Posted on 10/18/2007 5:16:17 PM PDT by finnman69
Sample was of 1033 registered voters of which 319 were registered GOP primary voters
not a huge sample, but this poll is in line with many others out recently.
More questions at the end of the link
http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/CBSNews_poll_reps_101807.pdf
What do you get when you add McCain and Huckleberrys’ numbers to Freds?
A. A Rudy Loss
B. A mess at the convention.
I’ve not been paying much attention to the polling. No wonder the evangelical leaders have been so vocal about endorsing Romney. He has quite a bit of work to do to catch up with Giuliani.
Then it is pretty useless polling since Republican voters, not the public at large will chooses the nominee. So what they should run is head to head match ups and poll only Republican voters.
They did break out the republican primary results in the poll.
THE MSM WANTS TO CORONATE RUDY.
They have Giuliani, Thompson and McCain running 1-2-3. CBS would love for the choice to be between 3 cancer victims so that they could call Republicans the “Cancer Party”.
Giuliani has been courting the McCain voters often...McCain voters tend to be independents and moderates, I can see 75% of them breaking to Giuliani...
“THE MSM WANTS TO CORONATE RUDY.”
So he can lose to Hillary.
Let’s face it, conservative voters are not crazy about Rudy as a candidate. He’s too far left on most social issues. I hope I’m wrong, but my sense is that if Rudy gets the nomination, enough conservatives might stay home and hand a victory to Evita.
319 Republicans is much too small a sample to be accurate.
Huckabee does very well in Iowa, perhaps even winning. Enought to really damage Romney in NH and Michigan after all he has invested in Iowa.this potentially helps McCain and Guliani. Thompson and Huckabee are after the same voters.
Huckabee is just about tied for 2nd in a couple of new Iowa polls.
“What do you get when you add McCain and Huckleberrys’ numbers to Freds?”
That is part of the question. The other part is where do Romney’s votes go once he’s forced to concede?
Unless McCain pulls of some miraculous stumping in Iowa, he’s look at a 5th place finish.
What’s really interesting from the RCP pole is that Thompson and McCain’s poll numbers are tracking each other, which would indicate they are pulling from the same voter base so hopefully a McCain withdrawal goes directly to Fred.
We are not talking General Election. We are talking Primary voters. McCain is a resume Conservative. He has a lot of support simply based on what he went thru in Vietnam. Once they actually start narrowing the field, and think about voting, many of those voters are going to someone other then Rudy. The way to read this poll is "The Rudy Vote" and the Anti Rudy vote. Right now that vote is split and a lot of time and effort is being spent by the Republican Establishment in making Rudy inevitable so when those people move off their first choices they automatically go to Rudy. There is no guarantee of that happening
What I see in the RCP poll is Romney and McCain trading from each other. Maybe Huckabee picking up from Thompson.
Again,I think if Huckabee does very well in Iowa, you’ll see a lot of Romney support quickly evaporate. McCain will probably not do very well in Iowa, so his support goes somewhere else as well.
this is CBS too.
hard to take seriously.
however.
No Guiliani = NO PROBLEM.
Rush was on Glen Beck and just said he would choose between Guiliani, Thompson or Romney.
(you hear that 2nd and 3rd Tier?)
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.