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Giuliani Slipping (Gallup Poll: RG 28, FT 19, JM 13, MR 12, MH 10)
The National Review ^ | November 16, 2007 | Byron York

Posted on 11/16/2007 11:26:30 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

A new Gallup poll of the national Republican race shows Rudy Giuliani's support slipping to its lowest level since before he entered the race. The survey of self-identified Republicans and Republican leaners has Giuliani leading the GOP contest with 28 percent – down from 34 percent in the Gallup survey taken two weeks ago. Fred Thompson is second with 19 percent, John McCain is third with 13 percent, Mitt Romney is fourth with 12 percent, and Mike Huckabee is fifth with ten percent.

Giuliani's support reached its highest point in Gallup polls, 49 percent, in March. In the months since, it has moved around in the mid- to low-30s range. Of the other candidates, McCain is down a bit from recent Gallup polls, while Huckabee's ten percent is three points higher than it has ever been before. Finally, Ron Paul is at five percent, which matches his previous high point, reached last month.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; abortion; byronyork; caucuses; conservatism; conservatives; election; electionpresident; elections; endorsements; fred; fred08dotcom; fredthompson; galluppoll; gop; mikehuckabee; mittromney; nrlc; nrtl; primaries; prolife; republicans; rinorudy; rudygiuliani; thompson; whitehouse
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Guess that NRLC endorsement did help Fred.
1 posted on 11/16/2007 11:26:31 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

His advertisements on the FNC are probably helping too.


2 posted on 11/16/2007 11:31:29 AM PST by normy (Don't hit at all if it is honorably possible to avoid hitting; but never hit soft.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Survey Methods

These results are based on telephone interviews with a randomly selected national sample of 398 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, conducted Nov. 11-14, 2007. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum error attributable to sampling and other random effects is ±5 percentage points. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.


3 posted on 11/16/2007 11:35:17 AM PST by Petronski (Willardcare abortions $50 each, $25 per twin. Ask for S&H Stamps!)
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To: Petronski
These results are based on telephone interviews with a randomly selected national sample of 398 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents

Which is exactly why I give all these polls ZERO consideration.

4 posted on 11/16/2007 11:39:19 AM PST by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
This race is wide open. All Candidates have their positives and negatives. My guess is a brokered convention.
5 posted on 11/16/2007 11:42:31 AM PST by 11th Commandment
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So many polls, so many different takes on them. The good news is the polls will be meaningless shortly. As for Fred, just keep fighting, keep pushing forward.


6 posted on 11/16/2007 11:45:40 AM PST by mainerforglobalwarming
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The poll covered Nov 11-14. I don’t know how much the NRTL endorsement can be figured into the results.

Still, its good news for Fred and bad news for Rooty.


7 posted on 11/16/2007 12:08:40 PM PST by Reagan Man (FUHGETTABOUTIT Rudy....... Conservatives don't vote for liberals!)
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To: 11th Commandment

Who exactly do you think would be the brokers?


8 posted on 11/16/2007 1:14:44 PM PST by iowamark
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Fred’s surge has begun.


9 posted on 11/16/2007 1:15:09 PM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: RockinRight
"Fred's surge has begun."

Just don't expect to hear about it in the media like the Mike "Open borders for Jesus" Huckabee surgelette.

10 posted on 11/16/2007 1:21:13 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: RockinRight
Yes, the tide has turned. It's been a good week for Fred, a bad one for Mitt.

Keep an eye on Iowa, where Fred has committed a boatload of money to advertising.

11 posted on 11/16/2007 1:22:21 PM PST by eastsider
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Interesting. The only real difference between this poll and today's RAS poll is that Fred is a strong 2nd in the GALLUP poll - as opposed to being in an essential 4-way tie for 2nd in RAS.

Which is a reversal in Fred's polling trend. It seems that all this year, Fred has polled stronger on RAS than any of the other polls. Now we see Fred polling better on Gallup than RAS.

Does it really mean anything?

12 posted on 11/16/2007 1:23:47 PM PST by rhinohunter (Thompson/Steele '08)
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To: eastsider

Rudy and Mitt are about to meet a brick wall named Fred.


13 posted on 11/16/2007 1:27:08 PM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: rhinohunter

Today, no...but let’s see what the next week brings.


14 posted on 11/16/2007 1:27:36 PM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Should read “Thompson closing in on crossdresser”


15 posted on 11/16/2007 1:31:21 PM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: rhinohunter
I think we can expect to see Fred polling stronger on both polls [and others]. A lot of his ducks are finally lining up in a row. The flood of "Fred is lazy" articles seems to be falling off and stories are regularly hitting the wires containing the substance of his positions and his focus of his campaign. His ads are ramping up and he’s going to get continuous and growing attention from his NRLC endorsement. Things are looking up.
16 posted on 11/16/2007 1:40:07 PM PST by Route66 (America's Main Street - - - President Fred D. Thompson /"The Constitution means what is says.")
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To: rhinohunter

RAS is a tighter poll, of people really paying attention.

Gallup and Fox polls are cr8p, they are polling people who will never vote in the primary.


17 posted on 11/16/2007 1:48:02 PM PST by WOSG (Pro-life, pro-family, pro-freedom, pro-strong defense, pro-GWOT, pro-capitalism, pro-US-sovereignty)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Fred Thompson ‘08!


18 posted on 11/16/2007 1:54:39 PM PST by PreciousLiberty
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

To be straight here, how does Freds’ number look at Rasmussen? Because that is the one that we’ve been touting this whole time, and frankly I’ve never put much stock into Gallup.


19 posted on 11/16/2007 1:58:22 PM PST by Grunthor (Liberals need to be reminded that The Holy Bible is more than just Godís opinion.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Just don’t expect to hear about it in the media like the Mike “Open borders for Jesus” Huckabee surgelette.”

I actually saw what looked to be families walking around Lacey, Wa (Olympia Junior) this morning with Huckabee ballons and t-shirts and picket signs.

In a state this liberal, he’s about as conservative as the people will support.


20 posted on 11/16/2007 2:01:57 PM PST by Grunthor (Liberals need to be reminded that The Holy Bible is more than just Godís opinion.)
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