Posted on 02/15/2008 8:28:48 AM PST by libh8er
Texas Primary Preferences
Democrats TX
Clinton 42% Obama 48% Someone else 3% Undecided 7%
Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among self-described Democrats 47% to 42%. Obama leads Clinton among self-described independents and Republicans 24% to 71%. Obama leads among men 55% to 29% (47% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads among women 54% to 42%. Clinton leads Obama among white voters 51% to 40% (53% of likely Democratic primary voters), Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 76% to 17% (22% of likely Democratic primary voters), and Clinton leads Obama among Latino voters 44% to 42%.
22% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary and 20% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. 30% of men say they would never vote for Clinton in the primary.
For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.
And it is about the GENDER v RACE constituencies.
If she did, she would lose all of her backing, and the deledations would have to go for Obama, or all minorities woudl see right through demorats, and many would not vote or would vote McCain in the general.
lamento mucho lo que te sucedio
Hope this is what she hears in Texas following the actual vote......
” I’m really sorry about what happened to you”
They already are...........
She could do it without leaving fingerprints, footprints, exitwounds, or paper trail. That is unless her usual henchmen/henchwomen in Hollywood, MSM, etc. have gone over to BHO already.
The Dems want power and they will not risk power to an Obama election.
If it is anywhere near close - they will break their rules and add in Florida and Michigan Delegates. They also have Super Delegates, many of whom are Party loyalists.
In a dismal election year for conservatives, this will be fun to watch.
Don't count on it. NEVER underestimate the KKKlintoons.........
I don’t know.
Right now, I’m planning to vote Hillary in the Texas primary. It’s open, you know.
I think it’s best to keep her alive as long as possible. Can’t hurt to have them at each other’s throats till the convention.
Seems to me she’d be more vulnerable in November. Democrats, especially those whose hopes were raised by Obama, may stay home and not vote for her. Her name on the ticket may energize the vote of Republicans and Independents who hate her. Obama with his stupid “hope” message will likely energize all the gimmee-gimmee and naive young voters if he’s not successfully unmasked by then.
Who knows?
I’m just afraid that, if elected, Obama will actually do what he promises: withdraw immediately from Iraq and play footsie with terrorist states, kumbaya.
Hillary, on the other hand, is too smart for that. She’ll do whatever she needs to do to survive.
I’m wavering. But I won’t be voting in the Republican primary — too much fun on the other side.
“If Hillary loses Texas things will get really ugly really fast.”
Would it be mean to say she already is? If it is mean, I won’t say it.
There's nobody left in Ohio to vote.
They are all on the golf course next to my house!
I do enjoy wearing my LSU and Florida caps this time of year.
Houston’s NOLA population could swing the votes........they have experience in such stuff..........
Aren’t the Texas and Ohio primaries on March 4? A lot can happen between now and then.
That’ll do.
I'm looking forward to the Repub. vs. Dem debates. Even though we'll probably have McCain, I think he'll make Obama look pretty stupid and ill-prepared. Without a planned speech and teleprompters, Obama's nothing.
Those numbers don’t add up. For Obama to have gained 20 points in the last month means he had to get all of the Edwards and Kucinich votes, and almost all of the newly decided. Hellary’s numbers are essentially flat.
The latest RCP polls taken in the last few days show Hellary up by double digits in TX, PA and OH.
Texas rewards Democratic delegates in a several step process. This mechanism only seems complicated the first couple times through it.
126 Senatorial District Level Delegates allocated by primary results.
These are done by district so most split evenly except for urban areas that will give extras to Obama. In some rural and Southern areas with odd amounts of delegates Clinton may pick up the extra one but I think that doesn’t balance out Houston, Galveston, Austin, Dallas, and East Texas. The actual delegates are chosen at the state convention but must reflect the primary vote.
42 At-Large Delegates allocated by the presidential preference of delegates attending the State convention (with a 15 percent threshold).
25 Pledged Party Leaders, Democratic Mayors and Legislators allocated by the presidential preference of delegates attending the State convention (with a 15 percent threshold).
Democrats have to be somewhat motivated to go out and vote in the primary. They have to be very motivated to stand up and be counted in front of their neighbors for a candidate and even more to go on to the next level and do it again and then go to Austin and do it. Their is a motivation and enthusiasm gap that exists among the candidates supporters in favor of Obama. Obama supporters have the fire and enthusiasm. Will the more experienced Clinton supporting politicians be able to stop it? Personally, I would be very surprised if Obama doesn’t get a majority in these two categories.
32 Super Delegates made up of Members of Congress, Members of the DNC, past House Speakers and former DNC Chairs.
Nearly all right now for Hillary but rumors of switches. On reflection, Texas Democratic politicians are considering how they will fair with Hillary or Obama leading the ticket, and reaching for another drink.
3 Unpledged Delegates (Add-Ons) elected through a three-tier, post-primary convention process.
Often used for the last demographic balance nudge. Who goes to the next level conventions must be close demographically to those who attended the lower level.
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