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Sealing the Fate of Antarctica
The American Spectator ^ | 12/20/2006 | Patrick J. Michaels

Posted on 12/20/2006 11:43:29 AM PST by neverdem

The scare du jour on global warming is a massive inundation of our coast caused by rapid loss of ice from Antarctica. It's a core point in Al Gore's science fiction movie, and it continues to be thumped by doomsayers around the world, in the echo chamber of the alarmist media. It's also a bunch of hooey.

If you could take the boredom, you could have read hundreds of news stories on this since An Inconvenient Truth debuted on May 25. But you'll find very little mention of a paper that appeared a mere six weeks later, in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, which should have stopped the whole show cold. The work is by Brenda Hall from the University of Maine and several co-authors.

First, Gore's science fiction. Due to the warming of the surrounding ocean, big ice-shelves begin to crack off and float away. Because that ice is floating, it doesn't raise sea level a bit. But then the ice cracks all the way back to where it is grounded on the ocean floor. That stuff isn't floating and the ocean rises dramatically, some twenty feet in a hundred years. Much of Manhattan, the movie suggests, is under water, along with just about every other coastal city.

Now, the truth. The notion that this is going to happen soon has just been fatally harpooned by giant Elephant Seals (Mirounga leonine). They generally hang out a long distance form Antarctica. Most of their breeding rookeries are a good 2,000 miles away on islands in the open ocean, where they feed. Most of the Antarctic coast is hemmed by huge ice shelves that prevent them from finding food.

But that wasn't always the case. According to Hall's paper, a large area of the Antarctic coast was ice-free...

(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; Technical
KEYWORDS: antarctica; climate; climatechange; climatology; elephantseals; globalwarming
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1 posted on 12/20/2006 11:43:33 AM PST by neverdem
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To: neverdem

Elephant Seals? Obviously Republican Seals and thus can be totally ignored..........


2 posted on 12/20/2006 11:46:47 AM PST by Red Badger (New! HeadOn Hemorrhoid Medication for Liberals!.........Apply directly to forehead.........)
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To: neverdem

"harpooned by giant Elephant Seals"

Ah-ha! Revenge of the Elephant Seals! The harpoons and the tables they were on are turned.


3 posted on 12/20/2006 11:46:59 AM PST by Sax
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To: neverdem
Antarctica is a desert. I always thought that a slight increase in air temperature would cause greater evaporation from the surrounding oceans and more deposits on the continent itself. Lowering sea levels.
4 posted on 12/20/2006 11:47:44 AM PST by kinoxi
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To: neverdem

Al Gore lies - People Die


5 posted on 12/20/2006 11:49:17 AM PST by edcoil (Reality doesn't say much - doesn't need too)
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To: DaveLoneRanger; All
Holocene elephant seal distribution implies warmer-than-present climate in the Ross Sea

We show that southern elephant seal (Mirounga leonina) colonies existed proximate to the Ross Ice Shelf during the Holocene, well south of their core sub-Antarctic breeding and molting grounds. We propose that this was due to warming (including a previously unrecognized period from 1,100 to 2,300 14C yr B.P.) that decreased coastal sea ice and allowed penetration of warmer-than-present climate conditions into the Ross Embayment. If, as proposed in the literature, the ice shelf survived this period, it would have been exposed to environments substantially warmer than present.

6 posted on 12/20/2006 11:51:29 AM PST by neverdem (May you be in heaven a half hour before the devil knows that you're dead.)
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To: neverdem
This guy needs to take a course in "Clarity in Writing"

You can get the crux of what the science shows but its like pulling teeth! Probably would have been clearer if the scientist, Brenda Hall, had written her own article.

7 posted on 12/20/2006 11:53:30 AM PST by HardStarboard (Give Pelosi and Reid Enough Rope to Hang Themselves.)
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To: neverdem

Has anyone explained to AlGore what an ice age is, and how the advent of homo sapien HASN'T changed the earth's climate-the ice ages will continue to come and go.


8 posted on 12/20/2006 11:58:18 AM PST by Spok
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To: neverdem
Image and video hosting by TinyPic ELEPHANT SEAL
9 posted on 12/20/2006 12:00:28 PM PST by Old Seadog (Inside every old person is a young person saying "WTF happened?".)
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To: neverdem

btt


10 posted on 12/20/2006 12:02:56 PM PST by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: kinoxi

That wouldn't matter. Ice flows under sufficient pressure -- more precipitation in Antarctica would simply push the ice sheets out to sea a bit faster, thus keeping the total size of the ice cap more or less constant.


11 posted on 12/20/2006 12:06:50 PM PST by steve-b (It's hard to be religious when certain people don't get struck by lightning.)
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To: neverdem

Wait just one minute!!!!

Are you suggesting that Global Warming is not man made? You are using "fuzzy science" to suggest that Al Gore's book is science fiction.

BTW - In some circles Al Gore is credited with inventing the internet. I think it is only appropriate that we also credit him with inventing Global Climate Catastrophe.


12 posted on 12/20/2006 12:10:47 PM PST by Tenacious 1 (No to nitwit jesters with a predisposition of self importance and unqualified political opinions!)
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To: steve-b

It's not floating (on water), it's a continent. I understand the displacement effect but it does not apply to Antarctica in general.


13 posted on 12/20/2006 12:10:54 PM PST by kinoxi
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To: Spok

[Has anyone explained to AlGore what an ice age is, and how the advent of homo sapien HASN'T changed the earth's climate-the ice ages will continue to come and go.]

Good luck. You will have to start by explaining to him what ICE is.


14 posted on 12/20/2006 12:12:09 PM PST by Tenacious 1 (No to nitwit jesters with a predisposition of self importance and unqualified political opinions!)
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To: Tenacious 1

Explain to Algore what ICE is? Algore INVENTED ice.


15 posted on 12/20/2006 12:23:45 PM PST by PeterFinn (B’fhearr Gaeilge briste na Béarla cliste.)
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To: kinoxi

That would be Boyle's Law that you are alluding to.


16 posted on 12/20/2006 12:41:15 PM PST by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
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To: kinoxi

That's a different issue. The one I'm talking about is why all the water on Earth doesn't slowly accumulate into the ice caps -- when the ice gets thick enough, it flows out to sea, drifts into warmer regions, and melts.


17 posted on 12/20/2006 12:44:28 PM PST by steve-b (It's hard to be religious when certain people don't get struck by lightning.)
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To: Tenacious 1

Better yet, next time ask a Moonbat why the Sun is yellow. They usally answer that it's irrelevent. No, it's not. The Sun is yellow because it is burning Hydrogen. When it has exhausted its Hydrogen fuel it will start to burn Helium. This is when a star becomes a Red Giant. All the Inner Planets will go whoosh.


18 posted on 12/20/2006 12:45:51 PM PST by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
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To: massgopguy

Similar concept.


19 posted on 12/20/2006 12:46:25 PM PST by kinoxi
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To: neverdem
NewsFlash! Manbearpig just got harpooned by the Elephant Seals!

Somebody call Drudge!


20 posted on 12/20/2006 12:47:49 PM PST by darkwing104 (Let's get dangerous)
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