Washington Post-ABC News Poll (Fred Thompson surging in Iowa!)

The Washington Post ^ | Tuesday, November 20, 2007

[kevkrom]

Spiff ought to be along any minute now to tell us why this poll is an outlier and doesn't mean anything

Would that be before or after he tells us how the latest ARG or Zogby poll shows the inevitability of Romney?

[Shermy]

“Since when is a two point gain to 15 percent a “surge.””

Agreed.

Title abuse, if not more

[kevkrom]

Of course, there is also a 70% chance that Romney may change his mind on any issue.

So, he's getting more consistent now?

[Old Retired Army Guy]

I think the main part of that story is Huckabee.

[Petronski]

I don’t understand where you got that subtitle.

[rface]

a surge from 13% to 15%....That’s HUGH!

[2ndDivisionVet]

It’s all about perception. If Mr. Thompson places third in Iowa, when he isn’t expected to, he will “surge” in South Carolina, Florida and Nevada.

[TexasRedeye]

psst, did you look. Your guy went down 2 points

SPEEEEEEW - you owe me a keyboard. LOL

[McGruff]

There are no Fred Thompson supporters in Iowa.
Not a single one.

[2ndDivisionVet]

He is surging from where he was recently, not from July!

[NeoCaveman]

And the voters must have found out how pro-illegal alien the Huckster is.

[traditional1]

"Since when is a two point gain to 15 percent a “surge.”?

Well, we un-informed folks who see it as a gain of 15% (13% to 15% is a 15.4% increase, for me by taking off both shoes and using all my fingers, too) from previous levels in the poll (simple math, I reckon) as pretty much a surge, but then, we're not as astute as others who are wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy more knowledgable than us.

If your "candidate" had a 15% increase in his poll numbers, would you consider that significant?

[2ndDivisionVet]

"I don’t understand where you got that subtitle."

At "Subtitles 'R' Us" of course.

[Route66]

Fred can take about half of Huckabee’s support and siphon off a little of Mitt’s and Rudy’s and win this thing.

That and a good chunk of the undecided vote makes this very doable for Fred.

[UKTory]

“It’s all about perception. If Mr. Thompson places third in Iowa, when he isn’t expected to, he will “surge” in South Carolina, Florida and Nevada.”

If Romney places first and Huckabee second, then presumably they will experience even more of a ‘surge’ in those states.

[ejonesie22]

He’s working on a chart now, he was interrupted since he had to read the latest CYA talking points after that Romney care post and the young couple killed by the guy released by the Democrat Judge Mitt the "Conservative" appointed...

[Liberty Valance]

What a difference 8 years can make...
this is from January of 2000 NYT:

---

But Iowans often make up their minds at the last minute, and polls suggest that they have not made their final caucus decisions yet.

‘’Politics is Muzak to a lot of people,’’ said David Yepsen, the chief political reporter for the Des Moines Register. ‘’They don’t pay attention until they have to, and that’s getting later and later. In the governor’s race last year, Tom Vilsack came from 25 points behind in the last three weeks to win by five points.’’

In this year’s Democratic contest, Mr. Bradley, a former senator from New Jersey, has decided to devote all or part of every day until the caucuses to campaigning here. A certain languor still marks his personal style, and he still tries to cast himself as a different kind of politician, who accentuates the positive. One day this week, he bent his 6-foot, 5-inch frame around a lectern and chatted for half an hour with schoolchildren about health.

But Mr. Bradley’s words in other contexts have taken on an edge, whether he is accusing Vice President Gore of neglecting the interests of Iowa farmers, many of whom have been left behind in the Clinton-era boom, or attacking him as a reliable friend of the big tobacco companies.

---

LOL!

[2ndDivisionVet]

He can take all the time he wants, IMO.

[RockinRight]

Huckabee won’t do a think once people realize he’s in no way a conservative.

[ejonesie22]

Amen...