Posted on 05/06/2007 8:54:22 AM PDT by jdm
From his moderate social views to his poor performance at the debates, Rudy Giuliani no longer seems like a shoe-in as the republican nominee.
Ferndale, WA (PRWEB) May 6, 2007 -- The mighty lead Giuliani once had is slipping. Only a couple of months ago, McCain was looking old and tired, Romney's religious affiliation made him seem un-electable and the lack of visibility of the rest of the candidates put them into the cellar with single digits. But USAElectionPolls.com observes Giuliani to be fading fast.
Now the polls are suggesting things are changing. Despite leading the polls in 19 states, USAElectionPolls.com says that Giuliani's biggest obstacle is still how he relates with the conservative base. He is losing to McCain in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. Three of the four states that will hold caucuses/primaries before the so-called "National Primary" on February 5, 2008.
Third place finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire will not end the Giuliani campaign but it will end the perception that Giuliani is unbeatable |
"If McCain sweeps or wins 3 of the first 4 states, the Arizona senator will be the favorite to get the nomination," says the authors at PresidentPolls2008.com.
Another hit to Giuliani was his poor performance at the GOP debate coupled with Romney's strong performance. "Looking like he was floundering on the issue of abortion does not help Giuliani's campaign," says USAElectionPolls.com. According to the web site, he is not going to win the conservative base with his views as it is so he needs to be strong and firm when delivering his stance so as to not alienate the more moderate voters.
Romney looked the most presidential in appearance and delivery and stands to gain the most in the polls. This is going to be a major blow to Giuliani as Romney already leads him in New Hampshire and is gaining on him in Iowa.
"Third place finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire will not end the Giuliani campaign but it will end the perception that Giuliani is unbeatable," says USAElectionPolls.com. And that sets McCain and Romney up perfectly to sneak in and win the republican nomination.
Since Fred has considerd running, he has gone up in national polls at the expense of Rudy. I dont think he is likely to have much of a negative impact on McCain.
TANCREDO - THOMPSON
If a politician presents a good reason for the change, it's called common sense.
When Rudy straddles both sides of the debate over Roe, it shows he's not ready for prime time. Fred at least can present logical and coherent answers for what he's done in the past and what he believes now.
Look, the MSM is going to lie and lie and lie. It’s what they always do about Republicans. No matter the nominee the big networks, CNN, PBS, and NPR will make the worst possible case for any Republican.
Remember, they MUST have Hillary.
Fred still hasn't called CFR unconstitutional. He just says that it isn't working. So apparently he still doesn't get it.
Anyway, most of the candidates are poor on CFR.
Fred is still far and away a conservatives best shot.
In addition, he supported McCain in 2000.
Well, the other front runner at the time was Bush, and Bush wasn't that well known, and didn't do the best of jobs in selling himself with his public speaking. I think that Bush turned out far better than McCain would have, but Bush still has his own flaws as well.
Those Senators who supported McCain such as Hagel and Limpey Graham have proven untrustworthy.
He has has his own voting record, and with the exception of McCain-Feingold, it is far more conservative and consistent than Hagel or Graham.
He has also shown more recently a willingness to speak out on tough issues, and an ability and willingness to take on the press.
This is an essential skill for a Republican presidential candidate in today's political environment. Bush has let the liberal press dictate their own view of the world and he seems unwilling to boldly contest it.
We need a President that is not only conservative, but one that can sell those conservative values to the people.
Once again, Fred has stated why he supported CFR in the past and why he thinks full disclosure might be the way to go now. Or should Fred just stick with something that clearly isn't working?
That's the point - in regards to abortion, the moral issues have remained the same. In the case of CFR, the legislation failed to work as intended. Fred wanted to try to do something about the legalized bribery of modern campaigns. Of course, the real solution is to shrink government - and at least Fred has tried to do that as well.
If Rudy were the only one who could beat the Democrats, that might make sense, but I doubt Rudy would do nearly as well against Hillary as would Fred Thompson or Mitt Romney. Almost anyone who would be more inclined to vote Democrat-Lite than Republican will be more inclined still to simply vote Democrat.
If Rooty is the only one who can beat Hillary, why was he afraid to run against her in 2000 and 2006?
Among the major issues facing the Giuliani is that he has never run and won a major State race, running for mayor is not the same as running for a State wide office like a Governor or a Senator. Also Rudy will be cleaned by Hillary or Obama in Newyork, it is highly unlikely that he would win his homestate.
Compare this to Mccain, Romney, Thompson etc these guys have won State wide races and widely experienced in the political tactics and strategy needed to win elections.
He’s 64. Giuliani is 63. Romney is 60.
The more debates, the better--as the sooner that conservatives get the "WHOLE RUDY STORY" (and not just the celebrity version) the sooner that Rudy will drop in the polls.
Run, Fred, Run!!!
The msm will try to have a field day with any of the Republican candidates.
Romney/Thompson
BUMP
I don't think Thompson has ever denied he voted for CFR. Hillary, however, has tried to state what she was really voting for was inspections, which obviously does not match her position at the time.
I fail to see the distinction.
Well, if something that obvious isn't clear to you on face then no amount of explaining is going to help you.
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