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Another Global Warming Icon Comes Under Attack
Science ^ | 6 July 2007 | Richard A. Kerr

Posted on 08/11/2007 12:40:50 AM PDT by neverdem

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Here's a more legible view of the graph.

How about hedge your bets on global warming?

1 posted on 08/11/2007 12:40:52 AM PDT by neverdem
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To: sauropod

review


2 posted on 08/11/2007 12:43:37 AM PDT by sauropod (You can’t spell crap without the AP in it.)
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To: neverdem
As I understand it from the Discovery Channel.....

Mars is getting warmer too.

It must be the Martians tooling around in SUV's.

3 posted on 08/11/2007 12:59:15 AM PDT by Nitro (Nitro does it with a BANG!!)
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To: neverdem

Well, I am certain that simulations (God they love their sims dont they?, easy science, no field work) for a mere 100 years of earths climate history compared to measured data with margins of error itself is nothing impressive to me.

Many models were made in the long ago past to explain movements of planets, sun, moon. Some worked pretty good too. But the bigger picture blew them out of the water.

The “simulations” of those days could not explain the grand picture at all with any accuracy.

Now we have come a long way since then.

But we cannot experiment on planetary levels with climate over vast time spans.

They are gazing into crystal balls constructed of equations and processors, and attempting to predict the future of something that I strongly suspect truly do not have a complete grasp of the massive complexity of.


4 posted on 08/11/2007 1:03:29 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: neverdem

Oh, and gotta love the language...

“Comes Under Attack”

Questioning, testing, proving, disproving, is not an “attack”.


5 posted on 08/11/2007 1:11:20 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: neverdem
Basic References:

Lawrence Solomon's "The Deniers" (a series of articles on the view of scientists who have been labelled "Global Warming Deniers"):

Other References:


6 posted on 08/11/2007 1:42:20 AM PDT by sourcery (fRed Dawn: Wednesday, 5 November 2008!)
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To: neverdem
We know that they tweaked their models so that the result would best fit past temperature trends.

The thing is, if they don’t have other factors included like the varying activity of the sun and cosmic rays affects on cloud formation they had to tweak the other inputs to their model so that it came up with the right results. Which in short means their model will fail to predict the future because it is simply wrong.

7 posted on 08/11/2007 2:04:35 AM PDT by DB
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To: DB

They can’t even accurately predict the past. How do they expect to handle the future?


8 posted on 08/11/2007 4:16:21 AM PDT by driftdiver
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To: driftdiver

“they can’t even accurately predict the past. how do they expect to handle the future?”

how dare you have even the slightest doubt of the brilliance, the sheer intellectual intensity, the wonderful sensitivity, the deep god-like understanding of these wonderfully superior human beings who are on a plane way above the rest of humanity? you should be ashamed of yourself for not kneeling before such brightness, such glowing insight, such rousing hope for mankind that is represented by these special humans who power-walk on the beach and the bay. shame on you!!!

(heil hillary!)

/sarcasm off/


9 posted on 08/11/2007 4:39:05 AM PDT by ripley
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To: neverdem
The report clearly shows that the models did not adequately handle the 1930s.

That's a minimum 10% error across the entire period modeled (the 20th Century).

Are we supposed to ignore that part or what?

10 posted on 08/11/2007 4:46:29 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Nitro
It must be the Martians tooling around in SUV's.

No, It's man's doing -- the Mars warming didn't happen until NASA put the Spirit and Opportunity Explorers on the planet.


11 posted on 08/11/2007 4:49:38 AM PDT by Beckwith (dhimmicrats and the liberal media have chosen sides -- Islamofascism)
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To: neverdem
"...Future warming could be much worse than that modeling suggests, they say, or even more moderate..."

Exsqueeze me?

Does that mean it could be as bad, worse or better than currently predicted?

12 posted on 08/11/2007 5:08:47 AM PDT by Chasaway (Anything not worth doing is not worth doing well.)
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To: ripley; driftdiver

I bet he’s a corporate toady and a traitor

:)


13 posted on 08/11/2007 5:19:11 AM PDT by pacelvi (In general, Democrats are the only real reason to vote for Republicans. - Thomas Sowell)
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To: neverdem

Can we please just cut funding to all these studious idiots?!?


14 posted on 08/11/2007 5:23:18 AM PDT by gotribe ("Truly, America is my favorite slave." - King Fahd Bin Abdul-Aziz, Jeddeh 1993)
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To: Chasaway

It is most certainly an absolute posibility, maybe.


15 posted on 08/11/2007 5:24:49 AM PDT by dangerdoc (dangerdoc (not actually dangerous any more))
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To: neverdem; OKSooner; honolulugal; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; gruffwolf; ...

FReepmail me to get on or off


Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown

New!!: Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH

Ping me if you find one I've missed.



16 posted on 08/11/2007 5:27:07 AM PDT by xcamel ("It's Talk Thompson Time!" >> irc://irc.freenode.net/fredthompson)
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To: Names Ash Housewares
But we cannot experiment on planetary levels with climate over vast time spans.

We cannot experiment on planetary levels with climate over short periods of time. One need only look as far as the local weather forecast and how consistently inaccurate it is to see proof of this concept.

Add to this all the various weather stations that are set next to exhaust ports of air conditioning ducts, next to trash burning barrels, in areas near major airports where they are subjected jet blasts, tied to chimneys, and placed in asphalt parking lots, along with the complete absence of precipitation and it's effects on temperature in the models, and you have nothing more than fraud. I also read recently that many, if not most, of the weather reporting stations in the former Soviet Union were abandoned after the collapse and that loss of data has also not be included.

This "global warming" nonsense is like peeling back an onion. The deep you dig into the "facts" the more layers off corruption you find.....

17 posted on 08/11/2007 5:31:03 AM PDT by Thermalseeker (Made in China: Treat those three words like a warning label)
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To: neverdem

‘more complete analysis of uncertainty’? How the hell do you do an analysis on that which is uncertain? Hedging your bets is more likely looking for cover when their predictions don’t come true. When is doesn’t happen, they will cay there was too much ‘uncertaintanty’


18 posted on 08/11/2007 6:35:19 AM PDT by milwguy
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To: Names Ash Housewares
Oh, and gotta love the language...“Comes Under Attack” Questioning, testing, proving, disproving, is not an “attack”.

It is considered an attack by template driven journalists who are as familiar with the principles of the scientific method as Bill Clinton is to the truth.

19 posted on 08/11/2007 6:53:10 AM PDT by mort56
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To: mort56

I look around, see changes in the land, weather, animals myself. We also had a serious cold spell last winter, 3 weeks it was minus 65 every morn at 6am.

Back in 1950’s fishwheels caught 400 king salmon a day, today a good day is 20-30. I don’t know if its global warming or off shore intercept fishery that our govt regulates that is responsible. But if the govt doesn’t do any better job with environment than they do with the fish; we better watch & worry.


20 posted on 08/11/2007 7:18:56 AM PDT by Eska
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