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Republican Nomination Most Open Since 1979 [McCain in second?]
Washington Post ^ | Jon Cohen and Dan Balz

Posted on 11/04/2007 8:34:17 PM PST by Plutarch

For the first time in nearly 30 years, there is no breakaway front-runner for the Republican nomination as the first votes of Campaign 2008 loom, and a new Washington Post-ABC News poll underscores how open the GOP race remains.

Former New York City mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani maintains a double-digit lead over his main rivals, but most of his supporters back his candidacy only "somewhat," and he has yet to gain momentum among key primary voting groups or to distinguish himself as the best candidate for the party. Adding to the murkiness of the picture is that Republicans continue to be less satisfied with their candidate options than Democrats are with theirs.

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds former New York mayor Rudolph Giuliani, left, with the weakest national support for a Republican front-runner this late in a presidential race since 1979. Trailing him, in order from right to left, are Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), former senator Fred Thompson (Tenn.) and former governor Mitt Romney (Mass.).

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds former New York mayor Rudolph Giuliani, left, with the weakest national support for a Republican front-runner this late in a presidential race since 1979. Trailing him, in order from right to left, are Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), former senator Fred Thompson (Tenn.) and former governor Mitt Romney (Mass.).

In the new poll, a third of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents said they would vote for Giuliani if their state's primary or caucus were held today. That puts him 14 percentage points ahead of Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) and 17 points ahead of former senator Fred D. Thompson (Tenn.).

Eleven percent said they would vote for former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, and 9 percent support former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee...

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: giuliani; mccain; romney; thompson
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

Yeah, good honest nutty isolationists who think this is 1907 and not 2007... and George Soros.


21 posted on 11/04/2007 9:08:34 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: TitansAFC; Dubya's fan; meandog; therut; Laissez-faire capitalist; MARTIAL MONK; Zhang Fei; ...
The McCain List.
Common sense conservatism

22 posted on 11/04/2007 10:47:09 PM PST by Norman Bates
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To: Plutarch

mckennedy is showing well because he has his base back. He is the ratmedia’s candidate and since he has no chance of getting our nomination they are pushing him in order to disrupt our primaries. Note to mckennedy: your base can’t vote in our primaries they are registerd in the rat party.


23 posted on 11/05/2007 4:54:10 AM PST by jmaroneps37 (Conservatives live in the truth. Liberals live in lies.)
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To: Norman Bates
I really can’t give this poll credence, my friend.

These are perhaps the worst pollsters on earth, and have been for decades. Plus, I heard on talk radio this morning that the poll was taken almost exclusively in the Northeast and CA. If that’s true, the poll is crap.

Plus, it’s “ 1,131 adults.” ‘Nuff said.

There’s no denying McCain is steadily rising, but this specific poll is crap.

24 posted on 11/05/2007 6:45:47 AM PST by TitansAFC ("My 80% enemy is not my 20% friend" -- Common Sense)
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To: TitansAFC

I agree to an extent. The head-to-heads against Hillary are bogus as such (leading by 10-18 points!! c’mon), but I assumed the primary had a different GOP sample. I might be wrong.


25 posted on 11/05/2007 8:06:53 AM PST by Norman Bates
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To: Norman Bates

McCain would beat Hillary. I’d put that at about 90% certainty.

He has a better chance right now of beating Hillary than winning the GOP nod. But if he gets the nod, it’s “President John McCain.”

People like McCain - always have. They don’t like Hillary.

McCain would keep New Mexico red, as well as Ohio. He’d probably bring WI into the fold, as he is VERY popular there.


26 posted on 11/05/2007 3:38:00 PM PST by TitansAFC ("My 80% enemy is not my 20% friend" -- Common Sense)
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To: Plutarch

Those are fascinating numbers (what is “leaned vote”?) but the biggest surprise is two fold and both folds enclosing McCain. It seemed to me that even back there in July-September McCain was virtually invisible and doing so poorly NO ONE was even talking about him as a possibility.
It has seemed that McCain has somehow emerged intact and is making a very good showing for himself. He really is back in the game. According to those numbers you posted though, he was never less than second or third/ Very surprising to me , at least.


27 posted on 11/05/2007 7:53:25 PM PST by supremedoctrine (The only thing sourdough bread is good for is a grilled cheese sandwich, For that it's essential/)
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To: John Valentine

What is nearly as important as national numbers are the numbers for states with early primaries.


28 posted on 11/05/2007 7:55:03 PM PST by gondramB (Preach the Gospel at all times, and when necessary, use words.)
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To: John Valentine

“A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds ..... the weakest national support for a Republican front-runner this late in a presidential race since 1979.”

Seems to me that election ended pretty well.


29 posted on 11/05/2007 8:06:45 PM PST by EDINVA
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