Giuliani Slipping (Gallup Poll: RG 28, FT 19, JM 13, MR 12, MH 10)

The National Review ^ | November 16, 2007 | Byron York

[2ndDivisionVet]

A new Gallup poll of the national Republican race shows Rudy Giuliani's support slipping to its lowest level since before he entered the race. The survey of self-identified Republicans and Republican leaners has Giuliani leading the GOP contest with 28 percent – down from 34 percent in the Gallup survey taken two weeks ago. Fred Thompson is second with 19 percent, John McCain is third with 13 percent, Mitt Romney is fourth with 12 percent, and Mike Huckabee is fifth with ten percent.

Giuliani's support reached its highest point in Gallup polls, 49 percent, in March. In the months since, it has moved around in the mid- to low-30s range. Of the other candidates, McCain is down a bit from recent Gallup polls, while Huckabee's ten percent is three points higher than it has ever been before. Finally, Ron Paul is at five percent, which matches his previous high point, reached last month.

[2ndDivisionVet]

Guess that NRLC endorsement did help Fred.

[normy]

His advertisements on the FNC are probably helping too.

[Petronski]

Survey Methods

These results are based on telephone interviews with a randomly selected national sample of 398 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, conducted Nov. 11-14, 2007. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum error attributable to sampling and other random effects is ±5 percentage points. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

[calcowgirl]

These results are based on telephone interviews with a randomly selected national sample of 398 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents

Which is exactly why I give all these polls ZERO consideration.

[11th Commandment]

This race is wide open. All Candidates have their positives and negatives. My guess is a brokered convention.

[mainerforglobalwarming]

So many polls, so many different takes on them. The good news is the polls will be meaningless shortly. As for Fred, just keep fighting, keep pushing forward.

[Reagan Man]

The poll covered Nov 11-14. I don’t know how much the NRTL endorsement can be figured into the results.

Still, its good news for Fred and bad news for Rooty.

[iowamark]

Who exactly do you think would be the brokers?

[RockinRight]

Fred’s surge has begun.

[2ndDivisionVet]

"Fred's surge has begun."

Just don't expect to hear about it in the media like the Mike "Open borders for Jesus" Huckabee surgelette.

[eastsider]

Yes, the tide has turned. It's been a good week for Fred, a bad one for Mitt.

Keep an eye on Iowa, where Fred has committed a boatload of money to advertising.

[rhinohunter]

Interesting. The only real difference between this poll and today's RAS poll is that Fred is a strong 2nd in the GALLUP poll - as opposed to being in an essential 4-way tie for 2nd in RAS.

Which is a reversal in Fred's polling trend. It seems that all this year, Fred has polled stronger on RAS than any of the other polls. Now we see Fred polling better on Gallup than RAS.

Does it really mean anything?

[RockinRight]

Rudy and Mitt are about to meet a brick wall named Fred.

[RockinRight]

Today, no...but let’s see what the next week brings.

[RockinRight]

Should read “Thompson closing in on crossdresser”

[Route66]

I think we can expect to see Fred polling stronger on both polls [and others]. A lot of his ducks are finally lining up in a row. The flood of "Fred is lazy" articles seems to be falling off and stories are regularly hitting the wires containing the substance of his positions and his focus of his campaign. His ads are ramping up and he’s going to get continuous and growing attention from his NRLC endorsement. Things are looking up.

[WOSG]

RAS is a tighter poll, of people really paying attention.

Gallup and Fox polls are cr8p, they are polling people who will never vote in the primary.

[PreciousLiberty]

Fred Thompson ‘08!

[Grunthor]

To be straight here, how does Freds’ number look at Rasmussen? Because that is the one that we’ve been touting this whole time, and frankly I’ve never put much stock into Gallup.

[Grunthor]

“Just don’t expect to hear about it in the media like the Mike “Open borders for Jesus” Huckabee surgelette.”

I actually saw what looked to be families walking around Lacey, Wa (Olympia Junior) this morning with Huckabee ballons and t-shirts and picket signs.

In a state this liberal, he’s about as conservative as the people will support.