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Democrats Leading Many Pivotal Races
AP via myway.com ^ | 21 October 2006 | David Espo

Posted on 10/22/2006 5:17:58 PM PDT by YaYa123

WASHINGTON (AP) - Democrats hold solid leads for four of the six Republican seats they need to capture the Senate and about 10 of 15 required to win the House, according to officials in both parties. Numerous additional races remain highly competitive.

After two weeks of adverse publicity linked to the Mark Foley scandal, public and private polling suggested partial recovery for some endangered Republican incumbents, and senior party officials made a concerted effort to project confidence.

"By many measures, there are strong indications of a right-of-center base that is engaged and committed," party chairman Ken Mehlman said Friday in a memo written for public consumption.

The assertion was a response to independent polls that show disapproval of President Bush's policies, including on the Iraq war, and discontent with Congress have made Democrats more eager to vote on Nov. 7 than Republicans.

(Excerpt) Read more at apnews.myway.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006; election; elections; house; poll; polls; predictions; senate
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Oh dear, I hate bad news, but: This is AP, alledgedly well sourced by both sides, Espo has put his name on it, and with very few CYA qualifiers. I know things are looking up in some of the key races, and things can always change but: I'm posting this so we know what the other side is thinking. Their over-confidence is in our favor.
1 posted on 10/22/2006 5:17:59 PM PDT by YaYa123
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To: YaYa123

I'm going with Drudge's headlines this weekend where GOP will keep both houses. Just not buying this incessant gloom folks especially with funding raising looking good.


2 posted on 10/22/2006 5:20:24 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: YaYa123
Karl Rove has the information YaYa, don't fall for the lamestream media, especially now, there's no blue tidalwave coming. The AP is simply doing it's duty and pimping the DNC talking points. Since the plan was to depress and suppress the R vote, they have to continue the game. We just need to vote.
3 posted on 10/22/2006 5:24:05 PM PDT by ReaganRevolution (Broken Glass Republicans Unite!)
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To: YaYa123

Let's hope that the polls are as phony as they were in '04. I especially loved that Bob Shrum moment when he sia to Ketchup Boy: "Let me be the first to call you Mr. President." Still cracks me up!


4 posted on 10/22/2006 5:24:12 PM PDT by Chi-townChief
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To: YaYa123
Consider the source is AP. They're working their tails off to suppress the GOP vote.

Ignore the bastards, and VOTE!

Vote early, and vote often!

5 posted on 10/22/2006 5:24:57 PM PDT by BigSkyFreeper (Karl Rove you magnificent bastard!)
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To: Chi-townChief
I especially loved that Bob Shrum moment when he sia to Ketchup Boy: "Let me be the first to call you Mr. President." Still cracks me up!

It still makes me laugh too, what a clown.

6 posted on 10/22/2006 5:25:23 PM PDT by ReaganRevolution (Broken Glass Republicans Unite!)
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To: YaYa123

I read the article. It has only unnamed sources for the "Republicans are doomed" scenario. It also says Tennessee and Virginia are two of the Senate seats going Dem. I don't think so. More AP wishful thinking.


7 posted on 10/22/2006 5:25:24 PM PDT by LadyNavyVet
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To: LadyNavyVet
It also says Tennessee and Virginia are two of the Senate seats going Dem.

Good grief. That's just pathetic.

8 posted on 10/22/2006 5:26:41 PM PDT by ReaganRevolution (Broken Glass Republicans Unite!)
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To: BigSkyFreeper

YES!!!!!!!


9 posted on 10/22/2006 5:26:52 PM PDT by T Lady (The Mainstream Media: Public Enemy #1)
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To: conservativepoet

Up until 5 minutes before the polls open, the MSM will have the Rats winning everything!
Today the the feature story on the Senate race in largest paper in Montana said that the RNC wasn`t going to waste anymore money in the state, Sen Burns was toast. No direct quotes, of course. Nothing, not a word, on Burns pulling even in the polls. Lotsa people in the MSM better be looking for sales for egg-on-the-face remover.


10 posted on 10/22/2006 5:28:05 PM PDT by bybybill (`IF TH E RATS WIN, WE LOSE)
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To: YaYa123

YaYa....easy...don't fall for it. We will retain both houses.


11 posted on 10/22/2006 5:28:17 PM PDT by Dog
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To: LadyNavyVet

The big media is usually a week behind the news. People in the know have been saying that things began turning around for the GOP last week, and this has been backed up by internal and public polling. Yet, the media continues to lazily write last week's story.

They write about TN being in great danger, as if Harold Jr's stunt never occurred.


12 posted on 10/22/2006 5:29:07 PM PDT by Omega Man II
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To: YaYa123

I'm doing everything I can with limited time and resources here in IL-6, one of the key House races (Duckworth vs. Roskam). This should be a safe seat (Hyde's old seat), but Roskam is barely ahead, if ahead at all.

I hope I can exhaust myself in the 72-hour push, pending an agreeable schedule at work.

I am really getting discouraged, however, at how hard it is right now. Lots of people are "coming home," so to speak; but there are a stomach-sickening number of people who are going to make this election much more painful than it needs to be.

I know the polls are oversampling Democrats, and I know that everyone at FR thinks that a ceaseless, brutal, calculated, and organized MSM attempt to sway this election will only totally backfire and help elect Republicans. But let me tell you, it's harder right now than many people want to admit.

I am getting really worried about Corker in TN, Talent in MO, and to a smaller degree George "constantly apologize and hope to run out the clock" Allen in VA. Burns seems to be edging closer in MT, and GOTV is early in DeWine's favor - also, Chafee is more popular in RI than many Freepers believe. But I am beginning to fear for the first time that the Dems just might take the Senate, and probably have the House all but sown up.

I'm going to work my butt off as often as I am able. But let me tell you - on the ground, it's a lot harder than many people want to admit right now.

I need some cheering up after this weekend's trauma.....


13 posted on 10/22/2006 5:29:57 PM PDT by TitansAFC ("Life is just one crushing defeat after another until you just wish Flanders was dead.")
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To: YaYa123
Oh dear, I hate bad news, but: This is AP, alledgedly well sourced by both sides, Espo has put his name on it, and with very few CYA qualifiers.

Yeah this is AP, and if you don't know by now they are pro-democrat, I have a bridge to sell you.

14 posted on 10/22/2006 5:31:43 PM PDT by Dane ("Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" Ronald Reagan, 1987)
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To: YaYa123

this story came out late Saturday morning on the AP and was covered by the lib-media...they are doing all they can to keep it front page news almost 36-hours later...


15 posted on 10/22/2006 5:31:52 PM PDT by God luvs America (When the silent majority speaks the earth trembles!)
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To: LadyNavyVet
I read the article. It has only unnamed sources for the "Republicans are doomed" scenario. It also says Tennessee and Virginia are two of the Senate seats going Dem. I don't think so. More AP wishful thinking.

You're absolutely right. TN has been one of those states that has been "too close to call" for a long time, and VA has been Allen's for weeks now. The "macaca" business with Allen only affected him for one or two news cycles and quickly died out.

Meanwhile there has been momentum shifts toward the GOP as of late in Montana, Oregon and New Jersey.

This election won't be won on Foleygate or any other scandal. This election will be won on national security issues, which includes the WOT and illegal immigration. Two issues the Democrats find themselves on the wrong side of.

16 posted on 10/22/2006 5:31:56 PM PDT by BigSkyFreeper (Karl Rove you magnificent bastard!)
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To: YaYa123

look what they actually say, not what is in the headline. If I was writing the headline from the article, it would be something like "dems don't have enough seats to win either house" Or "currently, republicans hold both houses by a narrow margin" I guess a mention of how unusual it is for the majority party to not lose seats in midterms is out of the question though.


17 posted on 10/22/2006 5:32:54 PM PDT by jdub
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To: YaYa123

18 posted on 10/22/2006 5:33:28 PM PDT by Petronski (CNN is an insidiously treasonous, enemy propaganda organ.)
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To: Chi-townChief
I especially loved that Bob Shrum moment when he sia to Ketchup Boy: "Let me be the first to call you Mr. President."

Well, Shrum must have some credibility, since Kerry still believes him!

19 posted on 10/22/2006 5:34:23 PM PDT by Fresh Wind (Democrats are guilty of whatever they scream the loudest about.)
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To: YaYa123

I have posed this question and answer to all my democrat friends..If Osama, Saddam, and each terrorist would be given a chance to vote in the upcoming American election; which party would they vote for and why would you consider making the same mistake...they think about it!


20 posted on 10/22/2006 5:34:26 PM PDT by terycarl (G)
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