Posted on 08/20/2007 7:38:04 AM PDT by hardback
Angus Reid Global Monitor - Public support for Rudy Giuliani fell among Republican Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 22 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 presidential primary, down six points since early August.
Actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson is second with 19 per cent, followed by former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with 15 per cent, Arizona senator John McCain with 14 per cent, and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee with four per cent.
On Aug. 8, Giuliani discussed the GOP race, saying, "I happen to be a very big admirer of McCain and I can tell you quite honestly that if I werent running for president I would be here supporting him. If for some reason I made a decision not to run, hed be my candidate."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Republican Presidential Primary Contenders
Aug. 16 Aug. 8 Jul. 26
Rudy Giuliani 22% 28% 26%
Fred Thompson 19% 22% 25%
Mitt Romney 15% 13% 12%
John McCain 14% 10% 10%
Mike Huckabee 4% 4% 2%
Source: Rasmussen Reports Methodology: Telephone interviews with approximately 600-650 likely Republican primary voters, conducted from Aug. 13 to Aug. 16, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
Ironic subtitle, since the most recent Rasmussen poll has Rudy's support jumping up to 29%.
I suspect a lot of McCain’s “support” at this point comes from Democrats who have signed up as Republicans.
“Folks are just becoming aware of Romneys ultra-liberal record in MA. Hes doomed.”
Yes, that sure hurt him in the Iowa straw poll.
This nomination will go to the winner of the money race OTHER THAN Rudy.
I don't know if Rudy will divide the party, but I'll split in some fashion or another yet to be figured out.
While the Iowa Straw Poll may have had its uses, such as raising a million bucks for the Iowa GOP to fund its operations through this election cycle [primarily out of the campaign budgets of free-spending candidates], it was a joke as far as Romney is concerned. He spent well over a grand per vote to get the result he got. And he relied heavily on his LDS supporters and the personal connections of his mercenary hacks. He can't reproduce that even for the precinct caucuses, much less for the primaries or in the General.
He expended massive amounts of money for television ads to promote a meaningless straw poll, lying about who he is. He's had that field all to himself, unchallenged by those who have the facts about his record. That absolutely will not continue.
Conservatives know when to keep their powder dry and conserve resources. They also know when it's time to fire at will...and they have the firepower to destroy Mitt Romney's ambitions.
There is NO good news in this, even for all the Rudy haters.
“Bush is ineligible for a third term in office.”
Thank God for small favors. But considering the leading candidate - its a VERY small favor.
Hope Rooty Ka-Zooty continues to plummet. Maybe he will change parties - the Dems can use a creditable candidate.
It’s August. Let’s get through September before we start looking for bridges to jump from. :)
LOL. No, no bridges. And either Rudy or Fred will put up a good fight, but we’re going to need a lot of help in this one.
Oh well, the reports today have on RCP, Rudy actually up a point over Fred and now leads him by 11 points. Gee, that Rudy sure is all over the place in the polls. Dropping like a rock, huh? The real question is why McCain is still in the race and why did not Romney get a real boost from the Iowa victory. Rudy is doing fine because many in the GOP know he is the only guy who can actually win.
What national polls say do not mean squat, especially now. Let me repeat my earlier statement: “When the negative TV ads against Rudy Giuliani begin airing, his numbers will sink like a rock.”
Even more so if he takes a duck on the whole thing.
LOL! Wow, an undeclared candidate falling 6 points? You people who believe these polling prostitutes are funny. Most of you don’t even know how to read the polling statistics! What voters in New England think will have ZERO impact on how North Carolina votes, and vice versa. FORGET THE NATIONAL POLL NUMBERS! THEY ARE WORTHLESS!
McCain is going up? Why?
Rasmussen has Giuliani up 7 today
Monday, August 20, 2007
In the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, its Rudy Giuliani at 29% and Fred Thompson at 22% among Likely Republican Primary Voters. Mitt Romney is the top choice for 13% and Arizona Senator John McCain is now favored by 11% (see recent daily numbers). Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee tops the second tier at 4%.
I have been worried of late, that a lot of industry groups seem to be anticipating a Dem victory.
Personally, I don’t see this as possible, given the weakness of HC as a candidate.
However, within healthcare, the mega-plans and providers are starting to line-up on the Dem side.
He’s not. McCain and Thompson are going down. Giuliani and Romney are going up.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1883776/posts?page=35#35
Ah, I see. So we should pay attention to the statewide polls, such as those in Ohio, that show Rudy doing so much better against Hillary than Fred? Or the statewide polls in NJ and PA that show Fred getting killed? (To be fair, the NJ and PA polls show Hillary beating Rudy-—but not by nearly as much).
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