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POLL: OBAMA TAKES LEAD IN TEXAS (up 6 points)
American Research Group ^

Posted on 02/15/2008 8:28:48 AM PST by libh8er

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To: bigbob

And it is about the GENDER v RACE constituencies.


41 posted on 02/15/2008 8:43:23 AM PST by doug from upland (Stopping Hillary should be a FreeRepublic Manhattan Project)
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To: epluribus_2

If she did, she would lose all of her backing, and the deledations would have to go for Obama, or all minorities woudl see right through demorats, and many would not vote or would vote McCain in the general.


42 posted on 02/15/2008 8:44:25 AM PST by OPS4 (Ops4 God Bless America!)
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To: bigbob

lamento mucho lo que te sucedio

Hope this is what she hears in Texas following the actual vote......

” I’m really sorry about what happened to you”


43 posted on 02/15/2008 8:44:44 AM PST by patriotspride
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To: Lurker
If Hillary loses Texas things will get really ugly really fast.

They already are...........

44 posted on 02/15/2008 8:45:37 AM PST by Red Badger ( We don't have science, but we do have consensus.......)
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To: OPS4

She could do it without leaving fingerprints, footprints, exitwounds, or paper trail. That is unless her usual henchmen/henchwomen in Hollywood, MSM, etc. have gone over to BHO already.


45 posted on 02/15/2008 8:45:58 AM PST by epluribus_2
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To: epluribus_2

The Dems want power and they will not risk power to an Obama election.

If it is anywhere near close - they will break their rules and add in Florida and Michigan Delegates. They also have Super Delegates, many of whom are Party loyalists.

In a dismal election year for conservatives, this will be fun to watch.


46 posted on 02/15/2008 8:46:06 AM PST by rbmillerjr (Big Government Evangelicals.....leading conservatives to Landslide 2012)
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To: 668 - Neighbor of the Beast
If she loses Texas, she will quit.

Don't count on it. NEVER underestimate the KKKlintoons.........

47 posted on 02/15/2008 8:46:28 AM PST by Red Badger ( We don't have science, but we do have consensus.......)
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To: stevio

I don’t know.

Right now, I’m planning to vote Hillary in the Texas primary. It’s open, you know.

I think it’s best to keep her alive as long as possible. Can’t hurt to have them at each other’s throats till the convention.

Seems to me she’d be more vulnerable in November. Democrats, especially those whose hopes were raised by Obama, may stay home and not vote for her. Her name on the ticket may energize the vote of Republicans and Independents who hate her. Obama with his stupid “hope” message will likely energize all the gimmee-gimmee and naive young voters if he’s not successfully unmasked by then.

Who knows?

I’m just afraid that, if elected, Obama will actually do what he promises: withdraw immediately from Iraq and play footsie with terrorist states, kumbaya.

Hillary, on the other hand, is too smart for that. She’ll do whatever she needs to do to survive.

I’m wavering. But I won’t be voting in the Republican primary — too much fun on the other side.


48 posted on 02/15/2008 8:47:32 AM PST by Jedidah
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To: libh8er

49 posted on 02/15/2008 8:47:44 AM PST by AbeKrieger (There is a special place in Hell for Lyndon Johnson.)
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To: Lurker

“If Hillary loses Texas things will get really ugly really fast.”

Would it be mean to say she already is? If it is mean, I won’t say it.


50 posted on 02/15/2008 8:47:59 AM PST by righttackle44 (The most dangerous weapon in the world is a Marine with his rifle and the American people behind him)
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To: libh8er
If the disaster I foresee coming in November happens, I think we all be longing for the good old days of the Carter Administration.
51 posted on 02/15/2008 8:48:47 AM PST by HenpeckedCon (B. Hussein/Bernie Sanders-08)
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To: Clemenza
I still think that Hillary takes Ohio

There's nobody left in Ohio to vote.

They are all on the golf course next to my house!

I do enjoy wearing my LSU and Florida caps this time of year.

52 posted on 02/15/2008 8:48:58 AM PST by N. Theknow (Kennedys: Can't drive, can't fly, can't ski, can't skipper a boat; but they know what's best for us)
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To: Jedidah

Houston’s NOLA population could swing the votes........they have experience in such stuff..........


53 posted on 02/15/2008 8:49:27 AM PST by Red Badger ( We don't have science, but we do have consensus.......)
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To: libh8er

Aren’t the Texas and Ohio primaries on March 4? A lot can happen between now and then.


54 posted on 02/15/2008 8:49:39 AM PST by ChocChipCookie (Homeschool like your kids' lives depend on it.)
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To: epluribus_2
“As the Stomach Turns” is right...we have already seen Mrs. Clinton's face and antics during 8 SOTU addresses with W. Imagine Obama! Clinton Inc. is not going to let Barry & Michelle become America's new "Power Couple."
55 posted on 02/15/2008 8:50:06 AM PST by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: cinives
Well, it isn't Orville Redenbacker, but so what.


56 posted on 02/15/2008 8:51:13 AM PST by Arrowhead1952 ("It may take another Jimmy Carter to get another Ronald Reagan". Rush Limbaugh Jan. 14, 2008)
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To: Arrowhead1952

That’ll do.


57 posted on 02/15/2008 8:51:34 AM PST by cinives (On some planets what I do is considered normal.)
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To: PGR88
Wait until he faces some real competition though....

I'm looking forward to the Repub. vs. Dem debates. Even though we'll probably have McCain, I think he'll make Obama look pretty stupid and ill-prepared. Without a planned speech and teleprompters, Obama's nothing.

58 posted on 02/15/2008 8:52:45 AM PST by al_c (Avoid the consequences of erudite vernacular utilized irrespective of necessity)
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To: libh8er

Those numbers don’t add up. For Obama to have gained 20 points in the last month means he had to get all of the Edwards and Kucinich votes, and almost all of the newly decided. Hellary’s numbers are essentially flat.
The latest RCP polls taken in the last few days show Hellary up by double digits in TX, PA and OH.


59 posted on 02/15/2008 8:52:52 AM PST by Hacklehead (Crush the liberals, see them driven before you, and hear the lamentation of the hippies.)
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To: LS

Texas rewards Democratic delegates in a several step process. This mechanism only seems complicated the first couple times through it.

126 Senatorial District Level Delegates allocated by primary results.

These are done by district so most split evenly except for urban areas that will give extras to Obama. In some rural and Southern areas with odd amounts of delegates Clinton may pick up the extra one but I think that doesn’t balance out Houston, Galveston, Austin, Dallas, and East Texas. The actual delegates are chosen at the state convention but must reflect the primary vote.

42 At-Large Delegates allocated by the presidential preference of delegates attending the State convention (with a 15 percent threshold).

25 Pledged Party Leaders, Democratic Mayors and Legislators allocated by the presidential preference of delegates attending the State convention (with a 15 percent threshold).

Democrats have to be somewhat motivated to go out and vote in the primary. They have to be very motivated to stand up and be counted in front of their neighbors for a candidate and even more to go on to the next level and do it again and then go to Austin and do it. Their is a motivation and enthusiasm gap that exists among the candidates supporters in favor of Obama. Obama supporters have the fire and enthusiasm. Will the more experienced Clinton supporting politicians be able to stop it? Personally, I would be very surprised if Obama doesn’t get a majority in these two categories.

32 Super Delegates made up of Members of Congress, Members of the DNC, past House Speakers and former DNC Chairs.

Nearly all right now for Hillary but rumors of switches. On reflection, Texas Democratic politicians are considering how they will fair with Hillary or Obama leading the ticket, and reaching for another drink.

3 Unpledged Delegates (Add-Ons) elected through a three-tier, post-primary convention process.

Often used for the last demographic balance nudge. Who goes to the next level conventions must be close demographically to those who attended the lower level.


60 posted on 02/15/2008 8:56:23 AM PST by kabar
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