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Quiet Hurricane Season Raises Questions About Global Warming Forecasts
CNSNews ^
| November 30, 2006
| Nathan Burchfiel
Posted on 11/30/2006 10:27:05 PM PST by george76
As a largely inactive 2006 hurricane season came to an official end Thursday, predictions that temperature increases in the earth's atmosphere and oceans would lead to more intense hurricanes are facing scrutiny from some "global warming" skeptics.
Climatologists last May predicted that the 2006 hurricane season would be more intense than last year's season, which brought destruction to the Gulf Coast in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.
But the 2006 season brought fewer hurricanes than predicted, and none of the hurricanes made landfall. Experts attribute this to the unexpected early formation of El Nino, a periodic warming of tropical Pacific Ocean waters.
According to Gerry Bell, a hurricane forecaster with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), El Nino produces a "sinking motion" and increased wind shear in the Atlantic atmosphere, both of which kill hurricanes.
In a September 2005 speech, former Vice President Al Gore warned that "the average hurricane will continue to get stronger because of global warming" as "unusually warm waters" create "much stronger" hurricanes.
But Gore has also linked global warming to El Nino - which according to Bell, may actually have the effect of killing hurricanes.
In November 1997, Gore was quoted as suggesting that rising temperatures might be leading to more frequent and powerful El Nino systems.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnsnews.com ...
TOPICS: Extended News; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: climatechange; global; globalwarming; humor; hurricanes; manbearpig; warming; weather
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To: Graybeard58
Isn't he the slack jaw who invented the Internet?
41
posted on
12/01/2006 8:37:53 AM PST
by
PEACE ENFORCER
(Liberals; People That Are Only Alive Because It's Illegal To SHOOT Them!)
To: george76
AlbertArnoldAlgore, Jr. is deeply saddened.
42
posted on
12/01/2006 8:40:44 AM PST
by
Polyxene
(For where God built a church, there the Devil would also build a chapel - Martin Luther)
To: redangus
My eyebrows almost blew off taking in my trash cans. I guess the warming we enjoyed is officially over!
43
posted on
12/01/2006 8:46:48 AM PST
by
dforest
(Don't get fooled, the bigger struggle is still out there, and growing)
To: oyez
"Al Gore should visit the industrial centers of China to see the mess over there. But no, he wold give them a pass..." Algore invented 'no controlling legal authority.'
44
posted on
12/01/2006 8:49:31 AM PST
by
Joe 6-pack
(Voted Free Republic's Most Eligible Bachelor: 2006. Love them Diebold machines.)
To: george76
Remember the weather reports on WKRP in Cincinnati (I think that was the program)? I think it was Les would look out the window and give his report on the weather.
45
posted on
12/01/2006 9:06:00 AM PST
by
ChildOfThe60s
(If you can remember the 60s...you weren't really there.)
To: george76
But Gore has also linked global warming to El Nino - which according to Bell, may actually have the effect of killing hurricanes. Another "inconvenient truth" for Al.
To: george76
It's time to dust off those dire predictions of global cooling and nuclear winter that were so popular among the doom and gloom crowd 30 years ago.
47
posted on
12/01/2006 9:14:37 AM PST
by
The Great RJ
("Mir we bleiwen wat mir sin" or "We want to remain what we are." ..Luxembourg motto)
To: Polyxene
48
posted on
12/01/2006 9:16:00 AM PST
by
george76
(Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
To: ChildOfThe60s
" look out the window and give his report on the weather..."
Excellent plan !
49
posted on
12/01/2006 9:16:56 AM PST
by
george76
(Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
To: camle
when the best technology of the day cannot predict the weather seven days hence, one wonders what kind of fool beleives that we can predict the weather 50-60 YEARS into the future.Climate forcecasts and weather forecasts are not done the same way. Climate can be predicted 50-60 years in the future; weather can't be.
To: Mr. Thorne
And what is El Nino? A pattern of WARM air, yes? YES. Primarily a warming of the ocean surface, which transfers heat to the atmosphere.
The main effect of El Nino on Atlantic hurricanes is to increase wind shear in the Atlantic basin, which makes it more difficult for the storms to form.
To: cogitator
I don't hear
Janice Dean talkin' bout
GLOBAL WARMING!
52
posted on
12/01/2006 11:48:02 AM PST
by
Issaquahking
(Trust can't be bought)
To: george76
53
posted on
12/01/2006 12:09:36 PM PST
by
69ConvertibleFirebird
(Never argue with an idiot. They drag you down to their level, then beat you with experience.)
To: potlatch; PhilDragoo; ntnychik; dixiechick2000; george76
54
posted on
12/01/2006 12:28:30 PM PST
by
devolve
( .................always shop, invest, & hire wisely)
To: devolve
Great composition of gifs devolve!!
55
posted on
12/01/2006 12:32:33 PM PST
by
potlatch
(Does a clean house indicate that there is a broken computer in it?)
To: george76
Actually....... NOAA says that large sand storms blowing off of Africa had something to do with the dampening effect as well.
To: devolve; potlatch
57
posted on
12/01/2006 12:34:37 PM PST
by
george76
(Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
To: Lonesome in Massachussets
As Rummy said; there are the known knowns, there are the unknown knowns, there are unknown unknowns and then there's Al Gore.
or something like that!
58
posted on
12/01/2006 12:37:34 PM PST
by
sodpoodle
(I have no idea how I got here - but I like it and I plan to stay.)
To: Issaquahking
Winter happens. It'll still happen if the world is 3 degrees warmer (on average). There might even be more snow.
To: Lonesome in Massachussets
So when will the "Jeane Dixon effect" kick in for Uncle Ted?
I don't think he's ever been right, well, correct on any thing.
MA voters, in general, don't have a great track record either, but I guess they get what they want and deserve.
Unfortunately, the rest of the nation pays the price.
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