Posted on 09/10/2007 5:58:56 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Fred Thompson might have waited too long to enter the Republican fray for president, political experts and party officials say.
The ideal time for kicking off his campaign, they suggested, would have been this summer. Then, the political community was abuzz with speculation about the 6-foot-6-inch Tennessean.
The most-asked question in politics then was: Will he run?
One day, the former U.S. senator sounded like a candidate chomping at the bit to run for president.
The next day, Thompson wasn’t sure.
Hard-core conservatives, who thought they did not have a dog in the 2008 presidential contest, were holding out for Thompson.
But Thompson dawdled.
He was getting conflicting advice from some of his closest friends. It created tensions in the campaign, causing some to call it quits.
The indecisiveness cost him.
“He lost a lot of momentum. He just fiddled around. I think he lost considerable altitude,” said Francis Marion University political scientist Neal Thigpen, a Republican activist.
The announcement conservative Republicans had hoped for last spring finally came Wednesday night during NBC’s “Tonight Show with Jay Leno.”
“It is the longest non-opening act in history,” quipped Emory University analyst Merle Black.
Thompson enters the race late and with sky-high expectations. The combination of the two leaves little margin for error.
Most national polls of Republican voters put Thompson in second place, trailing front-runner former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani but leading former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and U.S. Sen. John McCain of Arizona.
Thus far, the GOP contest for the presidency has been, for some, a big yawner. It remains to be seen whether Thompson can bring life and spark to the race.
He has about 30 days to prove himself as a worthy candidate.
Judging by his performance this summer, one wonders whether Thompson will measure up.
His summer was a disaster complete with unflattering headlines. There were published reports about a campaign in disarray before it was even an official campaign. His fundraising was sluggish.
Another concern: Thompson’s renowned lack of enthusiasm for work, including campaigning.
Roll Call columnist Stu Rothenberg says Thompson blew his best chance by not getting into the race in the spring or summer.
Instead, Thompson looked indecisive and weak, Rothenberg wrote in a recent column. “He has lost potential supporters and contributions to other campaigns. And he has limited the strategic options of his campaign.”
The question is whether Thompson can regain any of the momentum his candidacy lost over the summer.
After a summer of staff upheavals, mixed reviews of his speeches and fundraising that did not meet expectations, Thompson says he’s ready to go.
For the next 30 days, the political world will be watching intently. During that time, Thompson must demonstrate an ability to organize a campaign, raise money and create a solid, positive image, said College of Charleston political scientist Bill Moore.
University of South Carolina political scientist Robert Botsch of Aiken predicts Thompson’s candidacy will “shake things up.”
Republican U.S. Rep. Gresham Barrett of Westminster says Thompson will “bring freshness, honesty and realism to the race.”
One of the things that Barrett likes most about Thompson — which could be the candidate’s undoing — is his tendency to stray from his script. “I like it that he is unscripted,” the congressman said.
Thompson must live up to the high expectations that his much-anticipated candidacy gave rise to, says Winthrop University professor Scott Huffmon.
If Thompson fails, if his candidacy starts sliding, he could very well be in trouble, says Moore of the College of Charleston.
“His candidacy is either going to take off like a rocket or come crashing back to earth,” said Clemson political scientist Doug Woodard, a GOP consultant.
Which one will it be?
We’ll know in about a month.
In East Texas we have a saying about “experts”.
X is the unknown and spurt is a drip under pressure.
Just keep on saying his name, Dinosaur Media.
With those poll numbers you site... this article is what we call “screwing the pooch”!
LLS
I figgered that’d happen if he announced, he’d bounce into the lead within a week. If you couple that with a strong debate performance coming up, within a week after that he’ll be rolling in the poll numbers AND the contributions.
it was brilliantly ‘late’ and saved him a fortune. Everyone else was way too early.
BS! There isn't going to be a vote cast for four months. How can FDT be too late?
You forgot to include the BS Alert.
Thats right IMO, it’s up to him to run when he feels like it, or his strategy dictates. Let the ppl decide if he was too late. LOL
The mainstream media comments on Fred are meant for the ‘non-informed’.
What I’d like to know about Fred is this. Check out Dick Morris’s latest article on him. He claims Fred is attracting countless lobbyists for support, and that he was a lobbyist for 20 years. Morris is saying this is who his loyalty will be for, less for the ppl.
Still have to learn more before I believe that, but something to keep an eye on.
This whole 08 election mess reminds me of WalMart putting out Christmas stuff before Halloween.
Why rush the freaking season?
I like several of the potential candidates, and particular kudos to Thompson for waiting a bit. Let’s see what happens over the winter, before we start getting hysterical.
The places are set and the food is on the table. I am sure I will have my fill, but it just does not satisfy.
Congratuations on the post-announcement bump. Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain!
spurt is what you get from a drip under pressure.
Amen to that. It's still way too early.
LOL! Hope you ran ‘em out on a rail ;-)
Labor day is the tradition end of summer, but, you are right, summer will be over on the 21st of September.. 10 days from now.
“I take it this newspaper didn’t see today’s Gallup and Rasmussen polls: Fred Thompson now leads the republican field.”
I think its wishful thinking on the part of Rudy lovers in the press.
13+ months to go, wake me up in six
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