nominally "bad news" will incite FReepers to work on behalf of these troubled candidates that desperately need our help this year.

12 posted on 09/25/2006 9:09:27 PM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate


You need to hit abuse on the poster whenever he calls you a troll and stalking is not permitted here either.


13 posted on 09/25/2006 9:12:16 PM PDT by onyx (1 Billion Muslims -- IF only 10% are radical, that's still 100 Million who want to kill us.)
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To: onyx

Thanks, I completely forgot about the abuse link below each comment. I feel like a dodo now.


14 posted on 09/25/2006 9:15:17 PM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate

:)


15 posted on 09/25/2006 9:16:13 PM PDT by onyx (1 Billion Muslims -- IF only 10% are radical, that's still 100 Million who want to kill us.)
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To: onyx

i'll call you a troll so you can go lplay your tattle tale game.


16 posted on 09/25/2006 9:17:24 PM PDT by dalereed
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To: okstate

Thank god Howard Dean is head of the DNC.

With him as boss the democraps continue to lose seats in an unprecedented manner.

Anybody stupid enough to believe the democraps are tough on defense is already voting for the party of BJ Klintoon.

Oh yeah and smart move on getting the philanderer in chief back into the mix, going to bring a lot of pissed off Republicans out on election day.


17 posted on 09/25/2006 9:18:03 PM PDT by Rome2000 (Peace is not an option)
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To: okstate

You got any Irey-Murtha polls up your sleeve?


18 posted on 09/25/2006 9:19:30 PM PDT by Rome2000 (Peace is not an option)
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To: dalereed

Not to my face you won't and you had the chance.


19 posted on 09/25/2006 9:21:06 PM PDT by onyx (1 Billion Muslims -- IF only 10% are radical, that's still 100 Million who want to kill us.)
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To: onyx

I only did it to make you mad, go play your silly game.


20 posted on 09/25/2006 9:23:35 PM PDT by dalereed
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