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POLL: OBAMA TAKES LEAD IN TEXAS (up 6 points)
American Research Group ^

Posted on 02/15/2008 8:28:48 AM PST by libh8er

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To: doug from upland

Correct, and since votes are apportioned it’s meaningless to talk about “winning a state”. What is significant is that even if they split the vote, BO will continue to be a threat and pull ahead. On the other hand, there is a psychological advantage in “winning” and certainly a demoralization element to those who will be asked to keep writing the checks.

Polls and superdelegates aside - the bottom line is this is shaping up to be a contest between the politics of the past and a vision of the future.


21 posted on 02/15/2008 8:36:23 AM PST by bigbob (2)
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To: LS

There are no winner take all democrat states.


22 posted on 02/15/2008 8:36:59 AM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: al_c

Hillary’s problem - she really doesn’t stand for anything, except, The Party apparatus. Kind of like the continous succession of Premiers in the Soviet Union - Andrapov, Chernenko, etc.... Just the next in line. Although he is just fluff at the moment, Obama fits the Dems ideals, not-quite black, liberal, was a “community organizer” etc... and the MSM loves it. Wait until he faces some real competition though....


23 posted on 02/15/2008 8:37:27 AM PST by PGR88
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To: Clemenza
These polls have been all over the place. I still think that Hillary takes Ohio (due to proletarian white folks) and Texas (thanks to Hispanics).

I disagree. Because of the way delegates are apportioned, the black vote in the Texas primary is actually more significant than the Hispanic vote, regardless of turnout, and regardless of the fact that Hispanics significantly outnumber blacks in Texas. If Obama wins Austin, Houston and Dallas, he can afford to lose San Antonio and the Rio Grande Valley and still win a majority of the delegates.

24 posted on 02/15/2008 8:37:48 AM PST by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: libh8er; All

I’d like to take a poll. Of the two, who do you think is more dangerous?


25 posted on 02/15/2008 8:37:51 AM PST by diamond6 (Everyone who is for abortion has been born. Ronald Reagan)
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To: libh8er

Bye Bye Hillary Marxist Clinton, Hello John McCain!
McCain 2008


26 posted on 02/15/2008 8:37:54 AM PST by OPS4 (Ops4 God Bless America!)
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To: libh8er

Another chapter in the Democrat Uncivil War unfolds.

RUSH: Nomination Comes Down to Which Democrats are the Bigger Racists



Mrs. Clinton: Classic Manipulator
27 posted on 02/15/2008 8:37:59 AM PST by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: Jedidah

Correct, but after the primary.


28 posted on 02/15/2008 8:38:31 AM PST by stevio ((NRA))
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Comment #29 Removed by Moderator

To: PGR88

Obama doesn’t stand for anything either.

But, I think Ohio goes Obama....and it looks like Texas , too. LOL LOL LOL


30 posted on 02/15/2008 8:38:57 AM PST by JaneNC (I)
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To: libh8er

fat lady warming up in wings...


31 posted on 02/15/2008 8:39:02 AM PST by epluribus_2
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To: Lurker

I cannot wait for that to happen.


32 posted on 02/15/2008 8:39:02 AM PST by Piquaboy (22 year veteran of the Army, Air Force and Navy, Pray for all our military .)
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To: diamond6

Hillary Vs. Obama, disregarding biggotry?
I call it a dead heat either one is a plague on this Great Nation!


33 posted on 02/15/2008 8:39:03 AM PST by OPS4 (Ops4 God Bless America!)
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To: libh8er

It takes more than one poll to write her off. But all polls I’ve seen do have her lead diminishing. This could well be true come March.


34 posted on 02/15/2008 8:39:17 AM PST by Non-Sequitur (Save Fredericksburg. Support CVBT.)
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To: libh8er
Rasmussen Feb. 15

Texas Democratic Presidential Primary
Texas: Clinton 54% Obama 38%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/texas/texas_democratic_presidential_primary

35 posted on 02/15/2008 8:40:25 AM PST by Brad from Tennessee ("A politician can't give you anything he hasn't first stolen from you.")
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To: PGR88
You are quite right about Obama's fluff factor:

Obama Ads on The Future: One

Obama Ads on The Future: Two
36 posted on 02/15/2008 8:40:45 AM PST by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: Clemenza

Interesting question about the Hispanic vote in Texas —

There is strong and viscious animosity between inner city blacks and hispanics, which will help Hillary in some areas.

However, I’m wondering if the racial angle will work for her in south Texas, where, outside of Houston, hispanics overwhelmingly outnumber blacks. In a community that is almost 100% hispanic, like the Valley, I don’t know if those racial tensions exist.

Anybody on here with first-hand knowledge?


37 posted on 02/15/2008 8:40:47 AM PST by Jedidah
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To: OPS4
If anyone hates McCain, how can anyone not fear Obama or Hillary more?
38 posted on 02/15/2008 8:40:57 AM PST by elhombrelibre (Al Qaeda: enemy of civilization and humanity.)
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To: HD1200

Rassmussen had the Beast up by double digits. We will know in the next few days if there is movement in TX in Obama’s direction.


39 posted on 02/15/2008 8:41:37 AM PST by libh8er
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To: Lurker

Question of the day - would Hill use powers to derail gen election bid of Obama if she loses primary?... to deprive him of all the expected coming glory of the new age of rat control of congress and white house (and courts). Could her friendship with McCain be an ally in the long run? Could she stand seeing Barack make those SOTU addresses that she was her rightful job? Stay tuned kiddies, on “As the Stomach Turns”.


40 posted on 02/15/2008 8:41:45 AM PST by epluribus_2
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