Third place finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire will not end the Giuliani campaign but it will end the perception that Giuliani is unbeatable 
Posted on 05/06/2007 8:54:22 AM PDT by jdm
From his moderate social views to his poor performance at the debates, Rudy Giuliani no longer seems like a shoe-in as the republican nominee.
Ferndale, WA (PRWEB) May 6, 2007 -- The mighty lead Giuliani once had is slipping. Only a couple of months ago, McCain was looking old and tired, Romney's religious affiliation made him seem un-electable and the lack of visibility of the rest of the candidates put them into the cellar with single digits. But USAElectionPolls.com observes Giuliani to be fading fast.
Now the polls are suggesting things are changing. Despite leading the polls in 19 states, USAElectionPolls.com says that Giuliani's biggest obstacle is still how he relates with the conservative base. He is losing to McCain in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. Three of the four states that will hold caucuses/primaries before the so-called "National Primary" on February 5, 2008.
| Third place finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire will not end the Giuliani campaign but it will end the perception that Giuliani is unbeatable |
"If McCain sweeps or wins 3 of the first 4 states, the Arizona senator will be the favorite to get the nomination," says the authors at PresidentPolls2008.com.
Another hit to Giuliani was his poor performance at the GOP debate coupled with Romney's strong performance. "Looking like he was floundering on the issue of abortion does not help Giuliani's campaign," says USAElectionPolls.com. According to the web site, he is not going to win the conservative base with his views as it is so he needs to be strong and firm when delivering his stance so as to not alienate the more moderate voters.
Romney looked the most presidential in appearance and delivery and stands to gain the most in the polls. This is going to be a major blow to Giuliani as Romney already leads him in New Hampshire and is gaining on him in Iowa.
"Third place finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire will not end the Giuliani campaign but it will end the perception that Giuliani is unbeatable," says USAElectionPolls.com. And that sets McCain and Romney up perfectly to sneak in and win the republican nomination.
I want Fred too!
He’s the stealth candidate that will rejuvenate his conservative base as well as “moderates” that still possess some sense.
If Rudy is the only 1 who can beat Hillary or OSama then he better be the nominee!
I don’t want Rudy or McCain and look forward to Fred annaouncing.
The problem with Fred is that the media is going to have field day with him. Because of his health issues they will all be talking about that and making people feel that he will not be able to perform his duties or finish his term. He seems like a really good candidate. But I worry about his being electable because of that. There are a couple of other good choices out there.
Gee, what a swell website. Someone should tell them that it's "shoo-in," not "shoe-in," and that "Republican" should be capitalized. Two glaring errors in the very first sentence does not instill confidence in what follows.
Of course, I hope they're right in their analysis, but they need to clean up their spelling and punctuation in order to be taken seriously.
How old is Thompson?
If McCain’s numbers are on the rise, and FThompson does jump in, will they split the vote and give the nomination to Rudy? or to Romney?
Thompson was a big-time supporter of McCain in 2000.
If Thompson derails McCain, will McCain pick up his marbles and jump to be an Independent or a Dem? He has considered both previously. And if McCain does leave, will he take enough support to derail the GOP in 2008?
There are so many possibilities in play for both the GOP and Dems in 08, that the nominees are still a toss-up in both parties.
Will the GOP lean leftward and embrace Giuliania?
Will the conservatives manage to wrestle away control of the GOP from the big-business country-club globalist Republicans and manage to astound the MSM by nominating a Hunter or Tancredo?
Will Kuchinich jump from the Dems and become the GOP nominee?
It’s a crap shoot for 08.
Good news ping!
Fred Thompson voted for McCain-Feingold and is a lawyer. In addition, he supported McCain in 2000. Those Senators who supported McCain such as Hagel and Limpey Graham have proven untrustworthy.
He's not. So he won't be.
Fred has since voiced the opinion that CFR probably needs to be replaced with full disclosure. Unlike Rudy, who still like is.
Who has Rudy ever beaten?
Dinkins?
64. One year older than Rudy.
64
Rudy couldn’t even outpoll Hillary in the 2000 NY Senate race when he was mayor and she was a carpetbagger.
64. He had cancer a couple years ago.
I agree with you completely.
I thnk this is going to be a toss up even when we get to the convention next year.
I believe that Rudy will win quite a few delegates in the more liberal states, and he’ll be a factor, at least in the first round or two of voting.
I think it likely that Romney will win a significant number of delegates, too... he’s got some states where he is almost certain to do well, and be able to gain leverage in some others.
McCain... who knows... he has a less than promising history as to how he’ll hold up in the long run.
Thompson (if he runs - probable) will certainly get a significant number - and he, combined with the other more conservative candidates, will probably go into the convention with a substantial block of votes.
This is a real toss up for the GOP... I don’t have any independent thoughts about the Demodogs.
Way too early to get troubled about this.
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