Posted on 02/13/2008 12:25:03 PM PST by abb
During the 1988 writers strike, TV viewers sick of watching reruns found themselves turning to Fox's raunchy new sitcom "Married With Children."
The budding Fox network was struggling and, like its bigger rivals, had resorted to rerunning episodes when viewers discovered henpecked shoe salesman Al Bundy and his Spandex-clad wife, Peg. Their quirky appeal helped brand the "fourth" network as an iconoclast, able to take on ABC, CBS and NBC.
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"Since the 1980s, every time viewers leave the broadcast networks for a strike, summer reruns or any other cause, they never return in the same numbers, and over the years that gradual erosion has become enormously significant," said Jeffrey Cole, director of USC's Center for the Digital Future.
"In 1975, the three broadcast networks accounted for 90% of all television viewing," he said. Today, the five networks rarely account for more than half.
Nielsen Media Research statistics show that viewers have defected from the broadcast networks since the start of the fall season in September. By the end of January, 48% of the viewers were watching network shows, according to Nielsen's Live Plus 7 share report, a measure of those who watch a program at its scheduled time or view it as a recording within a week. At the same time, cable networks gained more viewers, pulling in 56% of the television audience.
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Analyst Andrew Lipsman of ComScore Media Metrix said there was little doubt the writers strike drove restive viewers to the Internet in December. It was the single heaviest month for online video viewing since ComScore started tracking such results in January 2007. People watched more than 10 billion video streams on their computers, including comedian Judson Laipply's "Evolution of Dance," which drew 74 million views on YouTube.
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(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...
Network evening newscasts will go dark after the '08 elections and their news divisions disbanded.
ping
Pinging FYI. The facts speak for themselves...
p.s. Yes, I know about the strike, but it didn't have anywhere near the impact or dire consequences that were predicted.
what’s “TV”?
Oh thank goodness the strike is over, I haven’t slept for three months wringing my hands over this.........../sarc OFF
I knew.
I miss “The Office.”
Gosh, with all of these talented writers going back to work full time......I sure hope they don’t pull “The Biggest Loser” off the air.....
I didn’t care that there was a strike because I seldom watch any of those shows. Two shows that I like are “Monk” and “The Closer.”
I bought the DVD package of “Rick Steves’ Europe, 2000-2007: All 70 Shows,” and I’ve been enjoying that.
The facts do speak for themselves, around 150 million people still watching network programs, that’s what that 48% translates to. Not a number that’s going to result in the end of broadcast in the next 3 years. Really it’s a remarkable number when you look at it, in spite of all the competition that’s showed up between 1975 and now, cable, video games, the internet, they haven’t even lost half the audience. Actually if you count heads rather than percentages of the population they’ve hardly lost anything, they’ve gone from 189 million viewers (90% of 210 million) to 150. 30 years of vastly increased competition and supposedly nose diving ratings and they’ve only lost 39 million viewers. Not remotely as devastating as you like to project.
“p.s. Yes, I know about the strike, but it didn’t have anywhere near the impact or dire consequences that were predicted.”
Seems strange that so many Freepers believe all is right with the world if their little corner isn’t disturbed.
I live in Phoenix. There is a whole colony of tv and screenwriters here. Many of them lost their homes and automobiles and other savings and investments because of the strike. Many couldn’t go over to strike duty and have had benefits cut. I’m no fan of unions, but writers, by the very nature of the television and motion pictures industries are locked solidly into the union system and representation by agents.
I think that qualifies in a lot of places a “dire consequences.” The impact on our economy here is yet
to be calculated.
If you like, I could include you in our Dinosaur Media DeathWatch ping list. That way you could share our observations and comments regularly as the Drive-By Media dies slowly. Please advise.
Who’s been on strike?
Can’t say I noticed...
Glad to see that the last season of Battlestar Galactica will be finished. That and LOST — the other shows can bite the dust. :-)
I spot your threads on my own often enough, and comment somewhat regularly. But thanks for the offer.
Pity the strike had to end. Most of these writers contribute nothing positive or uplifting for society.
The TV / Movie Industry are a pathetic wasteland. I gave up TV in 2000 and my life has been freed from the stupidy of pop culture and leftist group-think.
Read a book America...go out and experience life. Time spent watching TV is time you will never recapture.
My $.02
Funny what the Celtics winning 40 games already can make you forget.
As the strike ends,
ratings take a slide
Big Five networks sink 22 percent in adults 18-49
By Toni Fitzgerald
Feb 13, 2008
The long writers strike may be over, but its effects are really starting to be felt in primetime, where viewership for the Big Five networks has begun to plunge.
During the second week of February sweeps, all five networks were down compared to the same week last year. And though several new shows are set to premiere in the coming weeks, the slide could well continue until fresh scripted programming comes back in late March and early April.
The Big Five combined for an average 13.7 adults 18-49 rating last week, the week ended Feb. 10, off 22 percent from their combined 17.5 average the same week last year.
CBS, which had only two original scripted series last week, was off the most, slipping 38 percent, from a 4.5 to a 2.8, and the CW fell the second most, 31 percent, from a 1.3 to a 0.9, though 18-49 is not its target demographic.
ABC was off 26 percent, from a 3.8 to a 2.8, with NBC down 17 percent, from a 3.0 to a 2.5. Even Fox, which has won every week since American Idol returned last month, slipped 4 percent, from a 4.9 to a 4.7.
The steep declines would seem to contradict the networks long-held claim that they could get by with reality shows until the strike ended. While NBCs American Gladiators and Foxs Moment of Truth are hits, despite falling a bit in each outing, there have been other disappointments, even among returning shows.
CBSs Survivor had its second-lowest-rated premiere ever, averaging a 4.8 rating against minimal competition in the Thursday 8 p.m. slot. And the networks The New Adventures of Old Christine slipped 16 percent from last years average in its third-season premiere.
Meanwhile, new reality shows like ABCs Dancing with the Stars spinoff Dance Wars: Bruno vs. Carrie Ann simply havent caught on. That show averaged a mere 2.4 in its latest outing, barely half what a typical Stars episode pulls.
Viewers have been uninterested in new scripted programming, too. Two Sex and the City knockoffs, ABCs Cashmere Mafia and NBC’s Lipstick Jungle, pulled fewer total viewers than Sex in its heyday. CBSs Welcome to the Captain averaged a 2.6 for its premiere last Monday, only managing to match its lead-in, a rerun of How I Met Your Mother.
The coming weeks have a few promising programs.
The CW premieres the new season of its top show, Americas Next Top Model, next week, while Stars returns next month on ABC. CBS will carry March Madness, the NCAA basketball tournament that knocks out regular scripted programming for several weeks.
But theres also the possibility that ratings will continue their decline. NBCs Gladiators ends its run this weekend, to be replaced by new reality show My Dad is Better Than Your Dad, which critics have already dubbed a miss. Fox likely wont return 24 at all this season, removing one of its top shows.
And ABC will run out of episodes of its top first quarter show, Lost, in just five weeks.
Meanwhile, in broadcast ratings for the week ended Feb. 10:
Among adults 18-49, Fox was first with a 4.7 rating and a 12 share, followed by ABC and CBS at 2.8/7, NBC at 2.5/6, Univision at 1.6/4, CW at 0.9/2, Telemundo at 0.5/1, TeleFutura and MyNetworkTV at 0.4/1 and Ion and Azteca at 0.1/0.
Among adults 18-34, Fox led with a 4.3 rating and a 12 share, followed by ABC at 2.2/6, CBS at 2.0/6, NBC at 1.9/5, Univision at 1.8/5, CW at 0.9/3, Telemundo at 0.5/2, Telefutura and MyNetworkTV at 0.4/1 and Ion and Azteca at 0.1/0.
Among adults 25-54, Fox was first with a 5.2 rating and a 13 share, followed by CBS at 3.5/8, ABC at 3.3/8, NBC at 2.9/7, Univision at 1.5/4, CW at 0.9/2, MyNetworkTV and Telemundo at 0.5/1, TeleFutura at 0.3/1 and Ion and Azteca at 0.1/0.
Top five English-language Big Five shows (18-49s): 1. Foxs American Idol - Tuesday 11.2; 2. Foxs American Idol - Wednesday 10.5; 3. Foxs House 9.0; 4. Foxs Moment of Truth 7.1; Tie-5. ABCs Lost and CBSs Grammy Awards 6.5.
Top five English-language Big Five shows (total viewers): 1. Foxs American Idol - Tuesday 27.91 million; 2. Foxs American Idol - Wednesday 26.28 million; 3. Foxs House 23.16 million; 4. CBSs Grammy Awards 17.17 million; 5. Foxs Moment of Truth 16.62 million.
Top five Live+7 English-language Big Five shows (Households, week ended Jan. 27): 1. Foxs American Idol - Tuesday 16.7; 2. Foxs American Idol - Wednesday 15.7; 3. Foxs Moment of Truth 13.2; 4. CBSs 60 Minutes 9.6; 5. NBCs Law & Order: Special Victims Unit 9.2.
Top five Live+7 English-language Big Five shows (18-49s, week ended Jan. 27): 1. Foxs American Idol - Tuesday 12.4; 2. Foxs American Idol - Wednesday 11.5; 3. Foxs Moment of Truth 10.5; 4. NBCs Law & Order: Special Victims Unit 5.3; 5. ABCs Extreme Makeover: Home Edition 5.2.
Show on the rise: Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, ABC, Saturday 8:30 p.m. The Johnny Depp version of the classic story averaged a 2.4 rating among viewers 18-49, up 26 percent from the 1.9 War of the Worlds averaged in the slot the week before.
Show on the decline: Eli Stone ABC, Thursday 10 p.m. Up against the low-rated premiere of NBCs Lipstick Jungle, ABCs midseason drama fell 18 percent week-to-week among 18-49s, from a 4.0 to a 3.3.
For readers,
the outlook’s looking iffy
They don’t see ratings tumbling through March
By Lisa Snedeker
Feb 13, 2008
The writers’ strike is indeed over, but there’s little sense of a burden being lifted among media planners and buyers.
The big worry is where the networks go from here, with ratings now falling and the coming season looming ahead with not much in the way of new-series development in the pipeline.
The networks face the twin challenges of getting existing shows back into production and cooking up new show concepts to present to buyers this spring ahead of the upfront market. Can they do it all?
Perhaps, but just how well is another matter, say media planners and buyers. They’re not overly confident.
That’s the outcome of a poll Media Life ran late last week when it seemed certain the strike was about to end.
Readers were asked: Will the networks have enough time to patch together good schedules with promising new shows, or will they be forced to renew struggling programs that otherwise would have been axed, just to fill their hours?
“The networks will throw together a patchwork of shows and trot them out with a lot of fanfare,” wrote one respondent. “More of those than usual will be gone as better work filters through later in the season.”
Wrote another: “A lot of middling shows will be returned for fall with more new entries in midseason than there have been in the past.”
And yet another sniped: “Considering the drivel that is usually slopped down on the fall schedule after careful consideration, planning, and with creative abandon, I wouldn’t expect it to be much worse than most years. I think our expectations should remain fairly low. Expect to be underwhelmed.”
But some readers were more upbeat, all that said. As one opined, “I think they’ll have time if the strike ends this weekend to put together some fairly good schedules.” And another wrote: “There will definitely be time for the networks to put together a handful of new programs. The new programs next fall will not be any worse than any other year.”
A majority of readers, 70 percent, think the networks will end the season in May as usual, rather than extending it into the summer, for the simple reason of cost.
As for when fresh episodes will begin appearing in primetime, the best bet is April, according to readers. It will take that long to get scripts written and into production and the episodes shot and edited.
The question: “If the writers strike ends over weekend, how soon will we start seeing new scripted content?
More than half, 60 percent, thought April—27 percent early April and 22 percent in mid-April, and 11 percent late April. But 29 percent were more optimistic, predicting new episodes would begin airing in March.
Readers also think the writers came out ahead after three months on the picket lines, but it was hardly an overwhelming margin: 56 percent versus 44 percent who thought the studio bosses were the winners.
Interestingly, though, most readers don’t think the networks will be taking big hits in the ratings in the time it takes to get fresh episodes back on the air.
The question: By the end of March, how much will adults 18-49 ratings have suffered from the strike?
The largest share, 44 percent, thought the declines would be between 6 percent and 10 percent. That’s rosier than most forecasters have been predicting.
Just 20 percent thought they would be off between 10 and 15 percent.
And an even larger share, 24 percent, believed ratings would decline a modest 1 to 5 percent.
Among the new shows, the most promising among media buyers and planners was Fox’s Terminator: The Sarah Connor Chronicles, the top choice of 30 percent of respondents. Ranking second was ABC’s Eli Stone,” at 24 percent, and third, at 18 percent, was none.
The least-promising new show: ABC’s “Cashmere Mafia,” at 33 percent, with CBS’s Welcome to the Captain not all that far behind at 22 percent. Third was NBC’s “Baby Borrowers at 17 percent.
Readers believe ABC’s returning Lost has the most to gain airing original episodes again reruns on the other networks, at 48 percent. Fox’s “American Idol” was second at 31 percent. No other show came even close.
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