Posted on 10/18/2007 5:16:17 PM PDT by finnman69
The contest might get interesting if Fred actually got out there and campaigned.
Is it any wonder they want Rudi-Tutti as the GOP nominee? They know that he cannot win - it won't take many Conservative Christian voters to refuse to vote for him to come up short. Just think about how close the last couple of elections have been - and that has been with a Pro-life, pseudo-conservative GW running. Rudi is a raving liberal...
That is an interesting point, it is going to be hard pressed for delegates of a conservative for vote for Rudy.
I don’t think the McCain supporters are that conservative, they could go either way.
So then we end up with a nannystate soft on illegals republican (which I thought conservatives were supposed to abhor) instead of a soft on abortion & gun rights republican (which I thought conservatives were supposed to abhor).
The reason I’m willing to support a Rudy candidacy is because I recognize the reality that there is no viable candidate out there who fits the entire bill, and Huckabee appears to be like Bush, and he hasn’t worked out so well, so I’m willing to give someone of a different type a chance. I’m willing to take Rudy at his word regarding judges. If he were to lie about that, why not just lie and say he’s seen the light re: abortion?
Anyhow, it’s almost getting boring discussing it.
You left out the landslide numbers of Ron Paul. :)
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/10/18/opinion/polls/main3383010.shtml
Giuliani's backers have growing reservations about their candidate, however. Today, 60 percent say they have their doubts, up from 45 percent in August. Thirty percent strongly favor the former New York City mayor, down from 47 percent two months ago.
Rudy’s support is soft and getting softer. When it comes to pointing out his liberalism, there are so many targets and so much ammo, you really don’t know where to start. Just mention it softly like Fred already has and his supports starts to waver. When the comparison ads go up in earnest, Guiliani’s big “lead” is going to deflate like a punctured balloon.
I did not leave it out, it’s posted in the article.
Fred who?
another Iowa poll out today with Huckabee doing very well
Below are the results of a three-day poll in the state of Iowa. Results are based on telephone interviews with 600 likely Republican cacus goers and 600 likely Democratic cacus goers, aged 18+, and conducted October 12-14, 2007. The margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.
http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/iowa_poll_101807.htm
Mitt Romney 27%; Rudy Giuliani 13%; Mike Huckabee 12%; Fred Thompson 10%; John McCain 5%; Sam Brownback 4%; Ron Paul 4%; Tom Tancredo 2%; Duncan Hunter 1%; Undecided 22%
“The other part is where do Romney’s votes go once he’s forced to concede?”
I’d say split 70/30 Thompson/Guiliani....maybe the convention won’t be such a mess after all.
I think that goes to Thompson. I believe that John will give his concession then follow that with an endorsement of his good buddy.
“You left out the landslide numbers of Ron Paul. :)”
I figure that will go to Cynthia McKinnie.
Registered voters instead of primary voters, and a small sample size (319, which yields a 5% margin of error) makes this poll pretty iffy to start with. Since no candidate has shown significant movement since the previous poll and the fairly large MOE, it's pretty safe to say that this poll tells us next to nothing.
I also don't buy that conservatives are split evenly between Giuliani and Thompson -- this flies in the face of every other poll I've seen.
http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=28828
Conservative Republicans N=1,131
Giuliani 30 Thompson 23 McCain 15 Romney 10
Registered republicans and “republican-leaning” independents, not likely primary voters.
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