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Democrats Leading Many Pivotal Races
AP via myway.com ^ | 21 October 2006 | David Espo

Posted on 10/22/2006 5:17:58 PM PDT by YaYa123

WASHINGTON (AP) - Democrats hold solid leads for four of the six Republican seats they need to capture the Senate and about 10 of 15 required to win the House, according to officials in both parties. Numerous additional races remain highly competitive.

After two weeks of adverse publicity linked to the Mark Foley scandal, public and private polling suggested partial recovery for some endangered Republican incumbents, and senior party officials made a concerted effort to project confidence.

"By many measures, there are strong indications of a right-of-center base that is engaged and committed," party chairman Ken Mehlman said Friday in a memo written for public consumption.

The assertion was a response to independent polls that show disapproval of President Bush's policies, including on the Iraq war, and discontent with Congress have made Democrats more eager to vote on Nov. 7 than Republicans.

(Excerpt) Read more at apnews.myway.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2006; election; elections; house; poll; polls; predictions; senate
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To: BigSkyFreeper

Exactly....
As soon as I saw AP, I yawned and skipped to the comments. LOL


61 posted on 10/22/2006 8:13:15 PM PDT by Nav_Mom
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To: BigSkyFreeper

Exactly....
As soon as I saw AP, I yawned and skipped to the comments. LOL


62 posted on 10/22/2006 8:13:16 PM PDT by Nav_Mom
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To: LS

Ohio voter here as well.
We may hold our noses but my entire family is voting straight ticket (R)


63 posted on 10/22/2006 8:15:12 PM PDT by Nav_Mom
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To: YaYa123

I don't believe a word of this, but I hope they keep it up along with all the Pelosi stuff as well.... this will ensure our side will turn out in droves.


64 posted on 10/22/2006 8:17:03 PM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
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To: freespirited
Other than that I agree with you that things do not look very good. The optimism around here is excessive, and the insistence that the GOP will pick up seats is delusional.

Hmmmmm ??? I sure wouldn't want you on any team I was on.
"prepare to lose, because the MSM & the talking heads tell us so"
Maybe GOP voter are as stupid as the MSM thinks we are?
Naaaaaa just a few hindering defeatist.
65 posted on 10/22/2006 8:18:28 PM PDT by Nav_Mom
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To: Nav_Mom
Hmmmmm ??? I sure wouldn't want you on any team I was on. "prepare to lose, because the MSM & the talking heads tell us so"

I didn't say I was relying on the liberal talking heads (see my tag line.) The simple fact is that there are people ON OUR SIDE who have made very sobering assessments of the situation as well as people who are non-partisan who likewise predict moderate to serious losses for the GOP.

66 posted on 10/22/2006 8:32:13 PM PDT by freespirited (The MSM is the root of all evil.)
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To: Mr.Smorch
I know that we should not be watching CNN, but did you see jr's and Corkers interview tonight. Can't remember the girls name that was hosting the show, but she let jr. filibuster all over Corker. Still whining about his family.
67 posted on 10/22/2006 8:41:00 PM PDT by Coldwater Creek
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Comment #68 Removed by Moderator

To: All

Now here's the fun read from Barron's/ Maybe it's got it's own thread somewhere, not sure,


http://polipundit.com/index.php?p=15559


69 posted on 10/23/2006 3:26:29 AM PDT by YaYa123
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To: mariabush

No, I didn't see it but I hope the Corker Campaign can use some of the footage in their next commercial about Junior.

It looks from here that Corker has turned a corner in his pursuit of this Senate seat. What are you seeing in West Tennessee?


70 posted on 10/23/2006 3:40:40 AM PDT by AdvisorB
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To: Mr.Smorch
Well, Memphis proper will definitely go for Jr. I hear from Republican operatives that they are hearing that a lot of white dems just won't punch the button for him. Funny how the old timers won't vote R, but will not vote for anyone of color. Now who are the racist????
71 posted on 10/23/2006 4:07:04 AM PDT by Coldwater Creek
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To: mariabush

You'd think that the liberal antique media would do a hit piece on the racism of "yellow-dog democrats" by trying to shame them to vote for Junior. I guess they'll use this as the excuse in the post-mortem analysis of "what went wrong" for Junior.

While racism is an inherent quality for some in humankind, the RATs seem to have an inordinate share of it in their party, among the black and the white.


72 posted on 10/23/2006 4:26:00 AM PDT by AdvisorB
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To: mcvey
And my research says you're seriously wrong. GOP gains a seat in the Senate, maybe 2, and probably 1 in the House.

And we'll see whose research is "more correct" on election day.

73 posted on 10/23/2006 5:49:06 AM PDT by LS
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To: freespirited
No, it would be delusional if I didn't have a helluva track record in my picks. In 2002, I had EVERY senate race right except Thune (who lost by only 500 votes) and in 2004 I had EVERY senate race right except Colorado (very close). And when Zogby and other pollsters had Kerry winning, I had Bush with 300 EVs---I missed only PA.

And being on the ground in OH, just as I was in 2004 when people were freaking out about the "exit polls," I know that what the pollsters are reporting is WAY out of line with reality, and that the GOP will likely gain one seat, maybe two in the Senate. It's a little tougher in the House, where Taylor and DeLay are hurting us, but there are FIVE Dem incumbent pickups for us, and I think we'll end up with +1 there.

74 posted on 10/23/2006 5:53:58 AM PDT by LS
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To: freespirited

Not the people "on our side" who have the info. It's the same Washington-based pundits who always get it wrong.


75 posted on 10/23/2006 5:54:41 AM PDT by LS
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To: mcvey
I think TN is a long-shot. Ford is very very good.

Actually Ford has been stumbling lately. Did you see his embarrassing parking-lot confrontation with Corker? It looked desperate and amateurish -- a true jump-the-shark moment. The latest polls have Corker up by a good margin.

76 posted on 10/23/2006 6:01:32 AM PDT by Yardstick
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To: LS

How do you see the Iowa House races? I think Lamberti should have a shot at taking out Boswell. We may even keep Nussle's seat.


77 posted on 10/23/2006 6:10:21 AM PDT by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: LS
No, it would be delusional if I didn't have a helluva track record in my picks.

On one of the other threads, someone pointed out that you didn't actually predict what you now claim to have predicted in one of the previous elections. Did you post an answer?

I have been reading your posts for a long time. I am not impressed with your incessant bragging and apparent belief that you have insights that all of the professionals do not. But say what you believe, and I will do the same. I still think the most likely scenario is that the GOP will lose about four Senate seats.

78 posted on 10/23/2006 6:34:32 AM PDT by freespirited (The MSM is the root of all evil.)
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To: Yardstick; mcvey

Ford is now way down at Tradesports. A huge fall since he pulled that stunt.

Don't know if the latest ads from Corker and the RNC are having any impact but they sure are funny. I posted the one from the RNC a couple days ago.


79 posted on 10/23/2006 6:38:09 AM PDT by freespirited (The MSM is the root of all evil.)
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To: BigSkyFreeper

AP polls are almost as accurate as the 2004 exit polls.


80 posted on 10/23/2006 6:39:06 AM PDT by PJ-Comix (Join the DUmmie FUnnies PING List for the FUNNIEST Blog on the Web)
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